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Did Jpmorgan Chase beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

- **Record Financials**: Q4 2025 net income $13B, EPS $4.63, ROTCE 18%. Full year ROTCE 20% despite $57.5B net income.
- **Revenue Growth**: 7% YoY to $46.8B, driven by Markets (+7% fixed income, +40% equities) and AWM (+13% fees).
- **Strategic Investments**: $105B 2026 expenses for tech, AI, and growth (e.g., Apple Card integration, rural branches).
- **Risk Watch**: NBFI lending at $160B, stable but with fraud/recession risks. Credit card APR caps could cause 6%+ deposit outflows.
- **Consumer Resilience**: CCB debit/credit sales +7% YoY, 1.7M new checking accounts, 10.4M new cards.


**【CFO Financial Overview】**
- **Q4 2025 Results**: Net income of $13 billion, EPS of $4.63, and ROTCE of 18%. Revenue grew 7% YoY to $46.8 billion, driven by higher Markets revenue and asset management fees. Expenses rose 5% YoY to $24 billion, primarily due to compensation and office hiring.
- **Full Year 2025**: Excluding special items, net income was $57.5 billion, EPS $20.18, and ROTCE 20%. 
- **Balance Sheet**: CET1 ratio 14.5%, down 30bps QoQ due to capital distributions and higher RWA from Apple Card transaction.

**【Business Performance】**
- **Consumer & Community Banking (CCB)**: Net income $3.6 billion (excluding $2.2B reserve build). Revenue up 6% YoY, driven by card loan growth and deposit margin expansion. Consumer resilience noted, with debit/credit sales up 7% YoY.
- **Corporate & Investment Banking (CIB)**: Net income $7.3 billion, revenue up 10% YoY. Markets fixed income up 7%, equities up 40%. IB fees down 5% YoY due to prior year comparables.
- **Asset & Wealth Management (AWM)**: Net income $1.8 billion, revenue up 13% YoY. Long-term inflows $52B Q4, $209B FY25. Performance fees and market growth contributed.

**【Strategic Initiatives】**
- **Apple Card Integration**: 2-year process to integrate Apple's iOS tech stack into JPM's systems. Expected to enhance user experience and drive innovation in CCB.
- **NBFI Lending**: Exposures $160B as of Q4, with structural credit enhancement. Loss history minimal, but risks include fraud or deep recession.
- **Expense Outlook 2026**: $105B adjusted expenses, reflecting investments in growth opportunities across businesses. Focus on tech, AI, and client engagement.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Stablecoin Regulation**: Advocacy against unregulated parallel banking systems. Risks include deposit migration and regulatory arbitrage.
- **Credit Card APR Caps**: Potential for significant credit contraction, especially for subprime borrowers. Impact on co-branded cards varies by issuer credit profile.
- **Capital Deployment**: $9B+ in 2026 for tech, AI, and strategic initiatives (e.g., rural branches, global expansion). Emphasis on long-term franchise strength over short-term efficiency.
- **Regulatory Environment**: Deregulation positive, but geopolitical risks and deficit concerns pose medium-term challenges.


