The backtest results show that RJF's stock has a low win rate shortly after earnings beats, with 42.86% over 3 days and 28.57% over 10 days, improving slightly to 57.14% over 30 days. Returns are negative in the short and medium term, with a minor loss of -0.30% over 30 days despite occasional maximum gains. This suggests that RJF's earnings beats do not consistently translate into positive stock performance in the near term. Investors should be cautious and not rely solely on earnings beats as a signal for short-term gains in RJF.

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The backtest results show that RJF experienced positive returns following earnings misses, with a 60% win rate over 3 days and an 80% win rate over both 10 and 30 days. The average returns increased over time, reaching 5.58% at 30 days, indicating a strong recovery or positive market reaction despite the initial miss.

This suggests that RJF's stock tends to rebound after earnings disappointments, possibly due to market overreaction or other underlying strengths.

Investors might consider buying RJF shares after earnings misses to capitalize on the subsequent positive price momentum.

The backtest results show that the Capital Markets Industry experienced no significant impact following earnings beat expectations, with a maximum return of only 0.56% on the event day. This indicates that earnings beats in this industry do not translate into meaningful price movements or investor gains in the short to medium term. Consequently, investors should be cautious about relying on earnings beats alone as a signal for trading opportunities within the Capital Markets sector.

The backtest results show that earnings misses in the Capital Markets Industry had no significant impact, with a maximum return of only 2.90% observed 23 days after the event. This indicates that the industry’s stock prices are largely unaffected by earnings misses over the tested period. Consequently, investors may consider that earnings misses in this sector do not provide strong signals for trading opportunities or risk adjustments.

Backtest RJF Release Earning Report

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