What is the market's earnings forecast for Rithm Capital next quarter?

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What were the key takeaways from Rithm Capital's earnings call?

What factors drove the changes in Rithm Capital's revenue and profit?

What is Rithm Capital's gross profit margin?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Rithm Capital year over year?

What guidance did Rithm Capital's management provide for the next earnings period?

What does Rithm Capital do and what are its main business segments?

- **Record EAD Growth**: Q4 EAD of $0.74/share (24% YoY), full-year $2.35/share (12% YoY) despite $600M+ dividends.
- **Transformational Real Estate**: $5.8B Paramount acquisition at 7% cap rate, 235% YoY leasing growth, 86.9% occupancy.
- **Tech-Driven Efficiency**: AI partnerships with Valent and Home Vision to double underwriting capacity, enhance servicing efficiency.
- **Mortgage Resilience**: 17% YoY pretax growth in Newrez, 147% YoY non-Agency origination growth, disciplined recapture rates.
- **Strategic Patience**: No rush to monetize REIT; $1.7B liquidity provides flexibility for disciplined capital deployment.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue Growth**: Q4 2025 Earnings Available for Distribution (EAD) of $419 million ($0.74 per diluted share), up 24% year-over-year. Full-year EAD of $2.35 per share, 12% YoY growth.
- **Strategic Acquisitions**: Acquired Paramount, a $5.8 billion office REIT with 13 Class A buildings in NYC/SF, at a 40% discount to replacement cost. 2025 leasing volume of 1.7M sq ft (+235% YoY), 86.9% occupancy.
- **Tech Investments**: Announced partnerships with Valent (AI-driven servicing OS) and Home Vision (AI underwriting engine), aiming to double underwriting capacity in 2026.
- **Balance Sheet Strength**: $1.7B cash and liquidity post-Parmount acquisition; no immediate capital raise needed for real estate.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Newrez Performance**: Q4 pretax income (excluding mark-to-market) of $249M, 17% YoY growth. Full-year pretax income of $1.1B, 17% YoY. Non-Agency originations up 147% YoY, crypto-enhanced lending launched.
- **Servicing Portfolio**: $850B UPB, 30% third-party fee-based servicing. 2025 third-party servicing growth of $25B, offsetting low-margin agency MSR transitions.
- **Margin Discipline**: Refi recapture rates maintained despite market noise; 2026 originations expected to grow in line with industry estimates (~10%).

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Mortgage Market Dynamics**: Q4 refi mix at 40%+ (highest in years), driven by 4.3% 10-year Treasury. 2026 expectations: 10%+ volume growth, disciplined pricing to avoid margin compression.
- **REIT Structure**: No immediate plans to shed REIT status; focus on growing asset management AUM ($63B) and exploring separate listings for Rithm Property Trust (RPT) and mortgage company.
- **Capital Allocation**: $250M pref equity raise in Q4; exploring JV and fund structures for Paramount, but no urgency given $1.7B liquidity.
- **Tech Valuation Impact**: Valent partnership could add $2+ per share if realized value meets expectations; Home Vision to enhance underwriting efficiency by 2x in 2026.

