What does Northern Trust do and what are its main business segments?

Did Northern Trust beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Northern Trust year over year?

What is Northern Trust's gross profit margin?

What factors drove the changes in Northern Trust's revenue and profit?

What guidance did Northern Trust's management provide for the next earnings period?

What is the market's earnings forecast for Northern Trust next quarter?

What were the key takeaways from Northern Trust’s earnings call?

- **Record Financial Performance**: Q4 EPS $2.42 (19% YoY), full-year pretax margin 30%, with 200+ bps operating leverage.
- **Strategic Momentum**: GFO trust fees +6%, Asset Servicing NII $654M (14% YoY), and 12Q+ liquidity flows.
- **New Targets**: 33% pretax margin and mid-teens ROE, supported by 10%+ productivity and 5%+ expense savings.
- **2026 Outlook**: NII low-mid single-digit growth, >100bps leverage, and >100% earnings return via buybacks.
- **Risks**: Market volatility, interest rate shocks, and operational disruptions.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Financial Performance**: Q4 2025 revenue grew 9% YoY (excluding notables), with trust fees up 7% and net interest income (NII) increasing 14%. Full-year EPS rose 17% to $2.42, driven by 200+ basis points of operating leverage and a 30% pretax margin.
- **Strategic Pillars**: 
  - **Optimized Growth**: Expanded private markets and capital markets contributions to 1/3 of revenue. Wealth Management's GFO segment saw record new business, while Asset Servicing win-related revenue grew 18%.
  - **Productivity**: Achieved $190M+ productivity savings (4% of expenses), with AI automation reducing manual tasks. 2026 target: 10%+ productivity improvement.
  - **Resiliency**: Enhanced cybersecurity, cloud adoption, and risk management to future-proof operations.
- **Business Unit Highlights**: 
  - **Wealth Management**: GFO trust fees up 6% Q4, FOS assets exceeded targets. Liquidity AUM reached $340B, with 12 consecutive quarters of positive flows.
  - **Asset Servicing**: NII hit a record $654M, driven by 14% Yo growth. Capital markets activity surged, with FX trading outperforming peers.
  - **Asset Management**: Launched 11 new ETFs and doubled alternative funds, with AUM up 12% YoY.
- **Targets Update**: Raised medium-term targets to 33% pretax margin and mid-teens ROE, reflecting confidence in strategy execution.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q4 Results**: Net income $466M, EPS $2.42 (19% Yo). NII reached $654M (14% YoY), driven by 52% floating-rate securities and 1.48-year balance sheet duration.
- **Expense Management**: Excluding notables, expenses grew 5% YoY vs. 7% revenue growth, yielding 4+ points of operating leverage. Expense-to-trust fee ratio improved to 110.8%.
- **2026 Guidance**: 
  - NII: Low-mid single-digit growth (up from prior guidance). 
  - Operating Leverage: >100bps. 
  - Share Repurchases: >100% of earnings returned to shareholders.
- **Risk Management**: Common equity Tier 1 ratio 12.6%, well above regulatory requirements. Unrealized losses on AFS securities $401M.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Targets Conviction**: CEO cited scalable growth (e.g., GFO, FOS), AI-driven productivity, and strong capital position as drivers for 33% pretax margin and mid-teens ROE.
- **Deposit Trends**: Q4 noninterest-bearing deposits surged 10% (government shutdown impact). 2026 NII guidance assumes stable deposit mix and lower interest-bearing costs.
- **Fee Growth Drivers**: GFO wins (e.g., $5B Q4 inflows), FOS expansion, and alternatives fundraising (doubled funds launched YoY).
- **Risks**: CEO flagged macro volatility, interest rate shocks, and operational disruptions as key risks. CFO noted 2026 NII sensitivity to market implied forward curves.


Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: 6% YoY driven by Wealth Management (+5% fees) and Asset Servicing (+6% fees). Pretax margin +200bps to 29.7%.
- **AI Transformation**: 150+ use cases saving $10M+ annually, with 20% productivity gains in tech. 2026 margin improvement expected.
- **Strategic Wins**: $49B new mandates in Asset Servicing, 11 new ETFs launched by NTAM, and 50 South Capital feeder fund for Wealth clients.
- **Financial Discipline**: Below-5% expense growth, 98% payout ratio, and 14.8% ROE. 2026 NII flat to +1-2% despite rate cuts.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Q3 revenue grew 6% YoY, driven by Wealth Management and Asset Servicing. Pretax margin expanded 200bps to 29.7%, with ROE at 14.8%.
- AI adoption across 150+ use cases saved tens of thousands of hours, enabling reinvestment in growth initiatives.
- Wealth Management AUM up 11% YoY, with strong flows in alternatives and ETFs. Asset Servicing won $49B in new mandates, including $19B from New Mexico ERB.
- NTAM launched 11 new ETFs, with liquidity strategies attracting $6B in U.S. treasuries.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q3 net income: $458M (EPS $2.29), up 14% YoY. Revenue +6% YoY, expenses +4.7% YoY, with operating leverage of 110bps.
- Wealth Management fees +5% YoY, Asset Servicing fees +6% YoY. NII on FTE basis: $596M (-3% QoQ, +9% YoY).
- Return on equity: 14.8%, with $431M returned to shareholders (98% payout ratio). Full-year NII guidance: mid- to high single-digit growth.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **AI Impact**: 20% productivity gains in tech, 150+ use cases reducing costs by $10M+ annually. 
- **Deposit Trends**: Q4 deposits expected to stabilize after Q3 decline, with 2026 NII flat to +1-2% despite rate cuts.
- **Expense Management**: Below-5% expense growth target maintained, with 4.4% ex-currency. 2026 margin improvement from AI-driven efficiency.
- **Business Strategy**: Focusing on high-margin alternatives (e.g., LTIF/LTAF), while allowing low-margin asset servicing business to roll off.
- **Market Risk**: Goals-based wealth management approach mitigates volatility through diversified portfolios and liquidity reserves.

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue & Profit Growth**: 8% revenue growth, 20% EPS increase, driven by organic expansion across Wealth, Asset Management, and Servicing.
- **Strategic Momentum**: Alternatives AUA up 66%, GFO revenue +8%, Family Office Solutions win rate 75%.
- **ROE Target Adjustment**: Raised to 13-15%, reflecting margin expansion and cost control success.
- **Capital Allocation**: $339M share buybacks, 100%+ capital return ratio, 7% dividend hike.
- **Independence Reaffirmed**: CEO rejected M&A speculation, focusing on organic growth and strategic inorganic opportunities.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Reported 8% revenue growth and 20% EPS increase (excluding notables), driven by organic growth across all businesses.
- Highlighted progress on the One Northern Trust strategy, emphasizing alternatives growth (66% AUA YoY), GFO revenue up 8%, and Family Office Solutions achieving a 75% win rate.
- Reiterated commitment to independence, rejecting M&A speculation, and targeting ROE range of 13-15%.
- Noted $339M share repurchases and 100%+ capital return ratio.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q2 net income: $421M, EPS: $2.13, ROE: 14.2%.
- Trust fees up 6% YoY, NII at record $615M (+16% YoY), driven by higher deposits and FX trading.
- Expenses grew 4.8% YoY, below 5% target, with expense-to-trust fee ratio improving to 115%.
- AUM up 11% YoY, AUC up 9% YoY, with strong transaction volumes in Asset Servicing.
- Provided FY25 NII guidance of mid-single-digit growth and expense growth below 5%.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Alternatives Growth**: CEO emphasized pull demand from clients, with $2.5B raised in first half and 11 new ETFs launching Q3.
- **ROE Target Adjustment**: Shifted from 10-15% to 13-15%, reflecting confidence in margin expansion and cost control.
- **Deposit Trends**: Q2 deposits up 6% QoQ, expected to normalize in Q3 with $5.70M/Q NII guidance.
- **M&A Strategy**: CEO ruled out selling the company, but open to selective inorganic growth to enhance value proposition.
- **Capital Returns**: CFO noted $486M returned to shareholders Q2, with dividend hike of 7%.


Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Resilience**: 3 straight quarters of positive operating leverage, EPS (excl. notables) +13% YoY.
- **Strategic Growth**: Alternative capital raise target near double prior year; family office solutions launched for $100M+ HNW clients.
- **Capital Efficiency**: CET1 ratio 12.9%, $435M returned to shareholders (116% payout ratio).
- **Market Momentum**: Q1 NII outperformance due to strong deposits; guidance raised to low-mid single-digit growth.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue Growth and Leverage**: Q1 2025 revenue growth driven by mid-single-digit expansion in trust fees and net interest income, with 3 consecutive quarters of positive operating leverage. EPS (excluding notables) increased 13% year-over-year.
- **Strategic Progress**: Progress in alternative investments (e.g., 2025 capital raise target near double prior year average), family office solutions (e.g., $100M+ ultra-HNW segment launch), and liquidity solutions. Selected as global outsourced private capital admin for Igneo Infrastructure Partners ($20B AUM).
- **Market Impact**: Strong capital markets activity late in Q1 and into April, driven by elevated volatility. Asset Servicing AUC up 3% YoY to $15.8T; Wealth Management AUM up 6% YoY to $447B.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Financial Highlights**: Q1 2025 net income $392M, EPS $1.90, ROE 13%. NII (FTE) $574M, flat QoQ but +7% YoY. Trust fees $1.2B (+6% YoY). AUM up 7% YoY to $1.2T (Asset Servicing) and 7% YoY to $447B (Wealth Management).
- **Expense Management**: Total expenses $1.4B (+3% QoQ, +4.8% YoY). Compensation up 3% YoY; outside services up 7% QoQ due to modernization spend. Guidance: Full-year expense growth <5% (excluding notables).
- **Capital Return**: $435M returned to shareholders (116% payout ratio), including $287M buybacks. CET1 ratio 12.9%, well above regulatory minimums.

**【Q&A Key Themes】**
- **Deposit Beta and NII**: Institutional deposit beta ~100%, wealth ~60-70%. NII guidance raised to low-mid single digits YoY, driven by strong deposit levels. Q1 NII outperformance due to higher-than-expected deposits.
- **Expense Flexibility**: Discretionary spending controls allow expense growth <5% YoY. Focus on outside services, technology, and incentives as levers.
- **Family Office Solutions**: Targeting ultra-HNW clients ($100M+ net worth) with outsourced family office services. Already onboarded marquee relationships in EMEA.
- **Regulatory Environment**: Basel III endgame and SLR reforms could enhance capital flexibility, but no immediate impact on strategy.
- **Market Volatility**: High volatility drives capital markets activity (e.g., FX, brokerage) and client risk-off behavior (e.g., cash allocation increases).

Northern Trust (NTRS)-22 Apr 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: Q4 2024 revenue up 13% YoY, driven by 12% Trust fee growth and 15% NII expansion.
- **Shareholder Returns**: $1.5B returned in 2024, highest buyback in 5 years ($938M).
- **Operating Efficiency**: 800+ bps Q4 operating leverage, expense-to-Trust fee ratio 113%.
- **Strategic Focus**: Expanding UHNW wealth management, alternative investments, and core platform modernization.
- **2025 Outlook**: NII flat to low-single-digit growth, ≤5% expense growth, ROE targeting top half of 10-15% range.


