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Did Lam Research beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

- **Record Financials**: 2025 revenue $20.6B (+27%), EPS $4.89 (+49%). Q2 2026 guidance: $5.7B (+23%), WFE $135B (+23%).
- **Market Share Gain**: WFE share mid-30s%, foundry/logic revenue占比 59%. Akara system wins double YoY.
- **AI Growth Drivers**: $1B+ SAM per 100k wafer starts for gate-all-around. NAND bit demand +1pt per $2-3M AI accelerator sold.
- **Profitability**: Gross margin 49.7%, EPS $1.27. 2026 WFE second-half weighted with DRAM/logic leading.
- **Supply Chain**: Expanding U.S. manufacturing to support 2026+ growth. 85%+ free cash flow return policy.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue and Profit Growth**: Delivered record 2025 revenue of $20.6 billion (+27% YoY) and EPS of $4.89 (+49% YoY). Q2 2026 revenue guidance of $5.7 billion (+23% YoY) reflects strong AI-driven demand.
- **Market Share Expansion**: WFE share expanded to mid-30s%, with foundry/logic revenue占比 rising to 59% of systems sales. Akara etch system wins doubled YoY, driving 2x+ applications growth.
- **Strategic Investments**: Expanded R&D and manufacturing capacity (+100% over 4 years), launching advanced packaging solutions (HBM4/4E, 3D DRAM) targeting 40%+ 2026 growth.
- **AI Opportunity**: Estimates $1 billion+ incremental SAM per 100k wafer starts for gate-all-around transistors. NAND bit demand growth could increase 1pt for every $2-3 million AI accelerator sold.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q2 2025 Results**: Revenue $5.34 billion (QoQ +12%), gross margin 49.7%, EPS $1.27 (vs. guidance $1.15-1.25). Deferred revenue $2.25 billion (-$500M QoQ due to China affiliate rule).
- **Segment Performance**: Foundry/logic revenue占比 59% (vs. 35% 2024), DRAM revenue up 44% YoY. CSBG revenue $2 billion (+12% QoQ), driven by spares and upgrades.
- **2026 Outlook**: WFE $135 billion (+23% YoY), second-half weighted with DRAM and foundry/logic leading. Gross margin 49% (±1ppt), EPS $1.35 (±$0.10).
- **Financial Discipline**: Returned 85% of free cash flow ($1.4B share buybacks in Q2). Capital allocation focused on R&D, manufacturing expansion, and shareholder returns.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **WFE Constraints**: Industry WFE growth limited by clean room shortages, with 2026 growth constrained to $135 billion vs. $150 billion potential. 2027+ growth dependent on new fabs.
- **China Impact**: China revenue expected flat YoY at ~35% of total, with mix shifts impacting gross margin. U.S. manufacturing expansion to mitigate supply chain risks.
- **NAND Momentum**: NAND revenue growth accelerating, with $40 billion+ upgrade opportunity driven by AI inference demand. HBM4/4E adoption to drive advanced packaging growth >40%.
- **AI-Driven Innovation**: Equipment Intelligence and Dextro cobots enabling 60+ tool types for autonomous fabs. Velocity labs accelerate product development for AI-enabled process nodes.


Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Q1 Performance**: $5.3B revenue, 50.6% gross margin, 35% operating margin. 
- **China Restriction Impact**: $600M 2026 revenue hit, China share <30%.
- **AI Growth Driver**: $8B WFE per $100B data center spend. 
- **NAND Upgrade Boom**: $40B upgrade spend, 2026 upgrades remain >50% of NAND revenue.
- **Product Leadership**: Aether, Cryo 3.0, and HALO tools winning key wins. 
- **2026 Outlook**: WFE growth driven by AI, high 30s SAM%. 
- **Financial Strength**: $6.7B cash, 85%+ FCF return, $0.26 dividend.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Record Financial Performance**: Q1 2026 revenue reached $5.3 billion, with gross margin of 50.6% and operating margin of 35%, both records. 
- **China Impact**: Announced a 50% affiliate rule restricting shipments to domestic China customers, expecting a $600 million 2026 revenue impact. China's share of total revenue will drop below 30%.
- **AI-Driven Growth**: AI-related data center investments are projected to drive $8 billion in WFE spending per $100 billion of data center investment. Lam's etch and deposition tools are critical for advanced AI chips.
- **NAND Upgrades**: $40 billion in NAND upgrade spending over several years, with demand accelerating due to enterprise SSD and HBM needs. Upgrades remain the primary growth driver in 2026.
- **Product Leadership**: New tools like Aether dry resist EUV and Cryo 3.0 etch technology are winning key customer wins in NAND, DRAM, and foundry logic.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q1 2026 Results**: Revenue $5.3B (up 3% QoQ), GAAP net income $420M, Non-GAAP EPS $1.26 (vs. $1.15 guidance). Operating expenses $832M (+1% QoQ) due to R&D and incentive compensation.
- **Guidance for Q2 2026**: Revenue $5.2B ±$300M, gross margin 48.5% ±1%, EPS $1.15 ±$0.10. China revenue expected to decline ~$200M QoQ.
- **Long-Term Outlook**: 2026 WFE growth driven by AI, with Lam's SAM as % of WFE expanding to high 30s. Free cash flow return target of 85%+.
- **Financial Health**: $6.7B cash, 19,400 employees (+400 QoQ). Share buybacks $990M Q1, dividend increased to $0.26/share.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **AI Infrastructure Demand**: Customers are expediting meetings and orders for AI chips, with enterprise SSD and HBM driving NAND upgrades. AI data centers require leading-edge foundry, DRAM, and NAND tools.
- **China Risk Mitigation**: Global multinationals will offset China revenue decline. 2026 WFE growth will be second-half weighted, with NAND upgrades and foundry logic leading.
- **Product Pipeline Strength**: New tools like Akara conductor etch and HALO ALD are winning key applications in NAND, DRAM, and foundry. Backside power etch solutions address advanced packaging needs.
- **Tax & Margin Considerations**: 2026 tax rate ~15%, up from 14.2% in Q1. Customer mix shift to non-China will reduce gross margin headwinds over time.

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Performance**: Q4 2025 revenue $5.17B (+10% QoQ), gross margin 50.3% (highest since 2012), EPS $1.33 (beat by $0.05).
- **China Growth**: WFE revised up to $105B, driven by China multinationals (+90% QoQ foundry spending).
- **SAM Expansion**: Targeting 30%+ of WFE by 2028, with 3x WFE growth in etch/deposition intensity.
- **Key Wins**: 
  - **Moly Adoption**: 3x SAM increase per wafer for GAA nodes, sole supplier in foundry/logic.
  - **Advanced Packaging**: SABRE 3D share +5pts YoY, HPM 4E requiring 30% more wafers.
  - **Japan Expansion**: Record $190M revenue from new fabs.
- **Free Cash Flow**: $5.4B (29% of revenue), $7.5B remaining on $15B buyback program.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue and Profitability**: Q4 2025 revenue of $5.17 billion (10% QoQ growth), gross margin of 50.3% (highest since 2012 merger), EPS of $1.33 (exceeding guidance). Foundry/logic revenue at 52% of systems (record level), driven by gate-all-around (GAA) adoption and NAND upgrades.
- **Market Expansion**: SAM expected to grow to mid-30% of WFE in 2025, targeting high-30%+ by 2028. China WFE revised up to $105 billion (from $100B), with non-China spending stable. 2025 NAND layer conversion spending projected at $40 billion.
- **Product Wins**: 
  - **Halo ALD Moly Tool**: Secured key foundry win for next-gen GAA nodes, enabling 3x SAM increase per wafer. Lam is sole supplier in foundry/logic.
  - **Akara Etch Tool**: Multiple DRAM wins for 1β/1γ node scaling, improving depth uniformity by 20%.
  - **SABRE 3D**: 5pt market share gain in advanced packaging, driven by 6,000+ installed base.
  - **Vantex Cryo Etch**: Multigeneration NAND win for high-aspect-ratio dielectric etch.
- **Advanced Services Growth**: Upgrades revenue up mid-teens QoQ, Equipment Intelligence cobots expanded to 3 new tool types. Free cash flow $5.4 billion (29% of revenue), $7.5B remaining on buyback program.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Revenue Breakdown**: 
  - **Foundry/Logic**: 52% of systems (vs. 48% Q3), China multinationals up 90% QoQ.
  - **NAND**: 27% of systems (vs. 20% Q3), NAND layer conversion spending driving upgrades.
  - **DRAM**: 14% of systems (vs. 23% Q3), HPM 4E adoption accelerating.
  - **Japan**: Record $190M revenue from new fabs.
- **Gross Margin**: 50.3% (vs. 49% Q3), driven by favorable mix and operational efficiency. Q4 2025 guidance: 50% ±1ppt.
- **Operating Expenses**: $822M (69% R&D), up due to incentive comp. Tax rate 4.8% (one-time benefit), Q4 2025 guidance: low-mid-teens.
- **Balance Sheet**: Cash $6.4B, DSO 59 days, inventory turns 2.4x. Capital expenditures $172M (labs and fabs expansion).
- **Q4 2025 Guidance**: 
  - Revenue: $5.2B ±$300M (flat YoY)
  - Gross Margin: 50% ±1ppt
  - EPS: $1.20 ±$0.10