JPMorgan Chase & Co.(JPM)-20260113-2025 Q4 Earnings call transcript

- **Strong Q3 Performance**: $14.4B net income, 9% YoY revenue growth driven by markets and fees. Expense control maintained with 8% YoY increase.
- **Credit Resilience**: Consumer credit metrics stable, Wholesale charge-offs elevated due to fraud but overall credit trends stable.
- **2026 Outlook**: NII ex-Markets guidance of $95B, expense growth ~4% driven by labor inflation. AI productivity efforts to constrain growth.
- **Strategic Focus**: Deposit growth acceleration, NBFI lending risk management, and regulatory advocacy for capital efficiency.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q3 2025 Results**: Net income of $14.4 billion, EPS of $5.07, and ROTCE of 20%. Revenue of $47.1 billion grew 9% YoY, driven by higher markets revenue and fees across asset management, investment banking, and payments. NII growth was offset by lower rates.
- **Expenses**: $24.3 billion (+8% YoY) due to volume and revenue-related costs. Credit costs were $3.4 billion, with net charge-offs of $2.6 billion and a $810 million reserve build.
- **Balance Sheet**: CET1 ratio of 14.8% (down 30bps QoQ) due to higher RWA from wholesale lending and markets activity.
- **Outlook**: 2025 card NCO rate expected at 3.3%. 2026 NII ex-Markets guidance of $95 billion, with expense growth driven by labor inflation and AI productivity efforts.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Deposit Growth**: CCB net new checking accounts up 400,000 Q3, but macro factors (savings rate, equity flows) delay balance growth. 2026 deposit growth assumptions pushed out slightly.
- **Credit Risks**: Wholesale charge-offs elevated due to fraud cases (e.g., Tricolor). Consumer credit metrics stable, with delinquencies better than expected.
- **AI & Expenses**: Emphasize expense discipline over measurable AI savings. 2026 expense growth expected at ~4%, driven by labor inflation and revenue-related costs.
- **Regulatory Environment**: Support for Basel III reforms to reduce capital inefficiencies. Concerns over NBFI lending risks and regulatory scrutiny of private credit underwriting.
- **Mortgage Market**: Advocacy for reducing regulatory burdens to lower mortgage spreads, enabling banks to play a larger role in residential lending.


JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Regulatory Push for Growth**: CEO Jamie Dimon called for sweeping regulatory reforms (G-SIFI, SLR) to reduce capital constraints and enable more lending, while CFO Jeremy Barnum highlighted the bank's $95.5B expense guidance for 2025.
- **Strong Financials**: Q2 net income of $15B, EPS of $5.24, with NII ex Markets up 8% to $92B, driven by deposit growth and fee income.
- **Credit Resilience**: Consumer credit remains stable, with delinquencies in line with expectations, despite idiosyncratic stress in commercial loans.
- **Strategic Focus**: Emphasis on organic growth in middle-market and innovation economy lending, with cautious optimism on deal activity despite macro uncertainties.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Jamie Dimon emphasized the need for regulatory simplification, citing issues with G-SIFI, SLR, and Basel III, which inhibit lending and liquidity. He highlighted the importance of addressing regulatory overlaps to enhance bank competitiveness and system resilience.
- Dimon expressed cautious optimism about the economic environment, noting the potential for continued deal activity but cautioning against relying on market sentiment for long-term strategy.
- He reiterated the bank's focus on organic growth, particularly in middle-market businesses and innovation economy lending, while maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q2 2025 net income was $15 billion, EPS of $5.24, on revenue of $45.7 billion. NII ex Markets was $92 billion, driven by deposit growth in Payments and Card services. NIR ex Markets rose 8% due to higher fees in Asset Management, Investment Banking, and Payments.
- Expenses increased 5% to $23.8 billion, driven by compensation and auto lease depreciation. Credit costs were $2.8 billion, with a net reserve build of $439 million.
- CET1 ratio was 15%, down 40bps due to RWA expansion from wholesale lending and Card loans. The bank expects to increase the dividend to $1.50 per share in Q3.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Regulatory Environment**: Dimon and Barnum discussed the need for regulatory reforms, particularly G-SIFI and SLR, to reduce capital constraints and encourage lending. Barnum noted that while some regulatory relief (e.g., SLR) is on the horizon, broader reforms are needed.
- **Capital Allocation**: Barnum reiterated the capital hierarchy (organic growth > inorganic growth > dividend > buybacks), with $95.5 billion in adjusted expenses for 2025. Dimon hinted at potential inorganic opportunities but emphasized the high bar for acquisitions.
- **Stablecoins and Open Banking**: Dimon stated JPMorgan is exploring stablecoins (e.g., JPM Coin) to stay competitive, while Barnum stressed the importance of customer control over data in open banking.
- **Credit Quality**: Barnum noted consumer credit remains strong, with delinquencies in line with expectations. Commercial credit saw idiosyncratic stress but overall stability. Nonaccruals in Home Lending rose due to wildfire-related forbearance.
- **Loan Growth**: CIB reported $33 billion in C&I loan growth, driven by late-quarter deal activity. However, lending income declined due to hedge costs and late balance sheet impact.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Q1 Performance**: $14.6B net income, 8% YoY revenue growth, driven by markets (+21%) and CIB fees (+12%).
- **Resilient Balance Sheet**: CET1 15.4%, $11B capital return, $27.6B credit reserves (weighted unemployment 5.8%).
- **Key Growth Drivers**: Card NII (+12%), auto originations (+20%), and AUM growth (+15%).
- **Economic Uncertainty**: 50% recession risk, clients prioritizing short-term supply chain optimization.
- **Profitability Focus**: $95B expense target, cost control offsetting margin compression.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- CEO Jamie Dimon emphasized the banking system's role as a 'source of strength' during economic uncertainty, despite potential cyclical challenges for bank equities.
- Economic outlook: 50-50 chance of recession, with credit losses likely to rise in a downturn. The bank is prepared to absorb stress, as demonstrated during COVID-19 (adding $15B reserves in 2 months).
- Client behavior: Businesses are prioritizing supply chain optimization over long-term investments, leading to a 'wait-and-see' stance on M&A and hiring.

