The backtest results show that LLY exhibits a strong positive price reaction following earnings beats, with a consistent 85.71% win rate across 3-day, 10-day, and 30-day periods. Returns progressively increase from 3.38% in the short term to 5.29% over 30 days, peaking at 6.25% within 48 days. This indicates a pronounced and sustained market confidence in LLY after positive earnings surprises.

The high win rate and growing returns suggest reliable momentum post-earnings beat.

Investors might consider maintaining or initiating positions in LLY for up to a month following an earnings beat to capitalize on this trend.

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The backtest results reveal that the Pharmaceuticals Industry experienced a slight negative reaction following earnings beats, with a maximum return of -0.06% on the first day after the event. This indicates that despite positive earnings surprises, market response within this sector tends to be muted or slightly adverse in the short term. Consequently, investors should be cautious when interpreting earnings beats in this industry, as these do not necessarily translate into immediate positive price movements or gains.

The backtest results reveal that Eli Lilly's earnings beat positively impacted the Trading Companies and Distributors sector while negatively affecting Healthcare Services over a 47-day horizon. This divergence highlights how strong pharmaceutical performance can boost investor confidence in related supply chains but concurrently pressure healthcare service providers due to increased drug costs or demand shifts. The findings suggest that investors may benefit from reallocating exposure towards supply chain industries such as Trading Companies and Distributors following similar earnings surprises, while approaching Healthcare Services more cautiously during these periods.

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Backtest LLY Earning Beats

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