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What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Karman Holdings year over year?

- **Revenue Growth Accelerates**: 2026 guidance of $715-$730M (53% YoY) reflects organic and inorganic growth, driven by missile programs (+100%-300% production rates).
- **Profitability Expansion**: Adjusted EBITDA target of $207-$218M (46% YoY) supported by 40% gross margin and cost control.
- **Strategic Investments**: $36M CapEx for Salt Lake City hub, AI-driven KOS, and workforce expansion to meet 2027+ production ramps.
- **New Market Opportunity**: Maritime Defense added as fourth end market, with Seemann acquisition contributing $100M+ annualized revenue.
- **Risk Mitigation**: Redundant nozzle production, strategic supplier partnerships, and AI monitoring reduce supply chain risks.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Ian K. Walsh emphasized Karman’s market position as a unique enabler for national security and the space economy, highlighting its vertically integrated manufacturing capabilities and relentless focus on growth.
- Announced 2026 guidance: Revenue of $715-$730 million (53% YoY growth) and adjusted EBITDA of $207-$218 million (46% YoY growth), driven by organic and inorganic growth.
- Stressed the importance of strategic investments in AI, capacity expansion, and operational efficiency to meet customer demand.

**【Former CEO Summary】**
- Tony Koblinski highlighted 2025 achievements: Record Q4 revenue ($134M, +47% YoY), full-year revenue ($472M, +37% YoY), and adjusted EBITDA ($145M, +37% YoY).
- Noted three acquisitions (MTI, ISP, Five Axis) and the January 2026 Seemann Composites acquisition, expanding capabilities in advanced materials and maritime defense.
- Highlighted demand trends: 100%+ growth in missile programs (AIM-9X, THAAD, PAC-3) and hypersonic testbeds, with production ramp-ups expected through 2030.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q4 2025: GAAP net income $8M, adjusted EBITDA $42M (+59% YoY), adjusted EPS $0.11 (+233% YoY).
- FY2025: Full-year revenue $472M, gross profit $190M (40% margin), adjusted EBITDA $145M.
- 2026 outlook: CapEx increased to 5% of revenue ($36M), debt leverage target 3x EBITDA, and tax rate 25.5%.
- Introduced Maritime Defense as a fourth end market, expecting balanced revenue across all segments.

**【COO Operations Update】**
- Jonathan Beaudoin detailed capacity expansion: Salt Lake City hub (200K sq ft, Q4 2026 launch) to quadruple UAS launch system production and add nozzle manufacturing redundancy.
- Workforce growth from 1,100 to 1,400 employees (2025), with continued hiring to support production ramps.
- Karman Operating System (KOS) deployment: AI-enabled tools for real-time equipment monitoring, yield optimization, and predictive maintenance.
- Integration of Seemann and MSC expected to complete by Q4 2026, adding $100M+ in annualized revenue.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Multiyear Contracts**: Ian Walsh noted production ramp-ups for missile programs (e.g., PAC-3 +300%) will materialize in 2027+ due to contract timing delays.
- **Supply Chain**: Mike Willis stated no significant bottlenecks, with strategic supplier agreements and cost-plus contract diversification.
- **M&A Appetite**: CEO emphasized disciplined, accretive acquisitions (e.g., Seemann +70% EBITDA margin) to complement organic growth.
- **Golden Dome**: Expected to drive incremental missile production, with orders likely in 2027.
- **Maritime Defense**: Seemann acquisition adds $100M+ in annualized revenue, with bipartisan support for maritime defense spending.


