What is the market's earnings forecast for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce next quarter?

What were the key takeaways from Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce's earnings call?

What is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce's latest dividend and current dividend yield?

What guidance did Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce's management provide for the next earnings period?

What is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce's gross profit margin?

Did Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What does Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce do and what are its main business segments?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce year over year?

- **Record Q1 Performance**: Adjusted EPS CAD 2.76 (+25% YoY), ROE 17.4% vs 15.2% prior year. 
- **Margin Strength**: NIM (ex trading) +17bps YoY, fee revenue +18% YoY. 
- **AI Growth Driver**: AI use cases contributed 10% of Q1 unit sales, savings conversion +44%. 
- **Credit Resilience**: CET1 13.4%, provisions stable, mortgage LTV at 57%. 
- **Shareholder Return**: 78% of earnings returned via buybacks/dividends.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q1 2026 EPS (GAAP) of CAD 3.21, up 47% YoY, driven by tax recoveries. Adjusted EPS of CAD 2.76, up 25% YoY, with revenues at CAD 8.4B (+15% YoY). Operating leverage of 3.6% marks 10th consecutive quarter of positive leverage. ROE at 17.4%, CET1 ratio at 13.4%. Share buybacks and dividends returned 78% of earnings.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Net interest income (ex trading) up 13% YoY, NIM (ex trading) at 170bps YoY expansion. Fee revenue up 18% YoY, with market-related fees +18% and transaction fees +10%. Expenses up 12% YoY, driven by tech investments. Canadian P&C NIM at 300bps, U.S. NIM at 401bps. CET1 ratio at 13.4%, up 5bps QoQ.

**【CRO Credit Update】**
- Total provisions CAD 560M (Q1 2026 vs CAD 605M prior quarter). Allowance coverage at 79bps. Gross impaired loans ratio 64bps. Canadian consumer 90+ day delinquencies up QoQ, but net write-offs stable. Mortgage LTV at 57% overall, 68% on impaired balances.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **ROE Target**: CEO confident in >15% ROE, targeting 16-17% medium-term. Current ROE 17.4% vs 15.2% prior year. 
- **NIM Outlook**: Ex trading NIM stable to +ve bias. Q2 may see 6bps seasonal decline. 
- **AI Impact**: AI driving 44% uplift in savings product conversion. 10% of Q1 unit sales from AI use cases. 
- **Credit Risk**: CRO expects stable credit performance. Canadian consumer delinquencies reflect macro conditions but remain manageable. 
- **Capital Allocation**: Maintaining 13.5%+ CET1 while returning 78% of earnings to shareholders.

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce (CM) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Financial Performance**: CAD 8.5B net earnings (17% YoY), EPS of CAD 8.61 (16% YoY), and 14.4% ROE for FY2025.
- **Strategic Momentum**: 14% revenue growth, positive operating leverage, and 10% dividend increase.
- **U.S. Expansion Success**: Capital markets U.S. revenue up 39% YoY, commercial banking U.S. net income up 35% YoY.
- **Credit Resilience**: Impaired PCL ratio of 33bps, CET1 ratio of 13.3%, and 25bps RWA adjustment in Q2 2026.
- **ROE Target**: 15%+ in 2026, driven by credit normalization, operating leverage, and capital efficiency.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Reported net earnings of CAD 8.5 billion (up 17% YoY) and EPS of CAD 8.61 (up 16% YoY), driven by double-digit revenue growth across all businesses.
- Strategic focus on client connectivity, efficiency, and human capital to accelerate execution and deliver relative outperformance.
- Highlighted record revenue of CAD 29 billion (14% YoY growth) and positive operating leverage for the third consecutive year.
- 10% dividend increase to CAD 0.95 per quarter, reflecting confidence in long-term growth.

**【CFO Financial Review】**
- Q4 2025 adjusted EPS: CAD 2.21 (up 16% YoY), with ROE of 14.1% (up 70bps YoY).
- Net interest margin (NIM) expanded 14bps YoY to 290bps in Canada, 384bps in the U.S.
- Non-interest income up 15% YoY, driven by trading, underwriting, and mutual fund fees.
- Expenses grew 10% YoY due to tech investments and strategic initiatives, targeting mid-single-digit expense growth in 2026.
- CET1 ratio of 13.3%, with 25bps expected from operational RWA adjustments in Q2 2026.

