What is the market's earnings forecast for Groupon next quarter?

Did Groupon beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What is Groupon's gross profit margin?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Groupon year over year?

What is Groupon's latest dividend and current dividend yield?

What does Groupon do and what are its main business segments?

What guidance did Groupon's management provide for the next earnings period?

What were the key takeaways from Groupon's earnings call?

- **Revenue Growth Resilience**: 7% full-year billings growth to $1.67B, despite Q4 shortfall due to enterprise and marketing headwinds.
- **AI-Driven Transformation**: Launching Board AI committee, targeting AI agent transactions by mid-2026, with new mobile app users generating 12% higher monetization.
- **Financial Discipline**: 5% SG&A decline, $296M cash, and 2026 guidance of 3-5% growth, supported by high-single-digit marketing spend growth.
- **Key Risks**: Enterprise sales cycle delays, SEO algorithm changes, and goods category decline (12% of billings).

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **2025 Milestone Year**: Global billings grew 7% to $1.67 billion, with North America and international core local marketplaces expanding double digits. Free cash flow reached $296 million, marking four consecutive years of positive cash flow.
- **Q4 Challenges**: Billings grew 4% YoY but missed guidance due to enterprise channel deceleration and underperformance in organic/owned marketing. Root causes included a weak new merchant pipeline and closed-loop transaction adoption delays.
- **AI Strategy**: Formed Board-level AI committee to drive AI-native operating model. Targeting AI agent-initiated transactions by mid-2026, with 50% iOS North America users on new mobile app and 12% higher monetization per user.
- **2026 Guidance**: 3-5% billings and revenue growth, $70-75M adjusted EBITDA, and $60M+ free cash flow. Focus on improving conversion rates and marketing efficiency.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q4 Financials**: GAAP net income $420M, Non-GAAP EPS $1.08 (vs. $0.95 consensus). Free cash flow $60M, up 15% YoY.
- **Cost Management**: SG&A down 5% YoY due to disciplined expense control. Marketing spend to grow high single digits in 2026, with focus on ROI optimization.
- **Liquidity**: $296M cash at year-end, supporting reinvestment in growth initiatives.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Conversion Rate Improvement**: Driven by new platform (50% iOS users migrated), better inventory curation, and targeted marketing. Expect sustained gains as AI personalization layer rolls out.
- **Enterprise Channel Reset**: Reorganizing sales teams by vertical to align with merchant needs. Closed-loop transactions (e.g., requiring account creation to view prices) now live in travel and health categories.
- **AI Investment**: CEO aims for 100% code written by AI by end-2026, with engineers managing AI agents rather than writing code. New CDP enables 10+ weekly campaigns vs. manual weeks-long process.
- **SEO Challenges**: Google's crackdown on AI-generated content impacts organic traffic. Counter with user-generated reviews and AI-powered content summaries, which rank higher in search.
- **Customer Cohorts**: New customers show lower initial purchase frequency but improving retention. CDP-driven personalized campaigns boost repeat purchases, with early-stage 2x conversion rate lifts.

Groupon, Inc.(GRPN)-20260311-2025 Q4 Earnings call transcript

- **11% Global Billings Growth**: Driven by 18% North America Local and 15% International Local (excl. Giftcloud) growth, with Chicago outperforming at nearly double the regional rate.
- **AI-Driven Efficiency**: Sales leads, deal creation, and customer service chatbots improve conversion rates and operational efficiency.
- **Travel Momentum**: Partnerships with large brands and alignment with 'Things to Do' category fuel summer growth.
- **Italian Tax Case Progress**: $15M settlement proposal awaits judicial approval, with a December court date.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Global billings grew 11% YoY, driven by 18% growth in North America Local and 15% in International Local (excl. Giftcloud). Chicago billings grew nearly double the North America rate, showcasing the success of focused sales resources allocation.
- Adjusted EBITDA of $18M and trailing 12-month free cash flow of $60M highlight profitability and cash generation.
- Technology improvements include a 13% YoY increase in deal page conversion rates and the launch of a new app with 10%-20% higher engagement among early adopters.
- Strategic priorities: accelerate top-line growth (>20% billings growth), improve EBITDA, and maintain strong cash flow.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q3 2025 financials: Global billings up 11% YoY, Local category contributing 89% of billings.
- Trailing 12-month free cash flow of $60M reflects disciplined capital allocation.
- Italian tax case progress: Proposed $15M settlement awaits judicial approval, with a court date in December.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Marketing & AI**: 
  - AI-driven sales leads and deal creation improve conversion rates; chatbots enhance customer service efficiency.
  - New brand campaigns in New York and Chicago aim to balance performance and brand advertising for long-term growth.
- **Travel Performance**: Success with large enterprise partnerships (e.g., hotels, outdoor activities) drove summer growth, aligning with the 'Things to Do' category's 7th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
- **Platform Modernization**: Full North American cutover of the new app planned for Q1 2026; KPIs include engagement metrics and readiness for personalized messaging via the Customer Data Platform (CDP).
- **Customer Journey Personalization**: CDP pilot in the U.K. enables category-specific targeting (e.g., oil change vs. water park experiences), with plans to expand to North America.
- **Italian Tax Case**: Progress toward resolution with a potential $15M settlement, reducing uncertainty for investors.

Groupon, Inc.(GRPN)-20251107-2025 Q3 Earnings call transcript

- **Billings Growth Acceleration**: 12% YoY, core local category at 90% of total, enterprise brands up 53% YoY.
- **AI Growth Catalyst**: Double-digit monthly AI traffic growth, integrating with OpenAI for direct bookings.
- **Leadership & Capital Shift**: COO/CFO changes, $25M free cash flow, simplified capital structure for offensive moves.
- **Key Risk**: Billings-revenue gap due to redemption rates and category mix, but loyal customer retention offsets.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- **Global Billings Growth**: 12% YoY, driven by North America Local Billings (+20%) and International Local Billings (+11%). Core local category now 90% of total billings.
- **AI Traffic Impact**: AI-driven searches show double-digit monthly growth, though still small. Groupon is integrating with AI platforms like OpenAI for direct booking capabilities.
- **Leadership Changes**: Jiri Ponrt becomes COO, Rana Kashyap becomes CFO, reflecting internal talent development.
- **Guidance Update**: Full-year billings growth raised to 7-9% (from 3-5%), citing strong momentum in enterprise and Things To Do segments.
- **Free Cash Flow**: $25M generated, supporting growth investments.
- **Refinancing**: Simplified capital structure to enable offensive moves, including potential share buybacks or M&A.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Billings vs. Revenue Gap**: Billings growth outpaces revenue due to higher redemption rates (loyal customers) and mix of lower-margin enterprise deals (e.g., Things To Do).
- **Take Rate Dynamics**: Redemption-driven take rate compression and category mix (e.g., health/beauty vs. amusement parks) explain gap between billings (+12%) and revenue growth.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **AI Strategy**: Groupon is a preferred partner for AI platforms due to unique, non-commodity deals. Investing in platform compatibility with AI agents for direct booking.
- **Merchant Engagement**: Hyperlocal strategy with 200+ micro categories, customizing UI for merchant needs (e.g., oil exchange vs. amusement parks). Enterprise brands with >$1M Q2 billings grew 53% YoY.
- **Italy Update**: Settlement with Italian tax authorities pending approval; no immediate plans to restart local business but open to reconsideration.
- **Capital Allocation**: Share buybacks ($245M authorized) and M&A will be pursued selectively, prioritizing value creation.
- **Billings Growth Drivers**: Enterprise deals (26 brands >$1M Q2 billings), Things To Do (6x consecutive Qs of >10% growth), and AI/SEO traffic tailwinds.

Groupon (GRPN)-7 Aug 25-2025 Q2 Earnings call transcript

- **North America Local Boom**: 11% YoY growth, top 10 cities at double digits, Things to Do up 5+ quarters.
- **AI-Driven Efficiency**: Sales automation, deal optimization, and AI search compatibility in development.
- **Merchant Quality Surge**: >$1M billings merchants +43% YoY via hyper-local focus.
- **Core Growth Acceleration**: Billings guidance raised to 3-5% despite $6M annualized loss.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q1 2025 Global Billings grew 1.4% YoY, with North America Local up 11% YoY (highest since 2017 excluding pandemic). Top 10 cities in NA saw double-digit growth.
- Things to Do vertical achieved 5 straight quarters of double-digit billings growth, outpacing industry trends.
- International Local (ex-Italy) expanded 5% YoY, with Spain leading at 18-month head start in transformation.
- Core business guidance raised: Billings growth updated to 3-5% (from 2-4%), despite $6M annualized revenue loss from Giftcloud sale.
- Strategic focus on quality over volume, with take rate compression as intentional tradeoff for long-term marketplace health.

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- Q1 GAAP Net Income: $420M; Non-GAAP EPS: $1.08 (vs. $1.05 consensus).
- Operating Expenses down 5% YoY due to cost control.
- Free Cash Flow: $120M (vs. $90M prior year).
- $6M annualized revenue impact from Giftcloud sale offset by core business strength.

**【Key Q&A Takeaways】**
1. **North America Merchant Growth**: 43% YoY increase in >$1M billings merchants driven by:
   - Hyper-local category management
   - Quality-focused go-to-market strategy
   - Macro environment supporting performance-based marketing
2. **AI Integration Progress**: 
   - Sales automation tools for merchant outreach
   - Deal optimization AI analyzing 10+ variables
   - Search engine compatibility for AI-driven snippets
3. **Marketing Strategy Shift**: 
   - ROI+100% on first-order acquisition
   - New mid-funnel partnerships with social influencers
   - WowDeal pilot achieving 25%+ take rates for food/drink gift cards
4. **Giftcloud Sale Impact**: 
   - Proceeds used to strengthen Q2 cash position
   - No material impact on core business guidance
   - Discontinued operations treatment for financial reporting

Groupon (GRPN)-8 May 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **North America Revival**: 8% Q4 billings growth, reversing multi-year decline, fueled by platform stability and curated merchant deals.
- **Cash Flow Turnaround**: First positive free cash flow since 2020 ($41M annualized), signaling operational efficiency gains.
- **Enterprise Expansion**: Performance-based model attracts high-margin deals with enterprises, complementing local experiences core.
- **Gifting Surge**: Holiday gifting share hit low double-digits, with long-term vision for 50%+ during peak seasons.
- **International Rebound**: Spain near 2019 levels, U.K./France/Germany showing early recovery via localized market management.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **North America Local Growth**: Q4 billings increased 8% YoY, reversing a 19% decline in 2022, driven by platform stability and curated merchant partnerships.
- **Platform Modernization**: Completed key migrations (fraud detection, cloud infrastructure, ERP), enabling faster innovation and customer engagement.
- **Financial Health**: $69M adjusted EBITDA and $41M free cash flow for 2024, first positive free cash flow since 2020.
- **2025 Strategy**: Focus on high-impact verticals (Things to Do, beauty/wellness, gifting), customer retention via personalization, and completing North America mobile app migration.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q4 2024 Results**: Adjusted EBITDA of $17M, up 21% YoY; free cash flow of $10M, reversing a $15M outflow in Q4 2023.
- **2025 Outlook**: Billings growth expected, with adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow improving. SG&A expenses to remain flat YoY, with reinvestment in salesforce expansion.
- **FX Impact**: ~100bps headwind from currency fluctuations in 2025.

**【Q&A Key Themes】**
- **North America Recovery**: Platform stability and 'wow deals' (e.g., premium food/beverage offers) drove Q4 rebound, with sequential active customer growth after years of decline.
- **International Momentum**: Spain nearing 2019 levels, with U.K., France, Germany showing positive trends via market management and supply optimization.
- **Enterprise Partnerships**: Groupon's performance-based model attracts enterprises, with potential for high-margin deals in fixed-cost categories.
- **Gifting Growth**: Holiday season gifting share reached low double-digits, with long-term goal of 50%+ during peak periods.
- **Tariff Resilience**: Goods (tariff-affected) <5% of revenue, minimal impact on local experiences-focused business.

Actual											-1.6005	-0.93	0.15	0.51	0.25	0.7381	0.18	-0.8	-0.34	-0.68	-0.38	-0.65	-0.1	-1.0776	0.3	0.06	-0.02	0.33	-1.2	0.17	0.46	-2.92	0.21
Forecast											-1.9204	-2.7469	-0.9526	0.2581	-0.664	-0.03	0.2244	-0.5176	-0.4423	-0.4024	-0.3302	-0.9351	-0.18	0.115	0.115	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.1233	-0.0067	0.0133	0.1433
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+16.66%	+66.14%	+115.75%	+97.60%	+137.65%	+2560.33%	-19.79%	-54.56%	+23.13%	-68.99%	-15.08%	+30.49%	+44.44%	-1037.04%	+160.87%	+220.00%	-133.33%	+1750.00%	-2900.00%	+237.88%	+6965.67%	-22054.89%	+46.55%

GRPN

GRPN fundamentals

GRPN Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

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GRPN

GRPN fundamentals

GRPN Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

GRPN Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20258:00 AM on Mar 11, 2026

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GRPN Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20248:00 AM on Mar 12, 2025

You can ask Aime