What is the market's earnings forecast for Old Dominion Freight next quarter?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Old Dominion Freight year over year?

What guidance did Old Dominion Freight's management provide for the next earnings period?

What were the key takeaways from Old Dominion Freight’s earnings call?

What factors drove the changes in Old Dominion Freight's revenue and profit?

What is Old Dominion Freight's latest dividend and current dividend yield?

What were the key takeaways from Old Dominion Freight's earnings call?

What does Old Dominion Freight do and what are its main business segments?

- **Revenue Under Pressure**: Q3 2025 revenue down 4.3% YoY, driven by 9% LTL tonnage decline despite 4.7% yield improvement.
- **Operating Ratio Challenge**: Operating ratio rose to 74.3% due to fixed cost leverage, with Q4 2025 expected to increase 250-350 bps.
- **Service Excellence**: Maintained #1 LTL carrier ranking with 23/28 service attributes leading, despite macroeconomic headwinds.
- **Strategic Resilience**: $2 billion+ invested in network expansion since 2023, positioning for recovery with 35%+ excess terminal capacity.
- **Pricing Discipline**: 4.9% GRI for non-contract business, 75% of revenue tied to contract rate increases.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue Decline**: Q3 2025 revenue decreased 4.3% YoY to $1.41 billion, driven by a 9% drop in LTL tons per day, partially offset by a 4.7% increase in LTL revenue per day.
- **Operating Efficiency**: Maintained 99% on-time service and 0.1% cargo claims ratio, reflecting operational discipline despite lower volumes.
- **Strategic Investments**: Continued focus on workforce planning, dock management, and route optimization software to improve productivity despite reduced network density.
- **Market Recognition**: Named #1 national LTL provider for the 16th consecutive year, leading in 23 of 28 service attributes measured by Mastio & Company.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Financial Performance**: GAAP net income of $437.5 million for the quarter, with cash flow from operations at $437.5 million and capital expenditures of $94 million.
- **Cost Management**: Direct variable costs remained consistent as a percentage of revenue, reflecting efficient cost control despite lower volumes.
- **Q4 Outlook**: Operating ratio expected to increase 250-350 basis points sequentially due to revenue underperformance, with Q4 2025 revenue per day down 6.5%-7% YoY.
- **Liquidity**: Utilized $180.8 million for share repurchases and $58.7 million for dividends in Q3, maintaining strong cash position.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Demand Trends**: October 2025 revenue per day down 6.5%-7% YoY, with no significant improvement expected in Q4; 10-year average sequential decline of 2.9% in July, 0.4% in August, and 3.3% in September.
- **Capacity Management**: Excess terminal capacity at 35%+ due to 6 new service centers opened since 2022, with no new openings planned for 2025.
- **Pricing Strategy**: General rate increase (GRI) of 4.9% effective November 2025, affecting 25% of non-contract business; 75% of revenue tied to contracts with expiring rate increases.
- **Technology Impact**: AI tools for linehaul planning, predictive maintenance, and safety coaching driving productivity improvements, with ongoing investments in cybersecurity and automation.

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-29 Oct 25-2025 Q3 Earnings call transcript

- **Revenue Decline**: Q2 revenue down 6.1% YoY to $1.41B due to 9.3% volume drop, offset by 3.4% yield improvement.
- **Service Excellence**: 99% on-time delivery and 0.1% claims ratio highlight operational consistency.
- **Cost Pressures**: Operating ratio rose to 74.6% due to higher overhead and fringe benefits, with Q3 OR expected to increase 80-120bps.
- **Cash Flow Strength**: $285.9M in Q2 cash flow supported $223.5M in buybacks and $59M in dividends.
- **Long-Term Confidence**: Investments in network and technology position the company to outperform in a recovery, with historical outperformance of 1,000-1,200bps in tonnage growth during upcycles.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Q2 revenue decreased 6.1% YoY to $1.41 billion due to a 9.3% decline in LTL tons per day, partially offset by a 3.4% increase in LTL revenue per hundredweight.
- Emphasized disciplined pricing and service quality, with 99% on-time performance and 0.1% cargo claims ratio.
- Highlighted long-term investments in network, technology, and employee capabilities to maintain market share and capitalize on future demand.
- Acknowledged short-term profitability challenges from higher operating costs but expressed confidence in long-term strategy.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Operating ratio increased 270 basis points to 74.6%, driven by lower revenue and higher overhead costs (e.g., depreciation, fringe benefits).
- Sequential revenue per day increased 0.8% vs. Q1, with July 2025 revenue down 5.1% YoY.
- Cash flow from operations was $285.9 million in Q2, supporting $223.5 million in share buybacks and $59 million in dividends.
- Capital expenditures of $187.2 million in Q2 reflect ongoing fleet and network investments.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Operating Ratio Outlook**: CFO expects OR to rise 80-120 basis points in Q3 due to flat revenue and higher wage/benefit costs, but noted potential improvement if demand recovers.
- **Market Share Stability**: Maintained relative market share despite industry-wide volume decline, driven by superior service and yield management.
- **Fuel Costs**: Higher fuel prices pressured operating expenses, but cost control measures limited impact.
- **Customer Sentiment**: Positive signs of cautious optimism from customers amid macroeconomic uncertainty, with potential for demand recovery if interest rates stabilize.
- **Technology Investments**: Ongoing AI and routing optimizations to enhance efficiency, though details remain under wraps.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

