HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises·NYSE
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4.92 / 10
Netural
HOV's fundamental profile is mid-range, rated neutral with a 4.9/10. Key positives include strong cash-flow metrics (Cash-MV score 3/3 and Cash-UP score 2/2) and a healthy ROE trend (score 3/3). However, significant red flags are negative total-profit growth (-72.85% YoY) and a low PB-ROE reading (-0.8269), both in the weakest historical quartiles. Revenue and net-income ratios also lag, contributing to an overall cautious stance. Historical back-tests show mixed returns, with some factors like Cash-MV delivering 19.99% one-month gains but others, such as Revenue-MV, only -0.34%. This blend of strengths and weaknesses underpins the neutral fundamental rating.
Analysis Checks(5/10)
Revenue-MV
Value2.23
Score0/3
Weight-0.49%
1M Return-0.34%
Value2.23
Score0/3
Weight-0.49%
1M Return-0.34%
ROE (diluted) (YoY growth rate %)
Value2.35
Score3/3
Weight15.95%
1M Return9.14%
Value2.35
Score3/3
Weight15.95%
1M Return9.14%
Net income-Revenue
Value0.15
Score0/3
Weight-0.15%
1M Return-0.11%
Value0.15
Score0/3
Weight-0.15%
1M Return-0.11%
Total profit (YoY growth rate %)
Value-72.85
Score1/3
Weight4.13%
1M Return2.80%
Value-72.85
Score1/3
Weight4.13%
1M Return2.80%
Cash-UP
Value0.87
Score2/3
Weight15.55%
1M Return11.19%
Value0.87
Score2/3
Weight15.55%
1M Return11.19%
Net cash flow from operating activities per share (YoY growth rate %)
Value711.81
Score2/3
Weight6.11%
1M Return3.61%
Value711.81
Score2/3
Weight6.11%
1M Return3.61%
Profit-MV
Value1.52
Score2/3
Weight23.59%
1M Return10.74%
Value1.52
Score2/3
Weight23.59%
1M Return10.74%
PB-ROE
Value-0.83
Score0/3
Weight1.64%
1M Return1.14%
Value-0.83
Score0/3
Weight1.64%
1M Return1.14%
Net cash flow from operating activities (YoY growth rate %)
Value696.44
Score1/3
Weight2.82%
1M Return1.86%
Value696.44
Score1/3
Weight2.82%
1M Return1.86%
Cash-MV
Value2.10
Score3/3
Weight30.87%
1M Return19.99%
Value2.10
Score3/3
Weight30.87%
1M Return19.99%
Revenue-MV
Value2.23
Score0/3
Weight-0.49%
1M Return-0.34%
Value2.23
Score0/3
Weight-0.49%
1M Return-0.34%
Net cash flow from operating activities per share (YoY growth rate %)
Value711.81
Score2/3
Weight6.11%
1M Return3.61%
Value711.81
Score2/3
Weight6.11%
1M Return3.61%
ROE (diluted) (YoY growth rate %)
Value2.35
Score3/3
Weight15.95%
1M Return9.14%
Value2.35
Score3/3
Weight15.95%
1M Return9.14%
Profit-MV
Value1.52
Score2/3
Weight23.59%
1M Return10.74%
Value1.52
Score2/3
Weight23.59%
1M Return10.74%
Net income-Revenue
Value0.15
Score0/3
Weight-0.15%
1M Return-0.11%
Value0.15
Score0/3
Weight-0.15%
1M Return-0.11%
PB-ROE
Value-0.83
Score0/3
Weight1.64%
1M Return1.14%
Value-0.83
Score0/3
Weight1.64%
1M Return1.14%
Total profit (YoY growth rate %)
Value-72.85
Score1/3
Weight4.13%
1M Return2.80%
Value-72.85
Score1/3
Weight4.13%
1M Return2.80%
Net cash flow from operating activities (YoY growth rate %)
Value696.44
Score1/3
Weight2.82%
1M Return1.86%
Value696.44
Score1/3
Weight2.82%
1M Return1.86%
Cash-UP
Value0.87
Score2/3
Weight15.55%
1M Return11.19%
Value0.87
Score2/3
Weight15.55%
1M Return11.19%
Cash-MV
Value2.10
Score3/3
Weight30.87%
1M Return19.99%
Value2.10
Score3/3
Weight30.87%
1M Return19.99%
Is HOV undervalued or overvalued?
- HOV scores 4.92/10 on fundamentals and holds a Fair valuation at present. Backed by its 6.52% ROE, 2.14% net margin, 14.09 P/E ratio, 0.90 P/B ratio, and -76.89% earnings growth, these metrics solidify its Netural investment rating.
