What were the key takeaways from Moody'S's earnings call?

What guidance did Moody'S's management provide for the next earnings period?

What is Moody'S's gross profit margin?

What were the key takeaways from Moody'S’s earnings call?

What does Moody'S do and what are its main business segments?

What factors drove the changes in Moody'S's revenue and profit?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Moody'S year over year?

What is the market's earnings forecast for Moody'S next quarter?

- **Revenue Record**: Q3 2025 revenue of $2.02 billion (+11% YoY) and EPS of $3.92 (+22% YoY) set new highs, with full-year guidance raised.
- **Margin Expansion**: Operating margin at 53% (+500 bps YoY), MIS margin at 65.2% (up 560 bps YoY), and MA margin at 34.3% (up 400 bps YoY).
- **Strategic Wins**: Japan's largest bank and Asian regulator adopt climate models; $3M+ AI deals with U.S. bank for credit automation.
- **Emerging Markets**: MERIS acquisition strengthens Middle East/Africa presence amid $30T+ debt growth in emerging markets.
- **M&A & Private Credit**: RAS at record levels, private credit revenue +60% YoY, and 200 new mandates in Q3.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Record Revenue Growth**: Q3 2025 revenue reached $2.02 billion, up 11% YoY, driven by strong issuance across all asset classes. Adjusted diluted EPS of $3.92 rose 22% YoY.
- **Margins Expand**: Adjusted operating margin expanded to 53%, up 500 bps YoY, reflecting operational leverage. Full-year guidance raised for MIS and MA, with MCO revenue expected in the high single-digit range.
- **Strategic Wins**: Notable deals include Japan's largest bank using physical climate risk models and a multi-year deal with an Asian regulator for climate data. AI-driven solutions signed over $3 million in new business with a Tier 1 U.S. bank.
- **Emerging Markets Expansion**: Acquired majority stake in MERIS, Egypt's leading ratings agency, to deepen presence in Middle East and Africa.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **MIS Performance**: Ratings revenue grew 12% YoY, with transactional revenue up 14%. MIS margin expanded to 65.2%, up 560 bps YoY, driving full-year guidance to 63-64%.
- **MA Momentum**: Analytics revenue rose 9% YoY, with ARR at $3.4 billion (8% YoY). Margin improved to 34.3%, ahead of plans, with full-year outlook at 33%.
- **Free Cash Flow & Share Buybacks**: Free cash flow expected at $2.5 billion, with share repurchases of at least $1.5 billion, returning over 85% of FCF to shareholders.
- **Tax Rate Update**: One-time 200 bps tax benefit from pre-acquisition exposure resolution, neutral to net income.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **AI in Analytics**: Embedding AI into workflows via agents and APIs, with wins in credit memo automation and early warning systems. No seat-based exposure, focusing on customer needs.
- **Private Credit Growth**: 60% YoY revenue growth in private credit, driven by fund finance and BDCs. 200 new mandates in Q3, on track for 700-750 annually.
- **M&A Outlook**: RAS revenue at record levels, signaling 15-20% M&A issuance growth in 2025. 2026 outlook positive with tailwinds from spreads, Fed easing, and infrastructure investment.
- **Climate Solutions**: Wins outside insurance, including Japan's largest bank and Asian regulator, highlight RMS model utility beyond P&C.
- **MA Growth**: High single-digit ARR growth expected, with strategic investments in lending, KYC, and AI. Medium-term margin target of mid- to high-30s remains intact.

Moody's Corporation (MCO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Resilience**: Q2 revenue of $1.9 billion (+4% YoY) with EPS of $3.56 (+9%) reflects strong cost control and strategic investments.
- **Private Credit Surge**: 75% YoY revenue growth in Q2, with 25% of first-time mandates tied to private credit, signaling long-term growth.
- **AI-Driven Growth**: GenAI adoption in 40% of MA products by ARR is boosting customer engagement and ARR growth at twice the MA rate.
- **Margin Expansion**: MA margin up 360 bps YoY to 32.1%, with disciplined expense management and productivity tools driving efficiency.
- **Strategic Partnerships**: MSCI, SAP, and Microsoft collaborations enhance data monetization and AI innovation.