Rithm Capital Corp.(RITM)-20260203-2025 Q4 Earnings call transcript

- **Acquisition-Driven Growth**: $18B AUM Crestline and $7B Paramount acquisitions expand product suite for LPs.
- **Mortgage Dominance**: Newrez delivers 20% ROE with $295M Q3 profit, 32% originations growth.
- **Valuation Catalysts**: Potential 15% Newrez listing and 18% ROE justify $17-18/share revaluation.
- **Capital Allocation**: No dividend hikes; redeploying $1.3B+ cash at 15-20% returns.
- **Risk Management**: Underwriting-first approach avoids ABF fraud risks seen in peers.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Record Quarter Performance**: All business lines (Newrez, Genesis, investment portfolio) delivered strong results, generating $300M in earnings and 18% ROE. Cash and liquidity stood at $2.2B.
- **Strategic Acquisitions**: 
  - **Crestline Capital Management**: $18B AUM, expanding into credit, NAV lending, and insurance/reinsurance. Deal expected to close in December.
  - **Paramount REIT**: $7B office portfolio in NYC and SF, acquired at $600/ft vs. $2,500-3,000/ft replacement cost. 90% leased in NYC, 70% in SF, with potential for NOI growth.
- **Asset Management Growth**: 
  - Genesis Capital originations up 60% YoY to $1.2B, EBITDA expected to reach $120M in 2025.
  - Sculptor Capital raised $4.6B YTD, targeting $5B+ in 2026.
- **Valuation Thesis**: Public company trading at 0.8-0.9x book vs. 1.5-3x peers. Mortgage company alone could justify $17-18/share if spun off.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q3 Financials**: 
  - GAAP net income: $193.7M ($0.35/share)
  - Earnings available for distribution: $297M ($0.54/share)
  - ROE: 11% (GAAP), 18% (non-GAAP)
- **Liquidity Post-Acquisitions**: 
  - $1.3B cash post-Crestline/Paramount closings
  - $1B available via financing facilities
  - No equity raises planned for acquisitions
- **Balance Sheet Strength**: $47B total assets, $8.5B permanent capital

**【Mortgage Company Update】**
- **Newrez Performance**: 
  - Q3 pretax income (excl. MTM): $295M (20% YoY growth)
  - ROE: 20%
  - Direct originations up 32% YoY
  - Non-agency production up 120% YoY
- **Margin Management**: 
  - Weighted average margin: 114bps (down due to gov't streamline refinances)
  - Servicing income: $260M (11% YoY growth)
- **Technology Edge**: 
  - ReziAI platform costs $140/loan
  - 100,000+ monthly loan applications
  - New tools like ReziAssist automate 60% of loan officer calls

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Strategic Priorities**: 
  - Focus on asset management growth (ABF funds, direct lending)
  - Potential partial listing of Newrez (15% stake) to test market
  - No dividend increases; redeploying capital at 15-20% ROE
- **Paramount Capital Raise**: 
  - $300-500M from Rithm, $950M+ from third parties
  - Conversations with 5-10 LPs/day
- **Underwriting Risk**: 
  - ABF funds focus on underwriting first (non-QM, RTL)
  - Avoiding systemic risks seen in First Brands/Tricolor
- **RPT Strategy**: 
  - Explore direct lending opportunities
  - Tender offer if growth unachievable

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Growth**: Genesis origination up 3x since 2022, Newrez servicing at $850B, and Rithm Asset Management AUM +$900M to $36B.
- **AI-Driven Efficiency**: $142 servicing cost per loan, with Rezi AI reducing costs and improving customer experience.
- **Strategic Expansion**: $1.5B RTL SMA, non-QM origination forecasted $4B+, and insurance M&A exploration.
- **Undervaluation Alert**: Sum-of-parts valuation suggests fair value >$20 vs. current $12.71, driven by underappreciated asset management and origination scale.

**【Management Opening Remarks】**
- Emma Bolla emphasized forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial measures, setting the stage for the earnings discussion.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Record Quarter Performance**: CEO Michael Nierenberg highlighted a record quarter for Genesis Capital, with origination growing from $1.5B to $4B since acquisition in 2022, and Newrez's servicing portfolio exceeding $850B.
- **AI and Technology Investment**: New hires (Leslie Gillin, Brian Woodring) and Rezi AI initiatives driving cost efficiency, with servicing cost per loan at $142.
- **Asset Management Growth**: Rithm Asset Management AUM up $300M to $36B, including a $1.5B SMA partnership in RTL loans.
- **Strategic Focus**: Expansion of non-QM origination (forecasted $4B+ in 2025) and exploration of insurance M&A to create liability funding opportunities.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **GAAP Results**: Q2 GAAP net income $283.9M ($0.53 EPS), up 20% YoY; ROE 17%.
- **Liquidity**: $2.1B cash and liquidity, supporting opportunistic investments in non-QM and home equity products.
- **Valuation Undervaluation**: Sum-of-parts analysis suggests fair value over $20/share vs. current $12.71, driven by underappreciated asset management and origination businesses.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Newrez Strategy**: Focus on profitable growth in non-QM and home equity, with disciplined pricing to maintain 19% ROE.
- **Insurance M&A**: Exploring smaller, accretive acquisitions to build insurance platform for liability funding.
- **Rate Cuts Impact**: Lower rates may benefit mortgage origination but could compress spreads in fixed income; Rithm's steep yield curve hedging strategy expected to benefit.
- **SMA Replication**: Success in RTL SMA could expand to other asset classes, leveraging Rithm's origination and servicing control.

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Q1 2025 Performance**: EAD up 8% YoY to $0.52/share, with $80B AUM across 5 asset classes. 
- **ABF Strategy Success**: $3.2B commitments for Sculptor's Real Estate Fund V, largest in company history. 
- **Newrez Growth**: $270M pretax income (+14% YoY), 19% ROE, and 4 new third-party servicing clients. 
- **Value Unlock Plan**: Exploring listings for Newrez, Rithm Property Trust, or other businesses to close $12.39 book value discount. 
- **Market Resilience**: MSR portfolio delinquencies at 3.1%, hedging strategy positioned for rate volatility. 


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Rithm Capital reported a solid Q1 2025 with Earnings Available for Distribution (EAD) of $0.52 per diluted share, up 8% year-over-year. 
- Emphasized performance as the #1 priority, with $80 billion in assets under management across real estate, credit, energy, and infrastructure. 
- Highlighted the ABF (Asset-Based Finance) strategy, with $3.2 billion in commitments for Sculptor's Real Estate Fund V, the largest in company history. 
- Book value stood at $12.39 per share, trading at a discount to the company's view of intrinsic value. 
- Plans to unlock shareholder value through potential listings or externalizations of businesses like Newrez or Rithm Property Trust.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- GAAP net income of $36.5 million ($0.07 per diluted share) and EAD of $275 million ($0.52 per diluted share), reflecting 17% return on equity. 
- $1.9 billion in cash and liquidity, with a 8.7% dividend yield on common stock. 
- Mortgage servicing business generated $242 million in pretax income, up 7% quarter-over-quarter, driven by third-party servicing growth. 
- MSR portfolio performance remained resilient amid market volatility, with 60-day delinquencies at 3.1%. 

**【Newrez Business Update】**
- Newrez, the #3 U.S. mortgage servicer, reported $270 million in pretax income (excl. mark-to-market), up 14% YoY, with 19% ROE. 
- Funded volume of $11.8 billion (+9% YoY) and $65 million in origination pretax income (+54% YoY). 
- Focused on disciplined pricing and multichannel strategy to maintain profitability amid competitive margin compression. 
- Third-party servicing added 4 new clients in Q1, with a pipeline of over 100 clients. 

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Cooper-Rocket Transaction**: Newrez expects subservicing opportunities from the $1.5 trillion combined platform, but maintains focus on earnings growth over market share. 
- **Acquisition Strategy**: Actively pursuing M&A in asset management (credit, energy) and mortgage sectors, targeting undervalued assets in volatile markets. 
- **SPAC Activity**: Rithm Acquisition Corp. ($230M) seeking off-balance-sheet opportunities in financial services or energy, with potential deals at reasonable valuations. 
- **Market Volatility**: MSR funds expected to deliver teens returns, with hedging strategies optimized for flat/steep yield curve scenarios. 
- **Newrez Listing**: Exploring capital actions to unlock value, with potential externalization of Newrez or other businesses by end of 2025. 


Rithm Capital (RITM)-25 Apr 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Record Financial Performance**: 27% YoY earnings growth, $835M GAAP net income, and 14% ROE for 2024.
- **Newrez Dominance**: Third-largest U.S. mortgage servicer with $844B servicing portfolio and 20% Q4 ROE.
- **Strategic Expansion**: Launching global energy infrastructure platform and exploring C-Corp conversion to unlock equity value.
- **Asset Management Growth**: Sculptor's multi-strategy fund +13.5% net return, Genesis Capital EBITDA up 150% since acquisition.
- **Undervalued Equity**: Trading below peers at 30x DE; management targeting fee-based growth through external management vehicles.


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue Growth**: 27% year-over-year increase in earnings available for distribution ($2.10 per share) and 14% return on equity (ROE) for the full year 2024.
- **Business Expansion**: Acquired Genesis Capital in 2021, growing origination from $2B to $3.6B and EBITDA from $40M to $100M. Sculptor's multi-strategy fund achieved 13.5% net return in 2024.
- **Newrez Performance**: Third-largest U.S. mortgage servicer with $844B total servicing portfolio and 20% ROE in Q4 2024. Originated $17B in Q4, up 9% QoQ, with 131bps average margin.
- **Strategic Initiatives**: Launching a global energy infrastructure platform with scale capital partners. Exploring capital structure changes, including potential C-Corp conversion and REIT expansion.
- **Valuation Perspective**: Equity undervalued relative to asset managers trading at 30x DE. Targeting fee-based growth through external management vehicles like Rithm Property Trust.

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- **Q4 2024 Results**: GAAP net income $263M ($0.50/diluted share), 16% ROE. Earnings available for distribution $316M ($0.60/share), 20% ROE.
- **Full Year 2024**: GAAP net income $835M ($1.67/share), 14% ROE. $1B earnings available for distribution, 17% ROE.
- **Dividend Policy**: 9.2% yield, $1 annual dividend.

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
- **Newrez IPO**: Potential in 2025 if capital structure adjustments (e.g., REIT conversion) are completed. Management prioritizing scale and fee growth over asset transfers.
- **Energy Infrastructure**: Partnering with Fortress alumni to deploy third-party capital in hyperscale power projects. Team expects to announce fund launch within 30 days.
- **Sculptor Growth**: Credit business fundraising momentum driven by performance. Management targeting 12-15% AUM growth through LP capital inflows.
- **M&A Strategy**: Focused on accretive MSR acquisitions and bulk pools. Exploring MSR securitization to reduce balance sheet leverage.
- **Capital Structure**: Exploring C-Corp conversion to unlock value. Any changes require shareholder approval and will balance accretion with execution timing.


Actual										0.48	0.34	0.31	0.32	0.34	0.31	0.44	0.4	0.37	0.31	0.32	0.33	0.35	0.62	0.58	0.51	0.48	0.47	0.54	0.6	0.52	0.54	0.54	0.74
Forecast										-0.2589	0.3049	0.3716	0.3207	0.34	0.3075	0.3464	0.4075	0.3463	0.309	0.2919	0.2882	0.323	0.3519	0.3867	0.3781	0.3869	0.4239	0.4188	0.4401	0.4671	0.523	0.5266	0.5777
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+285.40%	+11.51%	-16.58%	-0.22%	0.00%	+0.81%	+27.02%	-1.84%	+6.84%	+0.32%	+9.63%	+14.50%	+8.36%	+76.19%	+49.99%	+34.88%	+24.06%	+10.88%	+28.94%	+36.33%	+11.33%	+3.25%	+2.54%	+28.09%

RITM

RITM fundamentals

RITM Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime

RITM

RITM fundamentals

RITM Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

RITM Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20258:00 AM on Feb 3, 2026

RITM Earnings Call Summary for Q3/20258:00 AM on Oct 30, 2025

RITM Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20258:00 AM on Jul 28, 2025

RITM Earnings Call Summary for Q1/20258:00 AM on Apr 25, 2025

RITM Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20248:00 AM on Feb 6, 2025

You can ask Aime