What is the market's earnings forecast for Cogent Communications next quarter?

What is Cogent Communications's latest dividend and current dividend yield?

What is Cogent Communications's gross profit margin?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Cogent Communications year over year?

What guidance did Cogent Communications's management provide for the next earnings period?

Did Cogent Communications beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What does Cogent Communications do and what are its main business segments?

What factors drove the changes in Cogent Communications's revenue and profit?

- **Dividend Adjustment**: Reduced dividend to $0.02 to accelerate debt reduction, targeting 4x EBITDA leverage.
- **Wavelength Momentum**: Q3 wavelength revenue up 12.4%, with $20-25M quarterly target by year-end, driven by AI and video traffic.
- **Financial Health**: EBITDA as adjusted of $73.8M, margin up 70bps to 30.5%, with on-net revenue growth offsetting off-net declines.
- **Data Center Sales**: Sold 2 data centers for $144M, with remaining 22 expected to yield similar or higher valuations.
- **Market Position**: 1.5% market share in wavelengths, targeting 25% of long-haul North America, differentiated by route diversity and reliability.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Announced a dividend reduction to $0.02 per share to accelerate debt reduction, targeting a net leverage ratio of 4x EBITDA.
- Reported Q3 revenue of $241.9 million, with EBITDA as adjusted of $73.8 million, up 0.3% sequentially, and EBITDA margin improving by 70 basis points to 30.5%.
- Highlighted 93% year-over-year growth in wavelength services revenue to $10.2 million, driven by AI and video traffic.
- IPv4 leasing revenue increased 14.1% sequentially to $17.5 million, with 14.6 million addresses leased out of 38 million total.
- Completed integration of Sprint network, reducing capital expenditures by 35.5% to $36.3 million.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- GAAP net income of $420 million and Non-GAAP EPS of $1.08, exceeding expectations.
- Sequential revenue decline of 1.7% due to low-margin off-net and noncore revenue reductions ($1.3 million) and USF revenue decline ($0.8 million).
- On-net revenue grew 2.2% to $135.3 million, offsetting off-net revenue decline of 6.9% to $95.1 million.
- Average price per megabit decreased 10% sequentially to $0.16, with new contracts at $0.07.
- Churn rates improved to 1.3% (on-net) and 2.1% (off-net), with network traffic up 5% sequentially.
- Capital expenditures reduced by 38.8% year-over-year, supporting deleveraging efforts.

**【CEO Additional Remarks】**
- Operates in 1,872 data centers across 57 countries, connected to 8,043 networks, with 22 being paying transit customers.
- Sales force productivity at 4.6, with 617 quota-bearing reps focused on NetCentric, corporate, and enterprise markets.
- Completed data center repurposing, enabling future monetization through sales or leasing.
- Wavelength services capable of 10G, 100G, and 400G, with 79% of sales at 100G and 10% at 400G, targeting 25% market share in long-haul North America.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Dividend Policy**: Dividend cut to prioritize debt reduction, with plans to resume returns once leverage target is met.
- **Data Center Sales**: Sold 2 data centers for $144 million, with remaining 22 expected to yield similar or higher valuations.
- **Wavelength Growth**: Q3 wavelength revenue up 12.4%, with a $20-25 million quarterly run rate target by year-end.
- **Competition**: Differentiated by route diversity, reliability, and provisioning speed, despite Lumen's expanded footprint.
- **Customer Behavior**: Encouraged by shrinking gap between wavelength installation and customer acceptance, driven by industry-wide provisioning acceleration.
- **Revenue Outlook**: Anticipates sequential revenue growth in Q4, with noncore revenue now at $1.4 million, near depletion.
- **AI Impact**: AI-driven demand for 100G and 400G wavelengths is the primary growth driver, with hyperscalers and neoclouds leading the charge.

Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. (CCOI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Wavelength Dominance**: 150% YoY revenue growth, 4,687 backlog opportunities, and 7x better service quality than peers.
- **Margin Expansion**: 200bps sequential EBITDA margin improvement to 29.8%, with 6-8% revenue growth resuming in Q3.
- **Dividend Growth**: 3% annual dividend increase to $1.015/share, supported by $300M+ cash and declining leverage.
- **Data Center Uncertainty**: 6 LOIs but no deposits; potential $10M/MW+ sales if deals close.
- **Leverage Outlook**: Net leverage to drop below 5x over 6 quarters, driven by EBITDA growth and reduced T-Mobile payments.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Wavelength Revenue Growth**: Q2 wavelength revenue reached $9.1 million, up 150% YoY and 27% sequentially. Cogent sold wavelengths in 418 locations and has a backlog of 4,687 opportunities, targeting 25% of the North American market.
- **EBITDA and Margin Expansion**: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $73.5 million (up 7% sequentially), with a margin of 29.8% (200bps improvement). Sequential revenue decline narrowed to $800,000, with positive growth expected in mid-Q3.
- **Sales Force Productivity**: Reps achieved 4.8 installed orders/month, up from 3.8, with 628 reps focused on NetCentric, corporate, and global enterprise markets.
- **Dividend and Buyback**: Dividend increased to $1.015/share quarterly, with a $100 million buyback program authorized through 2026. $106.4 million remains available under buyback programs.
- **Leverage and Debt Management**: Gross debt at $2.3 billion, with net leverage at 6.6x (excluding $244.8 million from T-Mobile). Leverage is expected to decline sequentially.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Revenue and EBITDA**: Total revenue $246.2 million (sequential decline of $800,000). Adjusted EBITDA $73.5 million, up 7% sequentially. Off-net revenue declined 8.3% YoY due to low-margin contract grooming.
- **Customer Segments**: NetCentric revenue grew 6.8% YoY to 39.5% of total, while corporate and enterprise segments declined due to off-net reductions.
- **ARPU and Pricing**: On-net ARPU $506, off-net ARPU $1,267. Average price per Mbit for new contracts dropped 34% YoY to $0.08.
- **CapEx and Cash Flow**: Q2 CapEx $55.2 million (down $1.9 million sequentially). Day sales outstanding 31 days, with $300 million+ cash on hand.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Wavelength Installations**: Installed 147 wavelengths in Q2 but provisioned several hundred more, with 7x fewer outages than competitors. Target 500/month by year-end, with $20 million Q4 run rate.
- **Data Center Sales**: 6 LOIs received, but no deposits yet. Pricing ranges from $10M/MW to lower offers; no timeline for resolution.
- **Revenue Growth**: Returning to 6-8% YoY growth, with positive sequential growth in Q3. On-net services drive 200bps annual margin expansion.
- **Leverage and Dividends**: Net leverage peaked at 6.6x, expected to fall below 5x over 6 quarters. Free cash flow to exceed 100% of dividends.
- **Stock Pledging**: No cap on shares pledged; Board allows individual decisions, with 25-year history of stock-based compensation.


Cogent Communications (CCOI)-7 Aug 25-2025 Q2 Earnings call transcript

- **Wavelength Momentum**: 114% YoY revenue growth, 3,433 opportunities in funnel with 4-5% monthly conversion. 
- **IPv4 Dominance**: $14.4M leasing revenue (14.8% sequential), ARPU up 63% to $0.49. 38M addresses under control. 
- **Profitability**: Gross margin +790bps to 44.6%, EBITDA $68.8M (27.8% margin). 
- **Growth Targets**: 6-8% annual revenue growth, 150bps EBITDA margin expansion/year. 
- **Leverage Management**: Slowed dividend growth to $0.05/quarter, targeting leverage reduction post-Q3 2025. 


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Wavelength Growth**: Q1 wavelength revenue increased 114% YoY to $7.1M, with 18% sequential connections growth. 3,433 opportunities in the funnel, targeting 4-5% monthly conversion (160-170 installs/month). 
- **IPv4 Leasing**: Sequential revenue growth of 14.8% to $14.4M, ARPU per address rose 63% to $0.49. Total IPv4 addresses under control: 38M (world's largest). 
- **Cost Savings**: Achieved $220M in Sprint-related cost savings, targeting another $20M by Q2 2026. Gross margin improved 790bps to 44.6%. 
- **Revenue Targets**: Adjusted long-term growth to 6-8% annually, with EBITDA margin expansion of 150bps/year. Expect to return to top-line growth by mid-Q3 2025. 
- **Dividend Policy**: Slowed dividend growth to $0.05/quarter due to leverage concerns, but committed to resuming faster growth as leverage improves. 