- **Revenue decline**: Q1 2025 revenue down 5.8% YoY to $1.37B, driven by 6.3% tonnage decline.
- **Market share resilience**: Maintained 12-13% market share with 99% on-time service.
- **Cost control**: Operating ratio up 190bps to 75.4%, but free cash flow of $336.5M supported $201M buybacks.
- **CapEx adjustment**: 2025 capital spending cut to $450M (down $125M), reflecting cautious macro outlook.
- **Pricing strength**: +5-5.5% LTL revenue per hundredweight ex-fuel YoY, despite macro challenges.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q1 revenue decreased 5.8% YoY to $1.37B, driven by a 6.3% decline in LTL tons per day, partially offset by a 2.2% increase in LTL revenue per hundredweight.
- Maintained market share (~12-13%) despite macroeconomic challenges, with 99% on-time service and cargo claims ratio below 0.1%.
- Emphasized operational efficiency: +5.7% shipments per hour despite 5% LTL volume decline.
- Capital expenditures reduced to $450M in 2025 (down $125M from initial plan), with deferred projects to align with economic visibility.

**【CFO Financial Details】**
- Operating ratio rose 190bps to 75.4%, driven by revenue decline and higher depreciation (70bps increase).
- Direct operating costs as % of revenue rose due to health plan expenses (+2.6% YoY).
- Free cash flow of $336.5M, with $201.1M used for share buybacks and $59.5M for dividends.
- Effective tax rate stable at 24.8%.

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
- April 2025 revenue per day down ~7% YoY (excluding Good Friday impact), expected ~6% YoY decline for full month.
- Sequential Q2 margin improvement potential: 100-150bps if revenue stabilizes, higher if demand recovers.
- Retail (25-30% of business) growth opportunity via e-commerce, offsetting industrial weakness.
- Pricing discipline maintained: +5-5.5% LTL revenue per hundredweight ex-fuel YoY, despite cost inflation.
- Industry capacity constrained due to Yellow closure, supporting Old Dominion's 15%+ market share gain since 2014.

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-23 Apr 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Revenue decline with resilience**: 7.3% YoY drop but stable market share, 99% on-time service.
- **Cost control success**: Operating ratio up 410bps due to revenue headwinds, but direct costs controlled at 52-53% of revenue.
- **Capital discipline**: $771M capex in 2024, 30% excess network capacity for future growth.
- **Pricing strength**: +3.8% LTL revenue/hundredweight ex-fuel in Q4, +4.5% in January 2025.
- **Cautious optimism**: Team confident in long-term strategy, positioning for demand recovery with disciplined execution.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Revenue declined 7.3% YoY in Q4 due to lower volumes, but market share remained stable. 
- Operating efficiency maintained with 99% on-time service and cargo claims ratio below 0.1%.
- Capital expenditures of $771M in 2024 (including $664M for service centers) despite short-term overhead costs.
- Cautious optimism for 2025, positioning for demand recovery with 30% excess network capacity.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q4 revenue: $1.39B (-7.3% YoY), driven by 8.2% LTL tons/day decline and 0.4% LTL revenue/hundredweight drop.
- Operating ratio increased 410bps to 75.9% due to revenue deleverage and higher overhead costs.
- Sequential revenue decline of 2.7% vs. 3.1% 10-year average, with January 2025 tonnage down 7.1% YoY.
- Cash flow from operations: $401M (Q4) / $1.7B (FY24), with $967M share buybacks and $224M dividends.
- Effective tax rate: 21.5% (Q4) vs. 24.1% prior year.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Weather Impact**: Q4 tonnage decline partially due to extreme winter weather, but 90%+ revenue recovery expected. January 2025 tonnage underperformed 10-year average by 100bps.
- **Operating Ratio Trends**: Q1 OR expected flat to +50bps vs. Q4 (vs. typical +100-150bps seasonal increase), driven by insurance cost normalization.
- **Pricing**: LTL revenue/hundredweight ex-fuel +3.8% YoY (Q4), +4.5% in January 2025 vs. 3.6-4% seasonal norm.
- **Service Center Strategy**: 261 service centers (+4 in 2024), 30% excess capacity. New hubs nearing completion to reduce linehaul costs.
- **Market Share**: Maintained share through disciplined pricing, superior service, and cost control. Industrial business outperformed retail in Q4.
- **Competitive Landscape**: Unlikely to face capacity additions from major competitors. Focus on value proposition and operational excellence.
- **Nearshoring Tailwinds**: Potential for inbound/outbound LTL growth as manufacturing shifts to U.S. Cross-border revenue <5% of total.
- **Triple Trailer Use**: Limited to Pacific Northwest; no immediate plans for broader expansion under new administration.


Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-5 Feb 25-2024 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-23 Oct 24-2024 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-24 Jul 24-2024 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-24 Apr 24-2024 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-31 Jan 24-2023 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-25 Oct 23-2023 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-26 Jul 23-2023 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-26 Apr 23-2023 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-1 Feb 23-2022 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-26 Oct 22-2022 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-27 Jul 22-2022 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-27 Apr 22-2022 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-2 Feb 22-2021 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-28 Oct 21-2021 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-28 Jul 21-2021 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-22 Apr 21-2021 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-4 Feb 21-2020 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-27 Oct 20-2020 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-30 Jul 20-2020 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-23 Apr 20-2020 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-6 Feb 20-2019 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-24 Oct 19-2019 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-25 Jul 19-2019 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-25 Apr 19-2019 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-7 Feb 19-2018 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-25 Oct 18-2018 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-26 Jul 18-2018 Q2 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-26 Apr 18-2018 Q1 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-8 Feb 18-2017 Q4 Earnings call transcript

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)-26 Oct 17-2017 Q3 Earnings call transcript

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