The backtest results show that RJF has a low win rate shortly after earnings beats, with 42.86% over 3 days and 28.57% over 10 days, and a slight negative average return within 30 days. This indicates that RJF's stock price does not consistently rise following earnings beats and may even decline slightly in the short to medium term.

The analysis suggests that earnings beats for RJF do not reliably translate into positive price momentum, reflecting potential market skepticism or other overriding factors.

Investors should be cautious about expecting gains solely based on RJF's earnings beats and consider additional factors before investing.

backtest_data

The backtest results show that RJF has a 50% win rate at 3 days, increasing to 83.33% at 30 days after earnings misses, with a 5.65% average return over 30 days. This indicates a delayed positive market reaction despite initial negative returns. The maximum return of 2.30% occurs around day 41, suggesting gains may continue beyond the typical 30-day window. Investors might consider holding RJF shares longer after earnings misses to capture potential rebound gains, as the stock tends to recover and outperform in the medium term following disappointing earnings.

The backtest results show that the Capital Markets Industry experienced no significant impact following earnings beat expectations, with a maximum return of only 0.56% on the event day. This indicates that earnings beats in this industry do not translate into meaningful short-term price movements. Consequently, investors should be cautious about expecting immediate gains from earnings beats in the Capital Markets sector and may need to consider other factors or longer-term strategies when making investment decisions.

The backtest results show that when the Capital Markets Industry misses earnings expectations, the industry experiences a positive impact with a maximum return of 3.51% occurring on day 57. This suggests that despite initial negative sentiment, the industry tends to recover and generate gains over the medium term. Investors might consider that earnings misses in this sector could present buying opportunities, as the market reaction appears to be favorable after some time, highlighting potential for strategic entry post-miss events.

Backtest RJF Release Earning Report

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