**【CRO Credit Performance】**
- Total provisions for credit losses (PCL) of CAD 605 million (Q4 2025), with impaired PCL ratio of 33bps (low end of guidance).
- Gross impaired loans ratio 61bps, stable credit quality across segments.
- U.S. capital markets revenue up 48% YoY, driven by strategic U.S. expansion.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **ROE Target**: 15%+ in 2026, achievable through credit normalization, operating leverage, and capital efficiency.
- **NIM Outlook**: Canada NIM to expand 6-8bps in 2026, U.S. NIM growth moderating from 2025 levels.
- **Expense Management**: Mid-single-digit expense growth in 2026, with tech investments offsetting operational leverage.
- **U.S. Growth**: U.S. commercial banking net income up 35% YoY, driven by deposit growth and fee income.
- **Risk Appetite**: Private credit portfolio diversified across geographies, with risk mitigants embedded in structures.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Financials**: Q3 net income $2.1B (+11% YoY), ROE 14.2% (up 20bps YoY), EPS $2.16 (+12% YoY). 
- **Margin Expansion**: All-bank margin ex-trading up 10bps YoY, NII up 13%, non-interest income up 4%. 
- **Capital Confidence**: $1.4B capital returned, CET1 13.4%, new 2% NCIB announced. 
- **AI-Driven Growth**: 10M digital clients, CAI saves 600,000 hours annually, Wealth Management fees up 15%. 
- **Credit Resilience**: PCL ratio 33bps, Canadian consumer delinquencies stable, US commercial loan growth 3% YoY.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Strong Q3 Results**: Net income of $2.1 billion (+11% YoY), EPS of $2.16 (+12% YoY), and ROE of 14.2% (up 20bps YoY). 
- **Strategic Momentum**: 8th consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage, driven by fee income growth (+15% in Wealth Management) and margin expansion. 
- **Capital Strength**: CET1 ratio of 13.4%, with $1.4 billion returned to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. 
- **AI Innovation**: CAI platform saves 600,000 hours annually, supporting 10 million digital clients (81% of eligible base). 
- **Leadership Transition**: Harry Culham to succeed Victor Dodig on Nov 1, with seamless continuity in strategy execution.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Revenue Growth**: Total revenue up 12% YoY, with NII (+13%) and non-interest income (+4%) both expanding. 
- **Margin Expansion**: All-bank margin ex-trading at 281bps (Canada) and 378bps (US), up 10bps and 6bps YoY. 
- **Expense Control**: Operating expenses grew 4% YoY, below revenue growth, supporting 80bps of operating leverage. 
- **Capital Return**: Completed 20M share buyback program, announced new 2% NCIB, and maintained $1.4B quarterly capital return.

**【Credit Portfolio Update】**
- **Resilient Credit Quality**: Total PCL of $559M (stable QoQ), with impaired PCL ratio at 33bps (within guidance range). 
- **Canadian Consumer Resilience**: Net write-off ratio stable, 90+ day delinquencies up modestly but LTVs at 54% (impaired at 63%). 
- **US Exposure Management**: U.S. commercial loan growth of 3% YoY, balanced against strategic CRE de-risking.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Share Buybacks**: Rob Sedran reaffirmed commitment to NCIB, citing confidence in ROE trajectory and capital discipline. 
- **ROE Outlook**: Targeting 15%+ ROE, with medium-term upside from margin expansion and expense leverage. 
- **Margin Trends**: Canadian PBB margin up 27bps YoY, US margin up 6bps, driven by rate tailwinds and strategic pricing. 
- **Credit Risks**: Prudent allowance build for USMCA renegotiation, but Canadian consumer credit showing stabilization. 
- **Wealth/ Growth**: Imperial Service net sales rank #2 among banks, with 23 of growth from retail distribution.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Q2 Growth Highlights**: $2B net income (+17% YoY), 13.9% ROE, 4.3% operating leverage. 
- **Strategic Wins**: Imperial Service NPS record high, CIBC.ai AI platform expansion, 32% connected commercial clients. 
- **AI & Digital Lead**: First Canadian bank signing Generative AI Code, CIBC Adaptive Mastercard launch. 
- **Credit Strength**: 77bps allowance coverage, 57bps gross impaired loans, mid-30s FY25 PCL guidance. 
- **Capital Flexibility**: 6M shares repurchased Q2, CET1 13.4%, ROE >15% target. 
- **Segment Outperformance**: US Commercial +58% net income, Capital Markets +34% net income. 
- **Economic Resilience**: Canadian consumer portfolios stable, US commercial delinquencies improving.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Strong Q2 Results**: Net income of $2 billion, EPS of $2.05, up 17% YoY. Pre-provision pre-tax earnings rose 19% on broad-based growth and 4.3% operating leverage.
- **Strategic Priorities**: 
  1. Mass affluent and private wealth growth (Imperial Service NPS at record high). 
  2. Digital-first banking (CIBC Adaptive Mastercard launched). 
  3. Cross-platform client engagement (32% of Canadian commercial clients in connected relationships). 
  4. AI investment (CIBC.ai saved 200,000 team hours in pilot). 
- **Credit Resilience**: CET1 ratio of 13.4%, $1.4B capital returned (6M shares repurchased). Total provisions up 18% YoY, but impaired losses within guidance.
- **AI Leadership**: First Canadian bank to sign Gov't of Canada's Generative AI Code of Conduct.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Revenue Growth**: Total revenue up 14% YoY ($3.2B non-interest income). NII ex-trading +16% YoY (273bps Canadian P&C margin). US NIM at 372bps (expected to normalize to 365-370bps). 
- **Expense Management**: Operating expenses +6% YoY (mid-single digit guidance for FY25). 430bps operating leverage driven by strategic investments (e.g., CIBC.ai). 
- **Capital Discipline**: 6M shares repurchased Q2, 14.5M YTD. CET1 ratio 13.4% (down 10bps QoQ). 
- **Segment Strength**: 
  - **Personal & Business Banking**: +4% net income, +8% revenues, +23bps NIM. 
  - **Commercial & Wealth**: +13% net income, +13% revenues (wealth fee-based assets +12%). 
  - **US Commercial**: +58% net income, +10% revenues (deposit growth 15%). 
  - **Capital Markets**: +34% net income, +32% revenues (37% US contribution). 

**【Risk Officer Credit Update】**
- **Credit Quality**: Total provisions $605M (+18% YoY). Allowance coverage 77bps (up 8% YoY). Gross impaired loans stable at 57bps. 
- **Resilience**: Canadian consumer portfolios strong (mortgage LTV 60%). US commercial delinquencies improving. 
- **Guidance**: Full-year impaired PCL rate at mid-30s (Q3 may see moderate increase, then stabilize). 

**【Key Q&A Themes】**
- **Credit Outlook**: Management confident in 77bps allowance adequacy. Mid-30s FY25 PCL guidance maintained. 
- **Capital Deployment**: Buyback flexibility retained (12.5-13.5% CET1 target). ROE >15% medium-term ambition. 
- **NIM Trajectory**: All-bank NIM stable to gradually higher (US normalization expected). 
- **Mortgage Strategy**: Shifting focus to relationship banking (mortgage contribution declining). 
- **Economic Policy**: CEO optimistic on trade resolution and gov't growth initiatives.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

- **Record Q1 Performance**: $7.3B revenue (+17% YoY), $2.20 EPS (+22% YoY), 15.3% ROE.
- **Strategic Growth Drivers**: Mass affluent wealth (+4.5x market growth), digital banking, cross-border connectivity.
- **Financial Strength**: 13.5% CET1, $3.5M shares repurchased, 190bps operating leverage.
- **Credit Resilience**: 31bps impaired PCL, strong Canadian commercial credit metrics, low LTVs on impaired mortgages.
- **Capital Flexibility**: Buybacks to continue; CET1 target >12.5%.


**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q1 2025 revenue reached $7.3 billion, up 17% YoY, with record results across all business units.
- Adjusted EPS of $2.20, up 22% YoY, driven by organic growth strategy and client-focused execution.
- Key strategic priorities: mass affluent wealth growth, digital banking expansion, cross-border connectivity, and operational efficiency.
- CET1 ratio improved to 13.5%, with $3.5M shares repurchased.

**【CFO Financial Review】**
- Pre-provision pre-tax earnings up 19%, supported by 17% NII growth and 28% market-related fee income.
- Operating leverage of 190bps, with expenses growing 9% YoY (partly due to FX and legal provisions).
- US NIM at 378bps, driven by deposit growth; Canadian P&C NIM up 7bps to 272bps.
- Capital returns to shareholders remain a priority, with buyback program ongoing.

**【Risk Officer Credit Update】**
- Total provisions $573M (up $154M YoY), with performing provisions increasing to reflect macro risks.
- Impaired PCL ratio at 31bps, stable vs. prior quarter; Canadian commercial credit metrics strong.
- Gross impaired loans up 5bps, driven by US commercial and Canadian mortgages, but LTVs remain low.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Trade Uncertainty**: Clients cautious but resilient; CIBC maintains strong credit quality and diversified portfolio.
- **Capital Management**: CET1 target >12.5%; buybacks will continue alongside organic growth.
- **Client Activity**: US deposit growth (18% YoY) reflects client liquidity; Canada demand deposits up 9% YoY.
- **Margin Outlook**: Canada NIM expected to stabilize; US NIM may normalize absent further rate cuts.


Actual											1.2249	0.3384	1.0116	1.0462	1.4012	1.4591	1.5741	1.36	1.6047	1.3758	1.445	1.02	1.4571	1.2543	1.152	1.1312	1.3465	1.2702	1.3977	1.3702	1.5137	1.4855	1.559	1.5766	2.0255
Forecast											1.1329	0.6155	0.8152	0.9436	1.0982	1.2219	1.3598	1.4282	1.445	1.3892	1.4259	1.2651	1.2836	1.2018	1.2764	1.0997	1.2375	1.2035	1.2619	1.2815	1.3532	1.3641	1.4488	1.4941	1.7606
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+8.12%	-45.02%	+24.09%	+10.87%	+27.59%	+19.41%	+15.76%	-4.78%	+11.05%	-0.96%	+1.34%	-19.37%	+13.52%	+4.37%	-9.75%	+2.86%	+8.81%	+5.54%	+10.76%	+6.92%	+11.86%	+8.90%	+7.61%	+5.52%	+15.05%

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