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **China Momentum**: Multinational foundry spending up 90% QoQ, offsetting domestic China tariffs. Q4 2025 China revenue growth expected to normalize.
- **Gross Margin Trends**: Q4 2025 guidance reflects tariffs and mix shift to smaller customers. 2026+ outlook: etch/deposition intensity growth (3x WFE) to drive SAM expansion.
- **Advanced Packaging**: SABRE 3D share +5pts YoY, HPM 4E adoption requiring 30% more wafers for TSV density. Advanced services (cobots) improving machine availability by 5%.
- **NAND Outlook**: $40B+ layer conversion spending pipeline. Vantex cryo etch wins for QLC memory hole precision.
- **Share Repurchases**: $1.3B Q4, $7.5B remaining under $15B program.

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Q3 Performance**: $4.72B revenue (+8% QoQ), 49% gross margin (highest since 2012), and EPS of $1.08 beat expectations.
- **Foundry Dominance**: Foundry revenue at record 48% of systems, driven by GAA nodes, advanced packaging, and mature node spending in China.
- **CSBG Growth Engine**: Upgrades up 21% YoY, with NAND conversions and DRAM upgrades leading. Equipment intelligence (cobots, AI) expands services beyond traditional upgrades.
- **Tariff Resilience**: Agile supply chain (U.S., Malaysia, Taiwan) minimizes direct tariff impact. June 2025 gross margin guidance of 49.5% sets new record.
- **NAND Upgrade Cycle**: ~$40B opportunity over several years, with 2025 focused on 1xx→256-layer conversions and Akara etch tool adoption in DRAM.
- **WFE Outlook**: 2025 WFE near $100B, with strength in AI-driven NAND, high-bandwidth memory, and leading-edge foundry logic.


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Record Revenue and Margin Growth**: Q3 2025 revenue of $4.72 billion (+8% QoQ), with foundry revenue at a record high. Gross margin reached 49%, the highest since the Novellus merger, driven by operational efficiency and a strong product mix.
- **WFE Outlook**: 2025 WFE spending expected to remain near $100 billion, with strength in leading-edge foundry logic, NAND conversions, and high-bandwidth memory. Tariffs are being managed through agile supply chain strategies.
- **Strategic Drivers**: Expansion of served market (SAM) faster than WFE, product leadership in GAA, backside power, and advanced packaging, and CSBG upgrades outpacing installed base growth.
- **Product Momentum**: ALD tools (Striker SPARC, ALTUS Halo) gaining share in foundry and NAND; Akara etch tool winning DRAM and foundry logic applications. CSBG upgrades up 21% YoY, driven by NAND and DRAM customers.
- **Long-Term Innovation**: Virtual fabrication platform (SEMulator3D) signed with three large customers, enabling faster process development and cost savings.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q3 2025 Financials**: GAAP EPS of $1.04, non-GAAP EPS of $1.08 (vs. $0.95 guidance). Deferred revenue stable at $2 billion, with lower advance payments offset by higher spares and service bookings.
- **Segment Performance**: Foundry (48% of systems revenue, up from 35% QoQ), NAND (20% of systems, up from 16% QoQ), DRAM (23%), and logic (9%). Taiwan revenue hit a record high, while China accounted for 31% of total revenue.
- **Gross Margin Expansion**: 49% in Q3, up from 47.5% QoQ, driven by manufacturing efficiency and a stronger mix of high-margin tools. June 2025 guidance: 49.5% ±1%, a new record.
- **Operating Expenses**: R&D up 70% of $763 million QoQ, reflecting investments in future product roadmaps. Operating margin 32.8%, up from 30.7% QoQ.
- **June 2025 Guidance**: Revenue $5 billion ±$300 million, gross margin 49.5% ±1%, operating margin 33.5% ±1%, EPS $1.20 ±$0.10. Foundry and NAND systems expected to grow QoQ.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Tariff Mitigation**: Flexible manufacturing network (U.S., Malaysia, Taiwan) reduces direct tariff impact. No pull-ins from future quarters in June guidance.
- **China Dynamics**: 2025 China revenue expected to decline YoY, but CSBG upgrades (e.g., NAND conversions) offset some weakness. Gross margin variability expected due to mix shifts.
- **Foundry Strength**: Record foundry revenue driven by GAA nodes, advanced packaging, and mature node spending with domestic Chinese customers. Akara etch tool adoption in DRAM and foundry logic.
- **CSBG Growth**: Upgrades up 21% YoY, with NAND conversions and DRAM upgrades leading. Spares business benefiting from higher tool utilization. Equipment intelligence (cobots, AI) poised to expand services beyond traditional upgrades.
- **NAND Upgrade Cycle**: ~$40 billion opportunity over several years, with a mix of tool upgrades and new equipment for higher layer counts. 2025 NAND spending focused on 1xx→256-layer conversions, with 3D DRAM and CFET R&D gaining traction.
- **Lam's Share of Wallet**: CSBG revenue growing faster than installed base, with upgradable tool architectures enabling share gains. Foundry revenue mix up from 35% to 48% QoQ, reflecting product leadership in leading-edge nodes.


Lam Research (LRCX)-23 Apr 25-2025 Q3 Earnings call transcript

- **Record Financials**: 2024 revenue $16.2B (+11% YoY), operating margin +160bps to 30.7%, gross margin 48.2% (highest since 2013). 
- **End Market Leadership**: GAA/advanced packaging shipments >$1B in 2024, >$3B in 2025. Aether dry resist wins production for HBM DRAM. 
- **Operational Excellence**: Asia manufacturing drove 100+bps gross margin expansion, with further scaling in 2025. 
- **2025 Outlook**: WFE +4-5%, Lam to outgrow WFE. NAND upgrades and Foundry Logic growth key drivers. 
- **China Risk**: Lost $700M+ in restricted sales, China revenue share to decline. 
- **Gross Margin Stability**: 2025 gross margin ~48%, Malaysia manufacturing offsetting customer mix headwinds. 


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue and Margin Growth**: 2024 revenue reached $16.2 billion, with operating margin expanding by 160 basis points to 30.7%. Gross margin hit 48.2%, the highest since 2013. 
- **End Market Strength**: DRAM and Foundry Logic system revenues set records, driven by gate-all-around (GAA) nodes and advanced packaging. 2024 shipments for GAA and advanced packaging exceeded $1 billion, expected to surpass $3 billion in 2025. 
- **Strategic Investments**: Cryo 3.0 etch technology and dry resist solutions (e.g., Aether) are winning production orders. Moly and carbon gapfill adoption in NAND is expected to generate hundreds of millions in 2025 shipments. 
- **Operational Efficiency**: Asia manufacturing contributed 100+ basis points to gross margin in 2024, with further scaling planned. 

