What is the market's earnings forecast for Brightstar next quarter?

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Did Brightstar beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What guidance did Brightstar's management provide for the next earnings period?

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What is Brightstar's latest dividend and current dividend yield?

What were the key takeaways from Brightstar’s earnings call?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Brightstar year over year?

- **Revenue Beat**: Q3 revenue $629 million (+7% YoY), driven by 8% same-store sales growth and $1.8 billion Powerball jackpot.
- **AI Growth Engine**: 30+ new AI-developed games annually, Viking Gold launch in Rhode Island, and $80 million cost savings by 2028.
- **Shareholder Returns**: $980 million returned YTD, 10% dividend increase, and $1.7 billion capital return program.
- **Risks**: $14 million Q4 U.K. transition headwind, but 20%+ U.S. iLottery growth and Italy B2C expansion to 15% by 2030.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue Growth**: Q3 revenue of $629 million, up 7% YoY, driven by 8% same-store sales growth across all geographies. U.S. multi-state jackpot sales surged 70% due to a $1.8 billion Powerball jackpot.
- **Profitability**: Adjusted EPS of $0.36, up 20% YoY, with $1.1 billion EBITDA guidance reaffirmed. Italy’s same-store sales grew 5% on strong e-instant and draw game performance.
- **AI Innovation**: Launch of AI-developed games like Viking Gold in Rhode Island, with 30+ new e-instant games planned annually. Game Plan Wizard tool optimizes game launches using historical data.
- **Shareholder Returns**: $980 million returned to shareholders YTD, including a 10% dividend increase to $0.22 per share. $1.7 billion capital return program through 2028.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Financial Health**: GAAP net income $420 million, Non-GAAP EPS $1.08 (vs. $0.95 prior year). Free cash flow $700 million (excluding $500 million Italy license fee). Net debt $2.6 billion, targeting 3x leverage post-2028.
- **Cost Efficiency**: $80 million gross cost savings by 2028, with $30 million from AI adoption. Q3 operating expenses down 5% YoY.
- **Growth Drivers**: 5%+ CAGR from core business, 20%+ iLottery growth in U.S., and Italy B2C expansion to 15% penetration by 2030.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **U.K. Transition**: $14 million Q4 headwind from contract transition, but 2026+ growth from new iLottery platforms.
- **Share Buybacks**: $250 million ASR completed by end-2025, with $500 million buyback program remaining.
- **Jackpot Strategy**: Mega Millions price increase to $5 in April 2025, with 30%+ sub-jackpot payouts driving player engagement.
- **Italy Expansion**: My Lotteries Play app launched in 9 months, gaining 3% market share without marketing. Cross-selling to iCasino and sports betting expected to boost margins.

Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **$500M Share Buyback & $3 Dividend**: 17% market cap return via accelerated repurchase program.
- **Italy Lotto License**: €1.43B upfront fee with 60% Brightstar share; 10-year amortization.
- **Digital Growth**: 30%+ iLottery wagers in 20+ states; 60+ new games/services.
- **Financial Strength**: €2.9B liquidity; 3.0x net debt (€5.2B).

**【Management Opening Remarks】**
- CEO Vince Sadusky highlighted Q2 revenue of $631 million, driven by 2.6% global same-store sales growth in instant tickets and draw games.
- CFO Max Chiara announced a $500 million share repurchase program (17% of market cap) and a $3 special dividend, with $250 million ASR to reduce float by ~15%.
- Management emphasized Italy Lotto license fee amortization ($1.37B over 10 years) and 3.0x net debt (€5.2B) with €2.9B liquidity.

**【CEO Strategic Updates】**
- Expanded iLottery, digital tools (OMNIA, MyLotteries Play app) to 60+ jurisdictions.
- 30+ new games/services, including $50 instant tickets, 24/7 printing, and 10-year contracts.
- 30%+ growth in iLottery wagers (e.g., Florida, Poland, Belgium) and 80+ new games.

**【CFO Financial Details】**
- Q2 GAAP net income: $420M; Non-GAAP EBITDA: $274M (43% margin).
- Optima 3.0 cost savings: $50M+ annually; 2025 capex: €375M (down 20% from 2024).
- 2025 guidance: €1.1B EBITDA (up 10%+), €780M+ cash flow, €225M+ capex.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Share Repurchase**: $250M ASR to reduce float by ~15% via accelerated buybacks; $300M+ remaining under $500M auth.
- **Italy Lotto**: €500M upfront fee (€1.43B total) with 60% Brightstar share; 10-year amortization.
- **Digital Growth**: 30%+ iLottery wagers in 20+ states; 60+ new games/services.
- **Risk Management**: €1.3B+ jackpot exposure; 30%+ LMA incentives; 20%+ product sales margin.
- **Competitive Position**: 90%+ retention rate; 70%+ multi-year contract renewals.


Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Resilient Q1 Performance**: $250M EBITDA at 43% margin despite $45M jackpot-related headwind
- **Strategic Momentum**: 26% iLottery growth, Mega Millions $5 launch, and 50%+ capacity expansion
- **Key Risks**: Macro uncertainty, jackpot variability (only 1 vs. 5+ $1B jackpots in FY24)
- **Guidance Adjustments**: Full year 2025 EBITDA lowered to $1.1B (low end of prior range)
- **Upcoming Catalysts**: Italy Lotto license decision (May 19), Texas renewal update, and Mega Millions sales trends

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Q1 2025 revenue of $583 million reflects normalized same-store sales growth of 1.5%, driven by Italy (+2%), stable US instant/draw games, and 26% iLottery sales growth.
- Key highlights include: 
  - $250M EBITDA at 43% margin, despite $45M headwind from lower US jackpot activity
  - 67% cash conversion ($168M cash from ops)
  - Strong balance sheet with $2.2B liquidity
- Strategic initiatives: 
  - Mega Millions $5 price point launch (April 2025) with enhanced features
  - iLottery expansion (e.g., Georgia's $100M+ monthly sales)
  - New printing press (+50% capacity)
  - Cloud-based iLottery platform transition
- Italy Lotto license tender progress: technical evaluation complete, economic proposals to be opened May 19

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q1 2025 adjusted EBITDA: $250M (43% margin), in line with expectations
- Key financial metrics: 
  - Cash from ops: $168M (67% conversion)
  - Free cash flow: $92M
  - Net debt: $5B (2.8x leverage pro forma for gaming/digital sale)
- Full year 2025 guidance: 
  - Revenue: $2.55B (low end of prior range)
  - EBITDA: $1.1B
  - Q2 EBITDA expected down $30M vs. prior year
- Risks: 
  - Macro uncertainty (tariffs, consumer spending)
  - Jackpot variability (only 1 vs. 5+ $1B jackpots in FY24)

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
1. **Guidance Revision Drivers**: 
   - $40M+ headwind from lower jackpot/LMA incentives
   - Macro uncertainty (tariffs, consumer confidence)
   - Normalized EBITDA margin would be 46% with normal jackpot activity
2. **Mega Millions $5 Transition**: 
   - Smooth technical execution (400K+ terminal updates)
   - Early sales trends indeterminate due to recent launch
   - Enhanced features (better odds, bigger prizes) expected to drive growth
3. **Italy Lotto License**: 
   - Technical evaluation complete; economic proposals to be opened May 19
   - Potential $2B upfront fee if awarded
4. **Texas Lottery Renewal**: 
   - Legislative review ongoing; procurement process active
   - No clarity on outcome timing beyond June 2025
5. **Profit Margin Outlook**: 
   - Q2 EBITDA down $30M vs. prior year
   - Back-half recovery expected with normalized jackpots and Mega Millions benefits

International Game Technology (IGT)-13 May 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **$4B Strategic Sale**: Post-closing, IGT will focus on high-margin lottery business with 2.4x debt leverage, lowest in history.
- **2024 Financial Strength**: $1.2B EBITDA (47% margin), $660M free cash flow, and $800M Italian Lotto upfront fee secured.
- **Growth Drivers**: 28% iLottery growth, 4% Italy same-store sales, and $5 Mega Millions price increase poised to boost 2025H2.
- **Investment Focus**: $450M 2025 CapEx for new contracts, $40M cost savings via OPtiMa 3.0, and €1B+ for Italian Lotto bid.
- **Shareholder Returns**: $161M dividends paid in 2024; post-sale, $2B+ debt reduction and capital return updates pending deal close.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Strategic Restructuring**: Announced sale of gaming and digital business for $4+ billion, with proceeds to reduce debt and return capital to shareholders. Post-closing, IGT will focus solely on its leading lottery business, serving over 100 jurisdictions globally.
- **2024 Financial Highlights**: Generated $1.2B EBITDA (47% margin) and $660M free cash flow, with 80% from lottery operations. Debt leverage reduced to 2.4x, lowest in company history.
- **Market Performance**: 
  - **Italy**: 4% Q4 same-store sales growth driven by new games (e.g., Tambola holiday bundle, POP scratch ticket). Secured €800M upfront license fee for Italian Lotto bid.
  - **US Multi-State Jackpots**: Lower sales due to record jackpots, but long-term growth potential from Mega Millions price increase to $5 in April 2025.
  - **iLottery**: 28% YoY growth, with Georgia Lottery surpassing $1B in digital sales.
- **Future Investments**: €1B+ for Italian Lotto bid, $400-450M annual CapEx for 2025-26 to support new contracts (Texas, New York), and $40M cost savings via OPtiMa 3.0 initiative.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q4 2024 Results**: 
  - Revenue: $651M (down 5% YoY) due to lower US multi-state jackpots, offset by 7% Italy same-store growth.
  - Adjusted EBITDA: $290M (down 8% YoY) due to product sales mix and $25M temporary costs for contract wins.
  - Free Cash Flow: $660M (80% from lottery), with $161M dividends paid.
- **2025 Outlook**: 
  - Revenue: $2.55-2.65B (low-single-digit growth), with Q1 down low-mid-single-digits due to jackpot timing.
  - Adjusted EBITDA: $1.1-1.15B, including $25M temporary costs for contract wins and cloud investments.
  - Cash Flow: Negative $300M due to $850M Italian Lotto upfront fee, offset by $550-570M operating cash flow.
  - CapEx: $450M for 2025, rising to $200-225M post-2026 as contracts mature.

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
- **Italian Lotto Bid**: €800M upfront fee due in Q2 and Q4 2025. Competitive process with RFP submissions due March 17; award expected Q2.
- **Texas Lottery**: Renewal bid submitted; no material impact from recent carrier ban (courier sales <5% of IGT revenue).
- **Mega Millions Price Increase**: Likely positive for back-half 2025, with faster jackpot growth and higher advertised jackpots.
- **Capital Allocation**: Post-sale, prioritize debt reduction ($2B+), then return capital to shareholders. RemainCo to focus on efficiency (e.g., reducing corporate overhead via OPtiMa 3.0).

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