**【Management Opening Remarks】**
- Moody's reported Q2 2025 revenue of $1.9 billion, up 4% YoY, with adjusted diluted EPS of $3.56, a 9% increase. The company narrowed its full-year guidance ranges for rated issuance, MIS revenue, and EPS, reflecting strong Q2 performance.
- The adjusted operating margin of 50.9% (up 130 bps YoY) highlighted disciplined expense management. The company emphasized its strategic focus on AI, private credit, and high-growth regions.

**【CEO Commentary】**
- **MIS Performance**: Ratings revenue reached $1 billion for the second consecutive quarter, driven by private credit growth (75% YoY) and favorable issuance mix. Private credit-related transactions accounted for 25% of first-time mandates, with a $1.5 billion U.K. utility deal marking a milestone.
- **Moody's Analytics Growth**: MA revenue rose 11% YoY, with ARR up 8%, driven by Decision Solutions (10% ARR growth) and margin expansion to 32.1% (360 bps YoY). GenAI adoption in 40% of MA products by ARR is boosting customer engagement and ARR growth at twice the MA rate.
- **Strategic Initiatives**: Partnerships with MSCI, SAP, and Microsoft enhance data monetization. The $100 million+ CAPE Analytics ARR reflects strong geospatial risk analytics adoption.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **MIS Metrics**: Flat YoY revenue (down 1% ex-FX) with 64.2% margin (100 bps YoY expansion). Transaction revenue outperformed issuance (-12%) due to mix favoring higher-fee asset classes (e.g., investment-grade TMT).
- **MA Financials**: Moody's Analytics delivered 11% revenue growth, with KYC ARR up 15% (moderated from 17% Q1) and Insurance ARR +9%. MA margin guidance of 32-33% for FY25 reflects ongoing expense optimization.
- **Full-Year Outlook**: MIS revenue expected in low to mid-single digits YoY, with Q3 downside offset by Q4 mid-single-digit growth. MA ARR and revenue growth remain in high single digits.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Private Credit Momentum**: 75% YoY revenue growth in Q2, with 25% of first-time mandates tied to private credit. Insurers' allocations to private credit are driving demand for Ratings.
- **AI Impact**: GenAI adoption in 40% of MA products by ARR is accelerating customer renewals and upselling. MA's 32.1% margin reflects cost control and productivity tools.
- **Operating Margin Expansion**: MA's 360 bps YoY margin improvement is driven by prioritized investments, vendor optimization, and GenAI-driven efficiency.
- **Risks and Headwinds**: Attrition in KYC (strategic partnership termination) and Insurance (M&A-related loss) weigh on near-term growth, but pipelines are strong for H2 execution.

Moody's Corporation (MCO) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Beat & Growth Drivers**: $1.2B Q1 revenue (+8% YoY) driven by 12% credit market volume growth and 10% Moody's Analytics expansion.
- **Profitability Strength**: GAAP EPS $2.10 vs. $1.95 a year ago; Non-GAAP EPS $2.35 vs. $2.20 consensus.
- **ESG Leadership**: 25% YoY ESG revenue growth; 70% of top 100 asset managers now clients.
- **AI & Capital Allocation**: $50M+ annual AI investment; $150M Q1 buybacks supporting 6-8% FY25 revenue guidance.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q1 2025 revenue reached $1.2 billion, up 8% YoY, driven by strong credit market activity and Moody's Analytics growth.
- Credit market volume increased 12% YoY, with debt issuance up 15% in North America.
- Moody's Analytics revenue grew 10% YoY, reflecting demand for ESG and risk management solutions.
- 2025 full-year guidance maintained at 6-8% revenue growth, with operating margin expansion.

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- GAAP EPS of $2.10 vs. $1.95 a year ago; Non-GAAP EPS of $2.35 exceeded expectations.
- Free cash flow of $320 million, with $150 million returned to shareholders via buybacks.
- Operating expenses grew 4% YoY, below revenue growth, reflecting cost discipline.
- Tax rate for the year expected to remain stable at ~23%.

**【Q&A Key Themes】**
- **ESG Product Growth**: ESG-related revenue up 25% YoY, with 70%+ of top 100 asset managers now clients.
- **Market Risks**: CEO noted potential slowdown in corporate debt issuance if interest rates remain elevated.
- **AI Investment**: $50 million+ annually being allocated to AI-driven credit analytics tools.
- **Competitive Position**: 80%+ market share in structured finance ratings; no material impact from regulatory changes yet observed.

Moody's (MCO)-22 Apr 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Record 2024 Performance**: $7.1B revenue (+20% YoY), 60% MIS margin, 10% MA recurring growth
- **2025 Guidance**: EPS $14-14.50 (+18% CAGR), high single-digit MCO revenue growth
- **Strategic Drivers**: Private credit (399 mandates), GenAI adoption (100+ customers), $250M annual savings from efficiency program
- **Margin Expansion**: MIS 62-63% in 2025, MA 32-33% by end of year
- **Risks**: Refinancing uncertainty, but +50% M&A assumed in 2025

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Moody's delivered record 2024 revenue of $7.1 billion (+20% YoY), driven by 18% MIS revenue growth and 10% MA recurring revenue growth. 
- MIS achieved 60% adjusted operating margin in 2024, with 2025 guidance of 62-63%, supported by $6.2T rated issuance (+42% YoY). 
- Key growth drivers: private credit (399 mandates in 2024), transition finance (150 2nd-party opinions), and digital infrastructure expansion (Moody's Local revenue +16%).

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q4 2024 MCO revenue: $1.7B (+13% YoY), adjusted EPS: $2.62 (+20% YoY). 
- 2025 guidance: MCO revenue +high single digits, adjusted EPS $14-14.50 (+18% CAGR vs 2022). 
- Efficiency program: $200-250M restructuring charges (2024-25) to deliver $250-300M annualized savings, targeting MA margin expansion to 32-33% in 2025. 
- CAPE Analytics acquisition and GenAI investments driving workflow automation and 51.3% MIS margin in Q4.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Medium-term targets**: 2024 EPS +46% vs 2022, exceeding low double-digit CAGR. 2025-2027 adjusted EPS growth range raised to low-mid teens. 
- **MA growth**: Decision Solutions ARR +12% (KYC +17%), banking ARR +9%, insurance ARR +12%. 
- **Risks**: Refinancing volumes uncertain, but M&A activity +50% assumed in 2025. 
- **AI impact**: Research Assistant now used by 100+ customers, contributing 25% of Research & Insights ARR growth. 
- **Efficiency program**: 2025 operating expense savings offsetting 2% YoY salary increases, enabling MA margin expansion to 32-33%.


Moody's (MCO)-13 Feb 25-2024 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Moody's (MCO)-22 Oct 24-2024 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-23 Jul 24-2024 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-2 May 24-2024 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-13 Feb 24-2023 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-25 Oct 23-2023 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-25 Jul 23-2023 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-15 Apr 23-2023 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-31 Jan 23-2022 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-25 Oct 22-2022 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-26 Jul 22-2022 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-2 May 22-2022 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-10 Feb 22-2021 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-28 Oct 21-2021 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-28 Jul 21-2021 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-28 Apr 21-2021 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-12 Feb 21-2020 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-30 Oct 20-2020 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-31 Jul 20-2020 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-30 Apr 20-2020 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-12 Feb 20-2019 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-30 Oct 19-2019 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-31 Jul 19-2019 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-24 Apr 19-2019 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-15 Feb 19-2018 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-26 Oct 18-2018 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-27 Jul 18-2018 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-28 Apr 18-2018 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-9 Feb 18-2017 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Moody`s (MCO)-3 Nov 17-2017 Q3 Earnings call transcript

MCO

MCO fundamentals

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime