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What guidance did Keurig Dr Pepper's management provide for the next earnings period?

- **Revenue Growth**: Q3 net sales up 10.6% to $4.2B, driven by Ghost integration and energy/sports hydration innovation. 
- **Coffee Synergies**: $400M cost savings target with JDE Peet's, including 10% EPS accretion in year 1. 
- **Financial Discipline**: 3.5-4x leverage at separation, with $6B+ free cash flow for Beverage Co. and $5B+ for Global Coffee Co. 
- **Innovation Focus**: Keurig Alta launch, Ghost expansion, and digital DSD tools for 2026+ growth. 
- **Tariff Resilience**: 70% cost offset via pricing, stable pod elasticity at 1.2:1.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- CEO highlighted Q3 revenue growth of 10.6%, driven by Refreshment Beverage and international segments. Key drivers included Ghost integration, net price realization, and strong innovation in energy and sports hydration. U.S. Coffee segment faced headwinds from brewer and pod volume declines, but elasticity remained manageable. Global Coffee Co. is expected to deliver low single-digit net sales growth and high single-digit EPS growth, supported by $400 million in synergies. Beverage Co. targets mid-single-digit net sales growth and high single-digit EPS growth, with a focus on DSD efficiency and new category expansion.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- CFO outlined Q3 financials: net income of $420 million, Non-GAAP EPS of $1.08, and free cash flow of $500 million. Guidance updated to reflect $6 billion+ free cash flow for Beverage Co. and $5 billion+ for Global Coffee Co. over 2026-2028. Synergies from JDE Peet's acquisition include $400 million in cost savings and 10% EPS accretion in year 1. Capital structure optimization with Apollo and KKR investments aims for 3.5-4x leverage at separation.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Acquisition Synergies**: CEO and CFO emphasized $400 million in actionable cost savings across procurement, manufacturing, and SG&A, with confidence in achieving targets through lean processes and automation. 
- **Tariff Management**: CFO detailed Q4 and 2026H1 green coffee inflation impacts, with pricing actions offsetting 70% of costs. Elasticity in pods and brewers remained stable. 
- **Separation Strategy**: Management reaffirmed milestone-based separation by end-2026, focusing on operational readiness, capital structure optimization, and independent board appointments. Partial IPO or minority stake sales could enhance flexibility. 
- **Coffee Category Outlook**: CEO highlighted 40-year volume CAGR of 2%, driven by premiumization, digital innovation (e.g., Keurig Alta), and global expansion into tea legacy markets. 
- **Beverage Co. Optionality**: CEO noted potential for new category adjacencies (e.g., cold and super-premium coffee) and strategic partnerships to unlock growth beyond core CSDs.

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)-27 Oct 25-2025 Q3 Earnings call transcript

Revenue

Sales and Services Revenue

Financing Services Revenue

Other Revenue

Cost of Revenue

Cost of Goods and Services

Cost of Financing Services

Other Cost

Gross Profit

Other Operating Income

Operating Expenses

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

Selling and Marketing Expenses

General and Administrative Expenses

Research and Development Expenses

Loss on Bad Debts

Loss on Impairment of Other Assets

Loss on Disposal of Assets

Other Operating Expenses

Operating Income

Non-Operating Income (Loss)

Income (Loss) from Affiliates

Income (Loss) from Associates

Income (Loss) from Joint ventures

Gain (Loss) on Other Investment

Gain (Loss) on Change in Fair Value

Gain (Loss) on Foreign Currency Exchange

Other Non-Operating Income (Loss)

Net Interest Expense

Interest Expense

Interest Income

Pretax Income From Continuing Operations

Income Tax Expense

Current Income Tax

Deferred Income Tax

Income Tax Adjustments

Net Income from Continuing Operations

Income from Discontinued Operations

Other Items Before Net Income

Net Income

Net Income Attributable to Minority Interests

Net Income Attributable to Owners of the Company

Preferred Stock Dividends

Other Adjustments

Net Income Attributable to Common Stockholders

Other Comprehensive Income

Total Comprehensive Income

Total Comprehensive Income Attributable to Minority Interests

Total Comprehensive Income Attributable to Owners of the Company

Basic EPS

Basic EPS from Continuing Operations

Basic EPS from Discontinued Operations

Diluted EPS

Diluted EPS from Continuing Operations

Diluted EPS from Discontinued Operations

KDP

KDP fundamentals

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