What is the market's earnings forecast for Accelerant next quarter?

Did Accelerant beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What is Accelerant's latest dividend and current dividend yield?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Accelerant year over year?

What factors drove the changes in Accelerant's revenue and profit?

What were the key takeaways from Accelerant’s earnings call?

What is Accelerant's gross profit margin?

What were the key takeaways from Accelerant's earnings call?

- **Revenue Growth**: Q3 2025 exchange-rated premium of $1.04B (+17% YoY, +29% ex-members). 
- **Third-Party Expansion**: 32% of premium via third-party insurers, targeting 2/3 by mid-term. 
- **Profitability**: 39% EBITDA margin, $105M EBITDA (+300% YoY). 
- **Portfolio Stability**: 50% gross loss ratio, 95% policies under $10k. 
- **Cash Flow**: Exchange services segment converts 90%+ EBITDA to cash. 
- **Strategic Moves**: New Lloyd’s facility, 17 third-party insurers, and $2.1B 2026 third-party premium target. 


**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Accelerant delivered a strong Q3 2025 with $1.04 billion in exchange-rated premium, up 17% YoY (29% excluding two atypical members). 
- The company operates a two-sided platform: 
  - **Supply Side**: 265 members (up 30% YoY) generating 80% of growth from existing members. 
  - **Demand Side**: 92 risk capital partners, including 17 third-party insurers, driving 32% of premium. 
- Key metrics: 135% net revenue retention, 50% gross loss ratio, and 7% net retention. 
- Long-term goal: 2/3 of premium via third-party insurers by mid-term (3-5 years). 

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Revenue**: $267 million (74% YoY growth), driven by 34% expansion in exchange services segment. 
- **Adjusted EBITDA**: $105 million (300% YoY growth), with 39% margin. 
- **One-Time Gains**: $39 million from member sale and ecosystem investment. 
- **Segment Breakdown**: 
  - Exchange Services: $85 million revenue, 70% margin. 
  - MGA Operations: $81 million revenue (including $30M gains), 30% margin. 
  - Underwriting: $118 million revenue, 16% margin. 
- **Net Retention**: Targeting 10% by 2026, down from 7% in Q3. 

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Third-Party Transition**: Q4 2025 third-party premium expected at $415-430 million (up 40% YoY). 
- **Member Management**: 15 members exited since 2018 for underperformance, with 265 total members as of Q3. 
- **Gross Loss Ratio**: 50% stable due to small policy size (95% under $10k), vs. industry mid-50s. 
- **Cash Flow**: Exchange services segment converts 90%+ EBITDA to cash. 
- **Lloyd’s Partnership**: New facility to expand global reach and diversify risk capital. 


Accelerant Holdings Ltd (ARX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Surge**: Q2 2025 exchange written premium of $1.1 billion (+42% YoY), trailing 12-month at $3.8 billion.
- **Profitability Boost**: Adjusted EBITDA $63.5 million (+383% YoY), driven by 65% Exchange Services margin.
- **Risk Capital Expansion**: 98 Risk Capital Partners, including QBE and Tokio Marine, with Flywheel sidecar upsize.
- **Q3 Guidance**: Exchange written premium $1.01–$1.04 billion, adjusted EBITDA $66–$81 million (+154%–210% YoY).
- **Strategic Focus**: Diversifying third-party insurers, reducing net retention to 10%, and AI-driven claims improvements.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Accelerant reported $1.1 billion in exchange written premium for Q2 2025, up 42% YoY, with trailing 12-month premium reaching $3.8 billion.
- Organic growth driven by 248 members and 98 Risk Capital Partners, with 16 new members added in Q2.
- Emphasized the two-sided platform's network effects, data-driven underwriting, and investments in AI and claims analytics.
- Gross loss ratio improved to 50.5% (Q2 2025) from 54.7% (Q2 2024), reflecting better underwriting outcomes.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q2 2025 revenue of $219 million (+68% YoY), with adjusted EBITDA of $63.5 million (+383% YoY).
- Net retention reduced to 6% (trailing 12 months), targeting 10% long-term to focus on high-margin Exchange Services and MGA Operations.
- Q3 2025 guidance: Exchange written premium $1.01–$1.04 billion (+14%–17% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $66–$81 million (+154%–210% YoY), driven by minority stake sale in an Owned MGA.
- FX impact minimal, with $1 million net loss offset by other comprehensive income.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Hadron Contribution**: Wrote $170 million in Q2, but expected to decline as third-party insurers diversify.
- **Growth Drivers**: New members (16 in Q2) and existing member expansion (151% net revenue retention).
- **Margin Outlook**: Exchange Services margin at 65%, MGA Operations at 40%, with underwriting segment targeting breakeven.
- **Risk Capital Mix**: Balancing third-party insurers, reinsurers, and institutional investors (e.g., Flywheel sidecar upsize).
- **Large Account Strategy**: Potential entry into less specialty lines with lower take rates, but no immediate impact on margins.

ARX

ARX fundamentals

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime