What guidance did Alcoa's management provide for the next earnings period?

What is the market's earnings forecast for Alcoa next quarter?

What is Alcoa's latest dividend and current dividend yield?

What were the key takeaways from Alcoa's earnings call?

Did Alcoa beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What is Alcoa's gross profit margin?

What does Alcoa do and what are its main business segments?

What factors drove the changes in Alcoa's revenue and profit?

- **Safety & Production**: Tragedy at Alumar led to global safety upgrades; record U.S. shipments offset 50% tariff costs. 
- **Strategic Investments**: $60M Massena furnace and 100-ton gallium plant (2026 first production) enhance U.S. competitiveness. 
- **Financial Performance**: Q3 net income $232M, EBITDA $270M; Q4 EBITDA expected to improve in alumina, decline in aluminum. 
- **Tariff Management**: Midwest premium now covers full tariff, enabling U.S. shipments from Canada. 
- **Growth Opportunities**: Gallium project supported by 3 governments; no M&A in rolling business. 
- **Demand Signals**: Packaging/electrical strong, automotive weak; European premiums rising amid supply tightness.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Tragic incident at Alumar smelter resulted in a fatality, leading to comprehensive safety reviews and global safety protocol updates. 
- Achieved record aluminum production at 5 smelters, with U.S. shipments offsetting tariff impacts. 
- Announced $60M investment in Massena's anode bake furnace and a 10-year energy contract, securing competitive power costs. 
- Gallium plant project in Australia, supported by U.S., Australian, and Japanese governments, aims for first production by end-2026. 
- Kwinana refinery closure and Ma'aden JV sale resulted in $786M gain, partially offset by $895M restructuring charges. 
- Australia mine approvals process progressing, with EPA assessment expected Q2 2026 and ministerial approvals by year-end. 

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q3 2025 revenue $3B (-1% QoQ), driven by lower alumina volumes and unfavorable currency. 
- Net income $232M vs. $164M prior quarter, with adjusted EBITDA $270M. 
- Sequential EBITDA decline ($43M) due to higher tariffs, ARO adjustments, and currency impacts. 
- Aluminum segment EBITDA up $210M on higher prices and lower costs, offset by $50M tariff increase. 
- Cash flow: $1.5B ending cash, $85M operating use, $69M tax refund, and $150M from Ma'aden sale. 
- 2025 outlook: CapEx $625M, ARO spend $260M, and Q4 EBITDA expected to improve in alumina, decline in aluminum. 

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Capital Allocation**: Prioritize debt repayment (target $1.5B), with potential returns to shareholders post-debt reduction. 
- **M&A Strategy**: Open to opportunities across supply chain, focusing on synergies; no interest in rolling business. 
- **Gallium Project**: 100-ton capacity, 50% owned by Japan/U.S./Australia, with offtake agreements; Alcoa's share ~5 tons. 
- **Tariffs & Shipments**: Midwest premium covers full tariff costs, enabling U.S. shipments from Canadian smelters. 
- **Massena Expansion**: Long-term power contract enables $60M furnace investment; no plans to restart idle potline. 
- **Australia Approvals**: EPA assessment due Q2 2026, with focus on water proximity and Jarrah forest rehabilitation. 
- **Demand Trends**: Packaging and electrical sectors strong, automotive weakness due to tariff uncertainty. 
- **CBAM Impact**: Expected 2026 implementation may raise European premiums by $40-50/ton. 
- **Kwinana Closure**: $600M closure costs driven by water management; land sale potential due to port/rail access.

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