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q2 2025 Guidance**: Revenue $4.65B (±$300M), gross margin 48% (±1%), operating margin 32% (±1%), EPS $1.00 (±$0.10). 
- **Segment Performance**: Memory (50% of systems revenue) led by NAND upgrades, Foundry (35%) offset by GAA growth, Logic (15%) declined due to mature node spending. 
- **Gross Margin Dynamics**: Customer mix headwinds offset by Asia manufacturing efficiency. Deferred revenue stabilized at $2B, expected to trend lower in 2025. 
- **Cash Flow and Returns**: Returned 98% of free cash flow ($4B) via buybacks and dividends. Share repurchases totaled 34M shares in 2024, with $9.2B remaining under buyback plan. 

**【Q&A Key Themes】**
- **NAND Spending**: 2025 NAND WFE expected to grow, driven by 1xx- to 256-layer upgrades. Moly and carbon gapfill adoption will benefit Lam's upgrade capture rate (~70%). 
- **China Impact**: Lost $700M+ in restricted customer sales, weighted to H2 2025. China revenue share to decline year-over-year. 
- **Gross Margin Sustainability**: 2025 gross margin ~48%, with Malaysia manufacturing benefits offsetting customer mix headwinds. 
- **CSBG Outlook**: Flattish 2025, with upgrade growth offsetting Reliant decline. Equipment intelligence and cobots (e.g., Dextro) driving long-term service growth. 
- **Digital Transformation**: Ongoing project to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs. 


Actual																0.398	0.478	0.567	0.603	0.749	0.809	0.836	0.853	0.74	0.883	1.042	1.071	0.699	0.598	0.685	0.752	0.779	0.814	0.86	0.91	1.04	1.33	1.26	1.27
Forecast																0.3911	0.4061	0.5195	0.5731	0.662	0.7587	0.8227	0.8514	0.752	0.732	0.9573	1.0027	0.6524	0.5067	0.6151	0.7115	0.7298	0.7575	0.8064	0.8784	1.001	1.2054	1.2162	1.1707
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+1.76%	+17.70%	+9.14%	+5.22%	+13.14%	+6.63%	+1.62%	+0.19%	-1.60%	+20.63%	+8.85%	+6.81%	+7.14%	+18.02%	+11.36%	+5.69%	+6.74%	+7.46%	+6.65%	+3.60%	+3.90%	+10.34%	+3.60%	+8.48%

Actual	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	2.50B	2.79B	3.18B	3.46B	3.85B	4.15B	4.30B	4.23B	4.06B	4.64B	5.07B	5.28B	3.87B	3.21B	3.48B	3.76B	3.79B	3.87B	4.17B	4.38B	4.72B	5.17B	5.32B	5.34B
Forecast	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	2.59B	2.68B	3.11B	3.34B	3.72B	4.03B	4.32B	4.41B	4.25B	4.21B	4.92B	5.10B	3.82B	3.13B	3.42B	3.71B	3.72B	3.82B	4.06B	4.32B	4.64B	5.00B	5.22B	5.23B
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-3.23%	+4.09%	+2.22%	+3.52%	+3.38%	+2.86%	-0.40%	-4.25%	-4.36%	+10.07%	+3.08%	+3.48%	+1.42%	+2.48%	+1.74%	+1.17%	+1.93%	+1.29%	+2.73%	+1.36%	+1.67%	+3.35%	+1.93%	+2.13%

LRCX

LRCX fundamentals

LRCX Q2 2026 Earnings

Earnings Call

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LRCX

LRCX fundamentals

LRCX Q2 2026 Earnings

Earnings Call

LRCX Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20265:00 PM on Jan 28, 2026

LRCX Earnings Call Summary for Q1/20265:00 PM on Oct 22, 2025

LRCX Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20255:00 PM on Jul 30, 2025

LRCX Earnings Call Summary for Q3/20255:00 PM on Apr 23, 2025

LRCX Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20255:00 PM on Jan 29, 2025

You can ask Aime