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Is Walgreens' High-Yielding Dividend Safe?

Eli GrantFriday, Nov 22, 2024 4:20 am ET
5min read
Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) has long been a favorite among income-oriented investors, thanks to its high-yielding dividend. However, with the company facing challenges in the U.S. retail environment and regulatory pressures, investors may wonder if the dividend is safe. This article examines Walgreens' dividend sustainability, considering factors such as cost management, debt reduction, strategic partnerships, and business segment performance.

Walgreens' dividend growth has been supported by disciplined cost management, working capital initiatives, and capex reduction. Despite a challenging U.S. retail environment, the company has maintained a strong focus on cost savings and improved profitability in its U.S. Healthcare segment. In fiscal 2024, WBA exceeded its targets for cost savings ($1 billion), capital expenditure reduction ($600 million), and working capital initiatives ($500 million), further bolstering its dividend safety.

Debt reduction is another crucial factor in maintaining a safe dividend. Walgreens achieved a net debt reduction of $1.9 billion and a lease obligations reduction of $1.2 billion in fiscal 2024. These measures have strengthened Walgreens' balance sheet, enhancing the safety of its high-yielding dividend.

Strategic partnerships and acquisitions have also played a role in maintaining Walgreens' dividend payouts. In fiscal 2024, the company achieved a $442 million increase in U.S. Healthcare segment adjusted EBITDA, driven by strategic partnerships and cost savings initiatives. This growth, along with the company's focus on optimizing its footprint, has contributed to its overall financial health.



Changes in Walgreens' business segments, such as U.S. Healthcare and International, have affected its dividend payouts. The U.S. Healthcare segment has shown notable growth, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by $442 million in fiscal 2024. This growth, along with cost savings and improved profitability, has contributed to the company's overall financial health. The International segment has also performed well, with sales increasing by 5.7% on a constant currency basis in fiscal 2024. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with individual segments, ensuring a more stable dividend payout.

Regulatory and reimbursement pressures in the pharmaceutical industry significantly impact Walgreens' ability to maintain its high-yielding dividend. Net reimbursement pressure drove a 40.8% decrease in adjusted EPS in the fourth quarter, contributing to a 27.9% decrease in fiscal 2024. The company's focus on stabilizing retail pharmacy and optimizing its footprint to improve cash flow and address reimbursement models indicates the challenges posed by regulatory pressures. However, Walgreens' cost management, working capital initiatives, and capex reduction have enabled the company to exceed targets for cost savings, capital expenditure reduction, and working capital initiatives in fiscal 2024. The company's ability to adapt and respond to these pressures will be crucial in sustaining its dividend in the long term.

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Walgreens' footprint optimization program, targeting the closure of approximately 1,200 stores over three years, is designed to improve operating efficiency and profitability. The program aims to be immediately accretive to adjusted EPS and free cash flow, which are key drivers of the company's dividend. By focusing on optimizing its footprint, WBA expects to control operating costs, improve cash flow, and preserve patient access. As the company reimagines local healthcare and well-being, a strategic approach to store closures and cost management can enhance dividend sustainability and create long-term shareholder value.

In conclusion, Walgreens' dividend safety is supported by its disciplined cost management, debt reduction, strategic partnerships, and business segment performance. While regulatory pressures pose challenges, the company's ability to adapt and respond to these pressures, along with its focus on optimizing its footprint, suggests that its high-yielding dividend remains secure. However, investors should continue to monitor the company's performance and the broader industry trends to ensure the sustainability of the dividend.
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bigbear0083
11/22
$WBA is on fire with 9+ consecutive gains. 🔥🔥
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Straight_Turnip7056
11/22
$WBA Gonna put some pressure on today!
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nrthrnbr
11/22
Long $WBA here, but trimming a bit into pharma headwinds. Diversification is key for me. Got similar plays in $UNH and $TSLA for that balance.
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Big-Decision-1458
11/22
Diversify international to beat pharma headwinds
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conquistudor
11/22
40% EPS drop is a punch in the gut, but they're swinging back with cost management. Keep an eye on how they balance pharmacy pressures with profitability.
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Jelopuddinpop
11/22
Cost cuts and store closures are the new black for WBA. Footprint optimization feels like a necessary evil. Is it enough? Only time and those EPS targets will tell.
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bobpasaelrato
11/22
Reimbursement pressure is the wild card here
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BranchDiligent8874
11/22
WBA's cost control = dividend 🤑 safety net
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CertifiedWwDuby
11/22
$WBA could be diamond hands in retail mess
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Serious_Procedure_19
11/22
Opting for a smaller WBA footprint could be a game-changer. Immediate EPS boost is tempting, but what's the community impact? It’s a balance they gotta hit just right.
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BlackBlood4567
11/22
Debt reduction is lit for WBA. Less leverage means more flexibility. With strategic partnerships kicking in, they're cooking up a tasty recipe for that dividend.
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SpirituallyAwareDev
11/22
1,200 store closures ain't no joke. WBA better nail the community aspect or face the retail wrath. Retail’s wild, WBA, keep your eyes on the prize! 😅
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GJohannes37
11/22
Holding $WBA for dividend, but keeping an eye on those reimbursement pressures. Diversification FTW, peeps!
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Quiet_Maybe7304
11/22
Holding WBA for long, trust dividend payouts
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ABCXYZ12345679
11/22
Dividend safety feels shaky, but WBA's adapting. I’m holding off for now, watching how they play the reimbursement hand. High-yield gotta be backed by solid fundamentals, right?
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Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.
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