The backtest results show that WMT experienced a 100% win rate over 3 days and around 67% win rates over 10 and 30 days after earnings missed expectations, with returns of 0.64%, 2.21%, and 6.24% respectively. This suggests that despite the earning miss, WMT tends to rebound, generating gains over the following month. The analysis indicates a resilience in WMT stock performance post-negative earnings surprises. Investors might consider holding or accumulating WMT shares after earnings misses, expecting a moderate positive price adjustment within the next 30 days.

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The backtest results show that when the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail Industry misses earnings expectations, there is effectively no significant price impact, with a maximum return of only 0.89% occurring four days after the event. This negligible response suggests that market participants do not strongly react to earnings misses within this sector. Consequently, investors should consider that earnings misses in this industry are unlikely to generate meaningful trading opportunities based on price movement alone and might require additional factors for actionable insights.

The backtest reveals that Walmart's earnings miss leads to a bearish impact on the Distributors industry, while Independent Power Producers show a bullish response. This divergence likely reflects weaker consumer spending dampening retail-related sectors, whereas energy sectors benefit from more stable demand dynamics. The market overall shows a positive but nuanced reaction.

These results highlight contrasting sectoral responses driven by consumer behavior and energy demand stability following Walmart's earnings miss.

Investors might consider reducing exposure to Distributors while exploring opportunities in Independent Power Producers when anticipating similar earnings outcomes.

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Backtest WMT Earning Miss

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