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Q4 2024 revenue grew 13% YoY (excluding one-time items), driven by 12% Trust fee growth and 15% net interest income expansion. Full-year revenue rose 8% YoY.
- Generated $1.5B in shareholder returns (5-year high), including $254M in share buybacks and $149M in dividends.
- One Northern Trust strategy delivered 2+ points of operating leverage, with expense-to-Trust fee ratio improving to 113%.
- 2025 priorities: expand wealth management in ultrahigh net worth (UHNW) segment, accelerate alternative investments, and modernize core platforms.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q4 2024 net income: $455M (EPS $2.26), up 50% YoY. Full-year EPS growth: 24%.
- Assets under Management (AUM): $451B (Wealth) and $1.2T (Asset Servicing), up 12% and 12% YoY respectively.
- 2025 NII guidance: $555-575M Q1, flat to low-single-digit growth for the year. Expense growth target: ≤5% YoY.
- Capital return: 78% payout ratio (dividends + buybacks), with CET1 ratio at 12.4%.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Expense Control**: CFO reaffirmed ≤5% expense growth target, citing automation savings and disciplined hiring. Q4 operating leverage: 800+ bps.
- **ROE Target**: CEO targets top half of 10-15% range, balancing growth with returns. Q4 ROE: 15.3%.
- **Alternative Investments**: CEO highlighted 50 South Capital's $1B+ fundraising success and plans to expand private market solutions.
- **Resiliency**: $400M+ annual spend on modernization, cloud migration, and AI adoption to reduce manual processes by 70%.
- **Market Risks**: CEO emphasized preparedness for rate volatility, liquidity management, and geopolitical shocks.


Actual																1.55	1.46	1.32	1.4879	1.7	1.72	1.8	1.91	1.77	1.86	1.8	1.73	1.51	1.56	1.49	1.46	1.69	1.78	2.22	2.26	1.9	2.13	2.29	2.42
Forecast																1.454	1.3668	1.3818	1.4868	1.4853	1.7077	1.667	1.8168	1.645	1.9267	1.8386	1.8101	1.5162	1.6172	1.4965	1.3385	1.4504	1.753	1.7436	2.0118	1.8487	2.0564	2.2589	2.3474	2.2419
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+6.60%	+6.82%	-4.47%	+0.07%	+14.45%	+0.72%	+7.98%	+5.13%	+7.60%	-3.46%	-2.10%	-4.43%	-0.41%	-3.54%	-0.43%	+9.08%	+16.52%	+1.54%	+27.32%	+12.34%	+2.77%	+3.58%	+1.38%	+3.09%	0.00%

Actual	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	1.60B	1.51B	1.49B	1.53B	1.59B	1.59B	1.64B	1.68B	1.73B	1.78B	1.77B	1.73B	1.76B	1.77B	1.74B	1.74B	1.84B	2.72B	1.98B	1.97B	1.95B	2.00B	2.03B	2.14B	--
Forecast	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	1.54B	1.49B	1.47B	1.50B	1.54B	1.58B	1.61B	1.65B	1.69B	1.76B	1.77B	1.75B	1.78B	1.77B	1.74B	1.71B	1.78B	1.84B	1.93B	1.92B	1.95B	1.97B	2.03B	2.05B	2.10B
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+3.40%	+1.87%	+1.30%	+2.19%	+3.30%	+0.63%	+2.18%	+1.57%	+2.39%	+1.02%	-0.04%	-1.17%	-1.17%	+0.25%	-0.25%	+1.50%	+3.39%	+47.71%	+2.62%	+2.42%	-0.37%	+1.88%	+0.15%	+4.19%	0.00%

NTRS

NTRS fundamentals

NTRS Q1 2026 Earnings Preview

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime

NTRS

NTRS fundamentals

NTRS Q1 2026 Earnings Preview

Earnings Call

NTRS Earnings Call Summary for Q1/2026Upcoming9:00 AM on Apr 21, 2026

NTRS Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20259:00 AM on Jan 22, 2026

NTRS Earnings Call Summary for Q3/20259:00 AM on Oct 22, 2025

NTRS Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20259:00 AM on Jul 23, 2025

NTRS Earnings Call Summary for Q1/20258:58 AM on Apr 22, 2025

You can ask Aime