**【CFO Financial Overview】**
- Q1 2025 Results: Net income $14.6B, EPS $5.07, revenue $46B (+8% YoY). Key drivers:
  - **Markets Revenue**: Up 21% YoY, driven by equities (+48%) and fixed income performance.
  - **CIB**: IB fees up 12% YoY (wallet share #1), payments revenue up 3% YoY.
  - **CCB**: Card NII up 12% YoY, auto originations +20% YoY.
- Expenses: $23.6B (+4% YoY), driven by compensation and tech investments.
- Credit Costs: $3.3B (net charge-offs $2.3B), with a $973M reserve build (weighted avg unemployment 5.8%).
- Capital: CET1 ratio 15.4%, after $11B capital return (dividends + buybacks).

**【Business Segment Breakdown】**
1. **Consumers & Small Business (CCB)**:
   - Revenue $18.3B (+4% YoY), deposits stable, client investment assets +7% YoY.
   - Card outstandings +10% YoY, auto originations $10.7B (+20% YoY).
   - Credit: Card charge-offs +$275M YoY, reserve build $400M in card.

2. **Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB)**:
   - IB fees up 12% YoY (advisory +16%, underwriting +16%).
   - Lending revenue up 11% YoY, offset by lower balances.
   - Equity underwriting down 9% YoY due to market conditions.

3. **Markets**:
   - Fixed income +8% YoY, equities +48% YoY (record performance).
   - Securities Services +7% YoY, offset by margin compression.

4. **Asset & Wealth Management**:
   - Revenue $5.7B (+12% YoY), AUM $6T (+15% YoY).
   - Pretax margin 35%, driven by fee growth and market gains.

**【Outlook & Risks】**
- Full Year Guidance: NII markets ~$90B, adjusted expenses ~$95B, card charge-off rate ~3.6%.
- Risks: Elevated macro uncertainty, deposit margin compression, regulatory headwinds.
- Opportunities: Strong client flows, markets volatility, and cost control efforts.


JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)-11 Apr 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Record Q4 Performance**: $14B net income, 10% YoY revenue growth, ROTCE 21%.
- **Key Growth Drivers**: Card NII (+14%), IV fees (+49%), and markets revenue (+21%).
- **Capital Strategy**: $4B buybacks, excess capital ~$150B to be returned if no deployment.
- **2025 Outlook**: NII trough mid-2025, AWM inflows positive across asset classes.
- **Strategic Moves**: Global consumer banking expansion, regulatory advocacy for safer, competitive banking system.

**【CFO Financial Overview】**
- **Q4 2024 Results**: Net income of $14 billion, EPS of $4.81, revenue of $43.7 billion (10% YoY growth). ROTCE at 21%.
- **Revenue Breakdown**: 
  - **NII ex-markets**: $9.1 billion (30% YoY growth), driven by asset management and investment banking fees.
  - **Markets Revenue**: $1.2 billion (21% YoY growth) in fixed income and equities.
  - **Expenses**: $22.8 billion (-7% YoY), with 5% increase excluding FDIC costs, mainly due to compensation.
  - **Credit Costs**: $2.6 billion, reflecting net charge-offs of $2.4 billion (up 428M YoY in Card).