Karman Holdings Inc (KRMN) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Q3 Performance**: $122M revenue (42% YoY), $38M EBITDA (34% YoY), and $758M funded backlog.
- **Strategic Expansion**: Acquired Five Axis for rocket engine nozzles, raised 2025 guidance to $461-463M revenue.
- **2026 Growth Outlook**: 20-25% organic growth target, 50bps annual EBITDA margin expansion.
- **Key Risks**: Federal government shutdown delays, but no impact to 2025 guidance.
- **Margin Strength**: 41% gross margin, targeting 50bps annual EBITDA margin improvement.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Record Financial Performance**: Q3 revenue of $122 million (42% YoY growth), gross profit $50 million (48% YoY), and adjusted EBITDA $38 million (34% YoY). 
- **Strategic Acquisition**: Completed $1.2 billion secondary offering and acquired Five Axis Industries for rocket engine nozzle production capabilities.
- **Backlog Growth**: Funded backlog reached $758 million, providing 100% visibility to 2025 guidance midpoint.
- **Guidance Update**: Raised 2025 revenue to $461-463 million (34% YoY growth) and EBITDA to $142-143 million.
- **2026 Outlook**: Anticipates 20-25% organic revenue growth, excluding M&A, driven by hypersonic, missile defense, and space launch programs.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Revenue by End Market**: 
  - Hypersonics/SMD: $37M (36% YoY)
  - Space/Launch: $41M (47% YoY)
  - Tactical Missiles: $44M (42% YoY)
- **Balance Sheet Strength**: $19M cash, $505M Term Loan B after $130M upsizing. Pro forma net leverage 3x EBITDA.
- **Tax & CapEx**: 25.5% statutory tax rate, 4.5% CapEx of revenue.
- **Margin Trends**: Gross margin maintained at 41%, targeting 50bps annual EBITDA margin expansion.

**【COO Operational Highlights】**
- **Market Demand**: >80 customers across 130 programs, driven by:
  - Replenishment (Golden Dome)
  - Hypersonic R&D
  - Counter-UAS systems
  - Space launch cadence
- **Operational Investments**: 
  - Albany, OR facility expansion (forging capacity doubling)
  - RIPL POD rapid deployment system
- **Customer Recognition**: ULA Enterprise Operations Supplier of the Year 2025.
- **Government Shutdown Impact**: No direct impact to 2025 guidance, but meetings/solicitations delayed.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Organic Growth**: 2025 organic growth ~34%, 2026 target 20-25% (excluding M&A). 
- **M&A Pipeline**: Healthy pipeline with accretive tuck-in acquisitions. No dual sourcing threats identified.
- **Golden Dome**: Benefits through:
  - Existing program demand acceleration
  - New space-based interceptor development
  - Launch cadence growth
- **2026 Visibility**: 75%+ of 2026 revenue booked in backlog, no single program >10% concentration.
- **Margin Guidance**: Target 50bps annual EBITDA margin expansion through operating leverage.


Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Q2 Growth**: $115.1M revenue (+35% YoY), $35.3M EBITDA, and 32% full-year guidance raise.
- **Strategic Momentum**: $1.2B secondary offering, MTI/ISE acquisitions, and $719M 2026 backlog visibility.
- **Operational Excellence**: 41% gross margin, $27.4M cash, and 50% capacity expansion in missile nozzles.
- **Market Leadership**: Dominant share in unmanned systems, hypersonics, and space launch components for all major providers.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Q2 2025 revenue reached $115.1 million, up 35% YoY, with record gross profit of $47 million and adjusted EBITDA of $35.3 million.
- Raised full-year 2025 guidance to $452-$458 million (32% YoY growth) and EBITDA of $138.5-$141.5 million.
- Strategic milestones include $1.2 billion secondary offering, MTI and ISE acquisitions, and Russell 1000 index inclusion.
- 2026 backlog visibility exceeds $719 million, driven by Golden Dome, missile restocking, and space launch growth.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q2 GAAP net income: $6.8 million (48% YoY growth); Non-GAAP EPS: $0.10 (triple YoY).
- End market growth: 39% in Space/Launch, 22% in Hypersonics, 46% in Tactical Missiles.
- Cash balance: $27.4 million (up $16 million YoY); Term Loan B refinanced to $375 million.
- 2025 CapEx: ~4.5% of revenue; statutory tax rate: 24%.

**【COO Operational Highlights】**
- Installed advanced manufacturing equipment (18ft VTL, 5-axis machining centers) to boost capacity by 50% in missile nozzles.
- Acquisitions (MTI/ISE) added refractory metals expertise and energetic systems, with $8 million annualized cost savings.
- 90%+ contracts fixed-price with 12-18 month durations; minimal rare earth exposure mitigates supply chain risks.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Capacity Utilization**: 11 facilities with ample square footage; new equipment maintains 12-18 month lead over demand.
- **Backlog Growth**: 2026 backlog exceeds $719 million, driven by Golden Dome ($25B) and missile restocking ($17B in FY26 DoD request).
- **Pricing Strategy**: 30+ EBITDA margin target; collaborative pricing with customers to meet program goals.
- **Acquisition Impact**: MTI/ISE contributed $10M+ in Q2 revenue, with accretive margins and new customer relationships.


Karman (KRMN)-7 Aug 25-2025 Q2 Earnings call transcript

- **Record Q1 Results**: $100.1M revenue (+20.6% YoY), $30M adjusted EBITDA (30% margin), 95% 2025 revenue visibility.
- **Gross Margin Expansion**: 39.4% vs. 34.9% YoY, driven by operational efficiency.
- **Defense Growth Drivers**: Hypersonics programs (Golden Dome, Army Launched Effects), GMLRS production doubling by 2028.
- **Supply Chain Resilience**: <1% intl revenue, no tariff exposure, 90%+ fixed-price contracts.
- **2025 Guidance**: $423-433M revenue (24% growth), $132-137M EBITDA (27% growth).

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Q1 2025 revenue reached $100.1 million, up 20.6% YoY, driven by growth across all three end markets: hypersonics (+21.1%), tactical missiles (+29.6%), and space/launch (+12%).
- Record adjusted EBITDA of $30 million (30% margin) and fully diluted adjusted EPS of $0.05.
- Funded backlog increased to $636 million, with 95% of full-year 2025 revenue already booked as of April 2025.
- 2025 guidance reaffirmed: revenue $423-433 million (24% YoY growth), adjusted EBITDA $132-137 million (27% growth).

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Gross margin expanded 450bps YoY to 39.4%, driven by operating leverage and efficiency gains.
- Adjusted EBITDA rose 25% YoY to $30.3 million, despite $8 million in one-time share-based compensation expenses from the February 2025 IPO.
- Cash position strengthened to $113.7 million after refinancing debt with lower-cost facilities maturing in 2030-32.
- 2025 tax rate expected at 24%, with CapEx ~4% of revenue ($16.9-17.3 million).

**【COO Market Update】**
- Hypersonics programs (e.g., Golden Dome, Army Launched Effects) align with DoD priorities, with potential for multi-year production growth (e.g., GMLRS from 10,000 to 19,000 units/year by 2028).
- Space launch content varies by provider, but Karman supplies subsystems to ~every U.S. space launch vehicle.
- Supply chain resilience: <1% revenue from international sales, no tariff-exposed inputs, and 90%+ contracts fixed-price with 12-month renewal terms.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **SLS Program**: Decline in Q1 2025 was due to customer PO timing; now <1% of forecasted revenue.
- **Hypersonics Exposure**: Karman is on "virtually all" current DoD hypersonic development programs, with propulsion, thermal protection, and structural components.
- **Golden Dome Funding**: Potential bookings could emerge in 2026, but 2025 focus remains on executing existing $636 million backlog.
- **EBITDA Margin Expansion**: Driven by operating leverage, efficiency improvements, and minimal incremental CapEx needs beyond 4% of revenue.


Actual		0.05	0.1	0.1	0.11
Forecast		0.0224	0.0975	0.1117	0.115
Surprise	0.00%	+123.21%	+2.56%	-10.47%	-4.35%

Actual	--	100.12M	115.10M	121.79M	134.49M
Forecast	--	96.38M	107.60M	118.13M	132.64M
Surprise	0.00%	+3.88%	+6.97%	+3.10%	+1.40%

KRMN

KRMN fundamentals

KRMN Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime

KRMN

KRMN fundamentals

KRMN Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

KRMN Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20254:30 PM on Mar 25, 2026

KRMN Earnings Call Summary for Q3/20254:30 PM on Nov 6, 2025

KRMN Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20254:30 PM on Aug 7, 2025

KRMN Earnings Call Summary for Q1/20254:30 PM on May 13, 2025

KRMN Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20244:30 PM on Apr 8, 2025

You can ask Aime