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What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Onto Innovation year over year?

- **Record Q4 Growth**: $267 million revenue (+22% QoQ), driven by 2.5D/HBM packaging doubling and $240 million VPA win.
- **2026 Advanced Packaging Surge**: 30%+ growth expected, fueled by AI, panel-level packaging, and 3D metrology adoption.
- **Strong Margins & Cash Flow**: 25.2% operating margin, $95 million cash generation, and $19 million tax savings.
- **Capacity Expansion**: Extended factories support $2 billion annual run rate, but supply chain constraints may limit G5 adoption.
- **Semilab Integration**: 2026 contribution $100-110 million, offsetting 10% decline in power semi revenue.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Q4 2025 revenue reached $267 million, a 22% sequential increase, driven by advanced packaging growth (2.5D/HBM) and new customer agreements.
- Signed a $240 million VPA with an HBM customer for Dragonfly 2D/3D metrology systems, including $60 million for 3D bump metrology.
- Expanded into panel-level packaging with $14 million in JetStep and Firefly system orders for a new large panel facility.
- 2026 advanced packaging revenue expected to grow over 30%, supported by AI-driven demand and 3D metrology adoption.
- Backlog doubled to a 2-quarter record, reflecting strong customer confidence in 2026 AI infrastructure spending.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q4 2025 non-GAAP EPS: $1.26, exceeding expectations; gross margin: 54.6% (up 50bps QoQ); operating margin: 25.2% (up 410bps QoQ).
- Generated $95 million in cash (150% of non-GAAP net income) and achieved $19 million in tax savings under the new tax act.
- Q1 2026 guidance: $275-285 million revenue, $1.26-1.36 EPS; 2026 core growth 12-14% YoY, with margin expansion.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Market Growth**: Advanced packaging to grow 30%+ in 2026, driven by AI, panel-level packaging, and 3D metrology adoption.
- **Capacity & Supply Chain**: Extended factories enable $2 billion annual run rate; supply chain challenges with precision optics may delay G5 adoption.
- **Semilab Integration**: 2026 contribution $100-110 million, but power semi revenue expected to decline 10% due to EV/infrastructure weakness.
- **Product Momentum**: G5 inspection systems show early positive feedback; 3Di metrology pipeline expanding beyond HBM to panel-level applications.
- **WFE Outlook**: Industry WFE growth 10-20%, with Onto's advanced nodes business (OCD, films metrology) set to accelerate in 2026.

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Growth Accelerating**: Q3 revenue of $218M exceeded expectations, with Q4 guidance of 15-21% sequential growth driven by AI packaging. 
- **Breakthrough Product Adoption**: 
  - Dragonfly systems set to ship to multiple customers in Q4, with 2026 volume ramp. 
  - 3Di technology qualified by 2 HBM customers, enabling next-gen device inspection. 
- **Profitability Improving**: 
  - Q3 gross margin 54%, with 2026 improvements from offshore manufacturing ramp. 
  - Q4 operating margin expected at 24-26%. 
- **Strategic Momentum**: 
  - Semilab acquisition on track to close, adding $300M+ in annual revenue. 
  - Packaging customers signaling 20%+ tool demand increase for advanced technologies. 


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue Growth**: Q3 revenue of $218.2 million exceeded expectations, driven by 2.5D packaging and AI-related demand. Sequential growth in Q4 is expected to accelerate, with advanced packaging revenue nearly doubling from Q3. 
- **New Product Adoption**: 
  - Dragonfly systems: First shipment to a leading AI packaging customer in weeks, with additional shipments to memory customers in December. 
  - 3Di technology: Qualified by 2 HBM customers, demonstrating superior performance for smaller, denser interconnects. 
- **Strategic Initiatives**: 
  - Offshore manufacturing ramp: 30% of Q3 tools shipped from extended factories, reducing tariff impact. 
  - Semilab acquisition: Expected to close in coming weeks, with $432M cash and 641k shares to be issued. 
- **2026 Outlook**: 
  - Sequential growth expected in first half, with stronger growth in second half tied to new product adoption. 
  - Packaging customers indicate potential need for 20% more tools for 2D/3Di technologies. 

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q3 Results**: 
  - GAAP net income: $42.3M 
  - Non-GAAP EPS: $0.92 (high end of guidance) 
  - Gross margin: 54% (including 1ppt tariff impact) 
  - Operating margin: 21.1% 
- **Q4 Guidance**: 
  - Revenue: $210-230M (15-21% sequential growth) 
  - Gross margin: ~54% (with $2.5M tariff cost) 
  - Operating expenses: ~$77M 
  - EPS: $1.18-1.33 
- **Cash Flow**: Q3 cash from ops: $83M (vs $58M in Q2) 

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **3Di Technology**: 
  - Qualified by 2 HBM customers for bump inspection, with discussions for volume orders. 
  - Unique capability to measure pre-reflow bumps, enabling yield improvements. 
- **Dragonfly Momentum**: 
  - Multiple customers evaluating for 2.5D logic and memory applications. 
  - First half 2026 shipments expected, with meaningful volume in second half. 
- **Tariff Mitigation**: 
  - Offshore factory ramp reducing tariff impact; gross margin improvements expected in 2026. 
- **Semilab Update**: 
  - Transaction amended to exclude small product line; integration to be discussed post-close. 


Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **$130M Semilab Deal**: Immediate accretion with 10%+ EPS boost, expanding metrology for advanced nodes and packaging.
- **Dragonfly Surge**: Q4 AI packaging revenue up 50% QoQ, driven by next-gen Dragonfly shipments and subsurface inspection demand.
- **Tariff Mitigation**: Regional manufacturing to reduce 2026 tariff exposure, with 50%+ international shipments by mid-2026.
- **2025 Growth**: Advanced nodes revenue nearly doubles 2024, Q4 revenue rebounding to Q1/Q2 levels.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Acquisition of Semilab**: Strategic acquisition of Semilab's inspection and metrology systems for $475M in cash and 706K shares, adding $130M annual revenue and 10%+ EPS accretion. The deal targets advanced nodes and packaging, addressing exotic materials in 3D architectures.
- **Dragonfly Platform Progress**: Next-gen Dragonfly achieved optical performance milestones with key customers, with shipments expected in Q3/Q4. Subsurface inspection demand is set to nearly double in Q4, driven by die stacking and wafer bonding applications.
- **Revenue Outlook**: Q4 revenue expected to rebound to Q1/Q2 levels (~$250-267M), with AI packaging revenue up 50% QoQ. Full-year advanced nodes revenue to nearly double 2024 levels.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q2 Financials**: Revenue $253.6M (+5% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $1.25. Gross margin 54.5% (55% ex-tariffs). Cash from operations $58M, ending with $895M in cash.
- **Tariff Mitigation**: $2-3M quarterly tariff impact expected in Q3/Q4. Regional manufacturing ramp to reduce 2026 exposure, with 50%+ international shipments by mid-2026.
- **Q3 Guidance**: Revenue $210-225M, EPS $0.75-0.95. Operating margin 18-21% due to lower revenue, rebounding in Q4.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Dragonfly Demand**: Multiple customers driving subsurface inspection growth, including AI packaging and power devices. Next-gen Dragonfly shipments accelerating beyond initial plans.
- **Semilab Synergies**: Electrical metrology and materials analysis technologies to enhance advanced node and packaging solutions, with potential for 20%+ CAGR in new applications.
- **Tariff Strategy**: Aggressive regional manufacturing expansion to mitigate U.S. tariffs, with first international shipments in Q3.
- **2026 Outlook**: Dragonfly and Iris G2 platforms positioned for growth, with focus on critical films and AI packaging. HBM spend expected stable in 2025, with 2026 outlook dependent on macro conditions.

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Q1 Growth**: $267M revenue (+17% YoY), driven by 96% QoQ jump in advanced nodes and AI packaging.
- **Tariff Mitigation Strategy**: 50% Asia production by 2026, targeting 2026 margin improvements.
- **New Platform Potential**: 2.5D inspection tool evals in 2025, opening $1B+ front-end macro market.
- **Q3 Low Point**: Memory pause expected, with recovery in Q4.
- **Lithography Expansion**: High-resolution optics demand strong, with 2027 volume potential.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q1 2025 revenue reached $267 million, up 17% YoY, driven by advanced nodes (96% QoQ growth) and AI packaging investments.
- Tariffs impact U.S.-manufactured tools; 50% of production to shift to Asia by early 2026, targeting margin improvements in 2026.
- New inspection platform for 2.5D packaging expected to ship eval units in 2025, with potential front-end macro inspection opportunities.

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- Q1 GAAP EPS: $1.08 (vs. $0.84 YoY), operating cash flow: $92 million (35% of revenue).
- Gross margin: 55% (vs. 54.5% QoQ), inventory up $6 million to $293 million due to tariff mitigation.
- Q2 guidance: $240-260 million revenue, 54-56% gross margin (75bps tariff headwind if unmitigated).

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
- Advanced nodes strength expected to resume in H2, with Q3 as low watermark due to memory pause.
- 2.5D packaging revenue decline driven by unmet sensitivity requirements; new platform to address in 2025.
- 3Di metrology adoption accelerating, with eval units shipped to memory manufacturers.
- Lithography demand strong for wide-field, high-resolution optics, targeting 2027 volume.
- WFE outperformance uncertain; 2025 advanced nodes revenue expected to reach $250-300 million range.

Onto Innovation (ONTO)-8 May 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Record Q4 Performance**: $264M revenue (+21% YoY), 55% gross margin, $1.51 EPS (42% YoY growth). 
- **AI Packaging Dominance**: 2.5D Logic inspection revenue doubles YoY, metrology tools exceed $50M. 
- **2025 Growth Drivers**: DRAM +69%, NAND expansion, and $500B US AI infrastructure spend. 
- **HBM Outlook**: 2025 wafer starts to double 2024 levels, with orders ramping mid-year. 
- **Margin Expansion**: Target 55%+ gross margin, 300bps YoY operating margin improvement.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q4 2024 revenue reached $264 million, a 21% YoY increase, driven by specialty devices and advanced packaging. 
- Gross margin improved sequentially to 55%, with a 300bps YoY improvement. 
- AI packaging revenue doubled YoY, with 2.5D Logic and HBM inspection tools accounting for 50% each. 
- Metrology revenue in advanced packaging exceeded $50 million, up 200% YoY. 
- Power device revenue set a new quarterly record, growing 10% YoY despite market softness. 

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- Q4 GAAP net income: $420 million (13% sequential growth). 
- Non-GAAP EPS: $1.51 (42% YoY growth). 
- Cash from operations: $56 million (21% of revenue). 
- Inventory reduced 7% QoQ to $287 million, targeting 1.7-1.8 turns. 
- Q1 2025 guidance: Revenue $260-274 million, gross margin 54-56%. 

**【CEO 2025 Outlook】**
- Advanced nodes growth: DRAM +69% YoY, NAND expansion for high-stack 3D applications. 
- AI secular trends: TSMC forecasts 45% CAGR for AI accelerators. 
- Power semiconductors: Gallium nitride adoption for energy efficiency. 
- New product pipeline: 3DI metrology tools expected to ramp in 2026. 

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
- HBM demand: 2025 wafer starts expected to double 2024 levels, with orders ramping mid-2025. 
- Process control intensity: Increasing for 12-die HBM stacks, driving metrology tool adoption. 
- R&D investment: 2025 R&D spend will grow to support advanced node and packaging innovations. 
- NAND outlook: 3D NAND orders up 200% YoY, driven by AI server applications.

Actual											0.39	0.42	0.4	0.72	0.73	0.92	0.98	1.23	1.31	1.28	1.35	1.57	0.92	0.79	0.96	1.06	1.18	1.32	1.34	1.51	1.51	1.25	0.92	1.26
Forecast											0.342	0.346	0.342	0.6	0.692	0.802	0.92	1.1093	1.1669	1.2712	1.3072	1.3232	0.886	0.836	0.9478	1.0072	1.0805	1.1986	1.32	1.4067	1.4675	1.2781	0.8686	1.2822
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+14.04%	+21.39%	+16.96%	+20.00%	+5.49%	+14.71%	+6.52%	+10.88%	+12.26%	+0.69%	+3.27%	+18.65%	+3.84%	-5.50%	+1.29%	+5.24%	+9.21%	+10.13%	+1.52%	+7.34%	+2.90%	-2.20%	+5.92%	-1.73%

ONTO

ONTO fundamentals

ONTO Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime

ONTO

ONTO fundamentals

ONTO Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

ONTO Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20254:30 PM on Feb 19, 2026

ONTO Earnings Call Summary for Q3/20254:30 PM on Nov 6, 2025

ONTO Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20254:30 PM on Aug 7, 2025

ONTO Earnings Call Summary for Q1/20254:30 PM on May 8, 2025

ONTO Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20244:30 PM on Feb 6, 2025

You can ask Aime