**【Business Segment Performance】**
- **Consumer & Community Banking (CCB)**: 
  - Revenue $18.4 billion (+1% YoY), driven by Card NII (+14%) and Home Lending (+12%).
  - Client investment assets up 14% YoY, deposits stable at $1.3T.
- **Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB)**: 
  - Revenue $17.6 billion, with IV fees up 49% YoY (wallet share 9.3%).
  - Markets revenue $7B (+21% YoY), Security Services up 10%.
- **Asset & Wealth Management (AWM)**: 
  - Net inflows $76B Q4, AUM $4T (+18% YoY). Management fees up 13% YoY.

**【Capital & Balance Sheet】**
- **CET1 Ratio**: 15.7% (up 40bps QoQ), supported by $4B share buybacks.
- **Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA)**: $24B decline QoQ, seasonal in markets and wholesale lending.
- **2025 Outlook**: 
  - NII ex-markets ~$90B, expenses ~$95B.
  - Deposit growth expected in H2 2025, NII trough mid-2025.
  - Card net charge-off rate ~3.6% YoY.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Capital Management**: Excess capital ~$150B; plan to arrest growth via buybacks if no deployment opportunities.
- **Loan Growth**: CIB pipeline optimistic, but C&amp;I growth cautious due to capital markets access.
- **Regulatory Environment**: Advocating for holistic regulatory framework, liquidity management key focus.
- **Global Expansion**: Consumer banking expansion in APAC and EMEA, focusing on digital channels and risk management.
- **Wildfire Support**: Waiving fees, contributing to relief efforts amid minimal financial impact.


Actual																0.78	1.38	2.92	3.79	4.5	3.78	3.74	3.33	2.63	2.76	3.12	3.57	4.1	4.75	4.33	3.04	4.44	6.12	4.37	4.81	5.07	5.24	5.07	4.63
Forecast																1.8694	1.1467	2.2259	2.6235	3.0965	3.2	3.0049	3.0115	2.6954	2.8911	2.8962	3.0751	3.4142	3.937	3.9487	3.3489	4.1718	5.884	3.9901	4.0942	4.633	4.4831	4.8457	4.9653	5.3865
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-58.28%	+20.35%	+31.18%	+44.46%	+45.33%	+18.13%	+24.46%	+10.58%	-2.43%	-4.53%	+7.73%	+16.09%	+20.09%	+20.65%	+9.66%	-9.22%	+6.43%	+4.01%	+9.52%	+17.48%	+9.43%	+16.88%	+4.63%	-6.75%	0.00%

Actual	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	29.07B	33.82B	29.94B	30.16B	32.30B	30.50B	29.65B	29.26B	30.72B	30.71B	32.72B	34.55B	38.35B	41.31B	39.87B	38.57B	41.93B	51.00B	43.31B	42.77B	45.31B	44.91B	46.43B	45.80B	--
Forecast	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	29.54B	30.41B	28.22B	28.67B	30.49B	29.97B	29.79B	29.82B	30.61B	31.87B	32.06B	34.35B	36.12B	38.62B	39.63B	39.73B	41.69B	42.23B	41.43B	41.95B	43.99B	43.81B	45.47B	45.86B	48.75B
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-1.61%	+11.21%	+6.12%	+5.19%	+5.94%	+1.78%	-0.47%	-1.88%	+0.36%	-3.62%	+2.06%	+0.57%	+6.16%	+6.96%	+0.62%	-2.91%	+0.59%	+20.78%	+4.56%	+1.95%	+2.99%	+2.51%	+2.11%	-0.12%	0.00%

JPM

JPM fundamentals

JPM Q1 2026 Earnings Preview

Earnings Call

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JPM

JPM fundamentals

JPM Q1 2026 Earnings Preview

Earnings Call

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You can ask Aime