The backtest results show that BJ’s stock exhibited limited positive returns following earnings beats, with a 3-day win rate of 38.46%, improving to 61.54% at 30 days, and a modest 30-day return of 0.97%. This suggests a weak but slightly favorable longer-term response, with short-term returns generally negative. The maximum return observed was 0.77% on day 19 after the event. Consequently, investors might cautiously consider holding BJ stock for up to a month post-earnings beat, though the overall price impact appears modest and uncertain.

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The backtest indicates that Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail Industry stocks tend to show a positive reaction when earnings beat expectations, with a maximum average return of 1.02% occurring around 15 days after the event. This modest upward movement suggests a consistent but limited gain following positive earnings outcomes.

The results imply that the industry responds favorably to earnings surprises, though the magnitude of gains is relatively small, reflecting perhaps a stable, low-volatility sector.

Investors could consider modest exposure to this industry after earnings beats, balancing expectations for steady yet limited returns.

Backtest BJ Earning Beats Expectations

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