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q1 Results**: Total revenue $247M, EBITDA $68.8M (27.8% margin). Wavelength revenue up 2.2% sequentially. 
- **T-Mobile Transit Payments**: Received $25M this quarter (vs $87.5M in Q1 2024). Remaining 32 payments of $8.3M/month until Nov 2027. 
- **Expense Management**: SG&A up $10.6M sequentially due to seasonal factors (CPI, vacation accruals, taxes). Gross debt $2B, net debt $1.8B (6.69x LTM EBITDA). 
- **ARPU & Churn**: On-net ARPU $496, off-net ARPU $1,266. Monthly churn: 1.4% on-net, 2.2% off-net. 

**【Q&A Key Themes】**
- **Wavelength Execution**: 500/month provisioning capacity vs 3,433 funnel. 82% of sales at 100G/400G speeds. ARPU ~$1,900. 
- **Data Center Sales**: 100MW+ power across 24 facilities. Early-stage LOI discussions with multiple buyers. 
- **Tariffs Impact**: Minimal impact on network equipment. Focus on expediting pre-tariff orders. 
- **IPv4 Volatility**: Recovered 600-700K addresses due to AUP violations, but price hikes offset volume declines. 
- **Leverage Peak**: Net debt to peak at $1.8B in Q3 2025 before deleveraging begins. 


Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. (CCOI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue & Profit Growth**: Full year 2024 revenue $1.0 billion (+16.5%), EBITDA $348.4 million (+1.1%). 
- **Wavelength Breakthrough**: Q4 wavelength revenue $7 million (+124% YoY), 2,700 orders in funnel. 
- **IPv4 Pricing Power**: ARPU per IPv4 address up 47% to $0.44, targeting $0.10+ price hikes. 
- **Cost Efficiency**: 90% of $220 million Sprint savings realized, net debt 5.07x. 
- **Dividend Growth**: 50th consecutive increase to $1.005/share. 
- **Strategic Targets**: $500 million wavelength revenue by 2028, $100 million annualized CapEx post-2025. 


**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- **Revenue Growth**: Q4 2024 revenue of $252.3 million, full year 2024 revenue of $1.0 billion (16.5% YoY growth). EBITDA, as adjusted, of $66.9 million (26.5% margin) and $348.4 million annually (33.6% margin). 
- **Wavelength Success**: Q4 wavelength revenue up 124% YoY to $7 million, full year 2024 growth of 240%. 2,700 orders in funnel, 280 installations completed. 
- **IPv4 Leasing**: Q4 IPv4 revenue $12.6 million (27.2% YoY), full year $44.9 million (24.5% growth). ARPU per IPv4 address up 47% to $0.44. 
- **Cost Savings**: 90% of $220 million Sprint integration savings realized, targeting >$220M annualized savings. 
- **Dividend Increase**: Quarterly dividend raised to $1.005/share, 50th consecutive increase. 

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Revenue by Segment**: 
  - **Corporate**: $113.1 million (10.7% YoY decline), grooming low-margin off-net services. 
  - **NetCentric**: $93.6 million (0.5% YoY growth), driven by video/AI traffic. 
  - **Enterprise**: $45.6 million (12.8% YoY decline), reducing non-core products. 
- **ARPU Trends**: On-net ARPU down 5.7%, off-net up 8%, wavelength ARPU up 9.5%. 
- **Margins**: EBITDA, as adjusted, margin 26.5% (280bps sequential improvement). 
- **Liquidity**: $227.9 million cash, $1.8 billion net debt (5.07x LTM EBITDA). 
- **CapEx**: Q4 $46.1 million, full year $195 million, targeting $100M annualized post-2025. 

**【CEO Follow-Up】**
- **Network Expansion**: 808 data centers with wavelength capability (target 800+ by end-2024), 30-day provisioning time. 
- **Data Center Conversion**: 115 Sprint facilities converted, 55 edge data centers added. 
- **Sales Force**: 288 NetCentric reps, 347 corporate reps, 15 enterprise reps. 
- **IPv4 Strategy**: Raising prices on 10 million addresses, targeting $0.10+ per address. 

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Wavelength Growth**: Target $500 million annualized by 2028, 500 installations/month. 
- **Corporate Segment**: 1-2Q of negative growth due to grooming, then positive. 
- **Data Center Monetization**: 23 facilities for lease/sale, 60% interest in leases. 
- **Traffic Trends**: Full year 2024 traffic +16%, moderating due to streaming maturity. 
- **Leverage**: 5.07x net debt, targeting deleverage post-2025. 


CCOI

CCOI fundamentals

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime