Climate Research Funding Under Trump and the Resilience of Sustainable Investing

The Trump administration's approach to climate research funding was marked by deliberate cuts to federal programs, particularly at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the Department of Energy (DOE). These reductions, framed as part of a broader deregulatory agenda, sought to redirect resources away from climate science and renewable energy toward fossil fuels and nuclear energy. According to a report by the Columbia Climate School, the 2026 proposed budget for the EPA included a $4.6 billion cut to its operating budget, effectively halting climate change research and environmental justice initiativesTrump budget proposal slashes climate funding^[1]. Similarly, the DOE faced a $2.57 billion reduction in clean energy research funding, with resources reallocated to fossil fuel projectsTrump budget proposal slashes climate funding^[2].

These cuts were not isolated to federal agencies. The Trump administration also terminated over 100 National Science Foundation (NSF) grants tied to climate change, impacting research on methane emissions and environmental justiceThe Trump administration has shut down more than 100 climate studies^[3]. At NOAA, climate research spending was reduced by 25%, from $219 million in 2024 to $165 million in the following yearTrump administration pushes ahead with NOAA climate and weather cuts^[4]. Critics argue these actions undermined scientific integrity and global climate efforts, with the administration's focus on deregulation creating a "patchwork" of conflicting federal, state, and international regulationsThe Future of ESG: Under the Trump Administration^[5].

Yet, amid these headwinds, the private sector and ESG investing demonstrated remarkable resilience. Despite regulatory resistance—such as the Department of Labor's guidance discouraging ESG-based retirement planning—global ESG assets grew substantially. By 2024, ESG assets had surpassed $30 trillion, with projections of $40 trillion by 2030The Future of ESG Investing Under President Trump^[6]. This growth was driven by market forces rather than policy mandates. For instance, renewable energy investments, particularly in solar and wind, flourished, with 30 gigawatts of new solar power installed in the U.S. in 2024 aloneSudden turns and long-lived investments: Trump administration...^[7].

The tension between federal deregulation and corporate sustainability efforts became a defining feature of the Trump era. While 80% of companies adjusted their ESG policies to mitigate legal and political risks, most changes were minor or moderateMajority of companies changing ESG policies in Trump era | Fortune^[8]. However, consumer and investor demand for sustainable technologies persisted. A 2024 survey found that 77% of North American investors were investing in or planning to invest in the energy transitionA View of ESG Performance During the Trump and Biden Presidencies^[9]. This trend was evident in the performance of ESG indices like the Invesco WilderHill Clean Energy ETF (PBW) and the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN), which outperformed traditional energy indices during Trump's first termA View of ESG Performance During the Trump and Biden Presidencies^[10].

Private sustainable technology investments also thrived, albeit with caution. Investors remained wary of greenwashing and policy uncertainty but recognized the long-term economic advantages of low- and zero-carbon technologies. For example, companies offering energy independence or industrial efficiency—such as those developing next-generation manufacturing technologies—gained traction amid trade tensions with ChinaSudden turns and long-lived investments: Trump administration...^[11]. The energy transition, while politically contentious, became a risk management tool rather than a virtue signal, as highlighted by analysts at the Financial TimesCan sustainable investing survive Trump 2.0?^[12].

The Trump administration's policies created a paradox: while public funding for climate research was slashed, private sector innovation and ESG investing continued to expand. This divergence underscores the growing independence of market-driven sustainability efforts from political cycles. As the administration's focus shifted toward fossil fuels, the private sector increasingly aligned with global sustainability standards, particularly in Europe, where the European Green Deal and stricter regulations on sustainable finance provided a counterbalanceThe Future of ESG: Under the Trump Administration^[13].

For investors, the lesson is clear: while political headwinds can disrupt public funding, the energy transition and ESG investing are now entrenched in global capital markets. The resilience of these sectors suggests that opportunities in sustainable technology will persist, even in the face of regulatory uncertainty.