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Exxon Mobil 2025 Q1 Earnings Misses Targets with Net Income Decline

Daily EarningsTuesday, May 6, 2025 9:03 am ET
53min read
XOM Trend
Exxon Mobil (XOM), ranking 20th by market capitalization, reported its fiscal 2025 Q1 earnings on May 5th, 2025. The company's earnings missed targets, with net income declining by 6.2% to $8.03 billion compared to the previous year. Despite the earnings dip, exxon mobil maintained its annual share repurchase program at $20 billion and declared a dividend of $0.99 per share for Q2 2025. Guidance remained in-line with expectations, projecting capital expenditures between $27 billion and $29 billion for the year.

Revenue
Exxon Mobil's total revenue for 2025 Q1 saw a slight increase of 0.2%, reaching $82.43 billion, up from $82.25 billion in 2024 Q1. The company experienced varied performance across its segments. Upstream operations contributed $29.17 billion, while Energy Products generated a substantial $71.38 billion. Chemical Products added $7.98 billion, and Specialty Products recorded $5.06 billion. The Corporate and Financing segment saw a loss of $30.46 billion, culminating in a corporate total revenue of $83.13 billion.

Earnings/Net Income
Exxon Mobil's earnings per share (EPS) declined by 14.6% to $1.76 in 2025 Q1 from $2.06 in 2024 Q1. The company's net income also saw a decrease, falling to $8.03 billion in 2025 Q1, down from $8.57 billion in 2024 Q1. The EPS decline reflects challenging market conditions.

Price Action
The stock price of Exxon Mobil has edged down 1.32% during the latest trading day, dropped 4.93% during the most recent full trading week, and tumbled 12.98% month-to-date.

Post-Earnings Price Action Review
The strategy of buying Exxon Mobil shares after its earnings release and holding for 30 days yielded a return of 30.14% over the past five years. This performance slightly underperformed the benchmark's return of 62.17%. The strategy's Sharpe ratio was measured at 0.27, indicating a moderate risk-adjusted return. However, it experienced a maximum drawdown of -29.11% and exhibited a volatility of 21.05%. The findings highlight the strategy's potential risks and rewards, emphasizing the need for investors to weigh their choices carefully in light of past market performance.

CEO Commentary
“In this uncertain market, our shareholders can be confident in knowing that we're built for this. The work we've done to transform our company over the past eight years positions us to excel in any environment,” said Darren Woods, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. He emphasized that the strategic choices made since 2019, including reducing costs and optimizing operations, have strengthened quarterly earnings power by approximately $4 billion at current prices. Woods highlighted the startup of ten advantaged projects expected to generate over $3 billion in earnings in 2026, showcasing the company's competitive advantage and commitment to delivering on its plans through 2030 and beyond.

Guidance
ExxonMobil expects to achieve $18 billion in cumulative structural cost savings by the end of 2030, having already realized $12.7 billion since 2019. The company maintains its annual share repurchase program at $20 billion through 2026. For Q2 2025, ExxonMobil declared a dividend of $0.99 per share. The cash capital expenditures are guided to be within the range of $27 billion to $29 billion for the year.

Additional News
ExxonMobil continues to advance its strategic initiatives with notable developments. The company recently commenced operations at its China Chemical Complex, which, upon full operation, will produce 1.7 million tons of polyethylene and 850,000 tons of polypropylene annually. Additionally, ExxonMobil launched its second Advanced Recycling Unit in Baytown, enhancing its recycling capacity by processing 80 million pounds of plastic waste per year. Amid ongoing legal challenges, ExxonMobil is involved in a lawsuit against the European Union over an unjustified profits tax, potentially impacting its operations. These actions underscore ExxonMobil's commitment to innovation and maintaining its competitive edge in the industry.

Ask Aime: What's behind Exxon Mobil's earnings drop?

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BoomsRoom
05/06
Share buybacks: $XOM's way of saying "we got you"
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TheRealJakeMalloy
05/06
Exxon's corporate and financing loss is hefty. But they're managing it. Not a deal-breaker for me. 😊
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Inevitable-Candy-628
05/06
Big oil's struggles remind me of why I hold renewables too. Diversify or die, folks.
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lordamdal
05/06
@Inevitable-Candy-628 Diversifying is smart. What renewables do you hold?
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MarshallGrover
05/06
$XOM needs better upstream magic. Those numbers ain't exactly mind-blowing.
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jobsurfer
05/06
Holding XOM for div and buybacks. Risky with the EPS drop, but I'm in for the long haul.
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downtownjoshbrown
05/06
Exxon's dividend is rock solid, count on it.
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makeammends
05/06
$TSLA and $AAPL get the hype, but XOM's consistency might be underrated. Different strokes for different folks.
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psycho_psymantics
05/06
EU tax lawsuit could shake things. Keep an eye on that front for potential volatility.
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NavyGuyvet
05/06
XOM's upstream is where the money's at. Big revenue generator. Watching for any shifts in that sector.
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CommonEar474
05/06
Exxon's still got juice with that $20B buyback. Shareholders might not mind the dip if the price is right.
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makeammends
05/06
XOM's earnings dip, but they're sticking to their repurchase program. Dividend's steady too. Long-term play still looks solid. 📈
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whoisthelogos
05/06
@makeammends How long you planning to hold XOM? Thinking of going long myself, but want to know if you've got any timeframe in mind.
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Relevations
05/06
Advantaged projects = future gains, bullish long-term
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Quiet_Maybe7304
05/06
Exxon's capital range is decent. Not too shabby for a giant like them. Could mean steady hands in the market.
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floorborgmic
05/06
Market conditions hit EPS hard. But XOM's guiding light seems to be their strategic cost cuts.
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GoodCoffeee
05/06
Chemicals and plastics market looks juicy, anyone else? 🤔
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fairlyaveragetrader
05/06
@GoodCoffeee What do you think about XOM's chemical segment?
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