The backtest results show that MS has a low short-term win rate of 41.67% over 3 days and 50.00% over 10 days following earnings beats, with negative average returns in these periods. However, the 30-day win rate improves to 58.33%, and the average return turns slightly positive at 0.71%. This suggests that while immediate reactions to earnings beats may be weak or negative, MS tends to recover and gain modestly over a longer horizon.

The analysis indicates that investors should be cautious about short-term trades post-earnings beat but may consider holding MS for at least 30 days to capture potential gains.

This insight advises a longer-term investment approach rather than quick profit-taking after MS earnings beats.

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The backtest results show that MS consistently achieved a 100% win rate across 3-day, 10-day, and 30-day periods following an earnings miss, with returns increasing from 0.50% at 3 days to 8.68% at 30 days. This indicates a strong positive price reaction despite the earnings miss, culminating in a maximum return of 12.38% within 56 days. The analysis suggests that the market may have anticipated the miss or valued other factors positively. Investors might consider holding MS shares for at least a month after an earnings miss to capture potential gains.

The backtest results show that the Capital Markets Industry experienced no significant impact following earnings beat expectations, with a maximum return of only 0.56% on the event day. This indicates that earnings beats in this industry do not translate into meaningful short-term price movements. Consequently, investors should be cautious about expecting immediate gains from earnings beats in the Capital Markets sector and may need to consider other factors or longer-term strategies when making investment decisions.

The backtest results show that when the Capital Markets Industry misses earnings expectations, the industry experiences a positive maximum return of 3.51% on average, occurring around day 57. This suggests that despite initial negative sentiment, the industry tends to recover and generate gains over the medium term. Investors might consider this delayed positive response as an opportunity to enter or hold positions in the Capital Markets Industry following earnings misses, anticipating a rebound in performance after the initial reaction period.

Backtest MS Release Earning Report

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