What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Hilton Grand Vacations year over year?

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Did Hilton Grand Vacations beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

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What does Hilton Grand Vacations do and what are its main business segments?

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- **Topline growth**: 10% contract sales growth driven by 9% tour flow expansion and 20%+ HGV Max member lifetime value premium.
- **Cash flow strength**: $756 million free cash flow returned 79% to shareholders via buybacks, with $150M/quarter pace in 2026.
- **Operational efficiency**: $100M cost synergies achieved, 26% EBITDA margin in Q4, and 73% receivables securitization.
- **Risk management**: Q1 2026 EBITDA flat/down due to $15-20M license fee headwinds, but sequential improvement expected.
- **Strategic initiatives**: Scaling HGV Ultimate Access, rebranding 20+ Bluegreen resorts, and optimizing 40+ market sales force.

**【CEO Summary】**
- **10% contract sales growth**: Driven by strong tour flow and package sales, with EBITDA exceeding the midpoint of guidance at $1.15 billion.
- **HGV Max success**: Memberships grew 35%, with Max members generating 20% higher lifetime value than non-Max members.
- **Operational efficiency**: Achieved $100 million in cost synergies ahead of schedule, reducing G&A to 3% of revenue.
- **Strategic priorities**: Focus on new customer acquisition, member lifetime value enhancement, product innovation (e.g., HGV Ultimate Access), and operational excellence.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **2025 financial highlights**: Adjusted EBITDA of $1.15 billion (+4% YoY), free cash flow of $756 million, and $600 million returned to shareholders via buybacks.
- **Q4 performance**: Revenue of $1.3 billion, EBITDA of $324 million (+12% YoY), and 26% margin excluding reimbursements.
- **Financing business**: 60% margins in Q4, with 73% of receivables securitized, and a new Japanese ABS program launched.
- **2026 guidance**: EBITDA of $1.185-$1.225 billion, with low single-digit contract sales growth and mid-single-digit EBITDA growth.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Q1 2026 outlook**: Flat to slightly down EBITDA due to tough VPG comps and $15-20 million headwinds from license fee step-ups.
- **Provision dynamics**: Q4 uptick in loan loss provision due to Bluegreen upgrades, but expects mid-teens provision rate for 2026.
- **Inventory management**: Plan to reduce excess developer maintenance fees through organic and inorganic means, with potential asset sales.
- **Share buybacks**: $150 million per quarter target, prioritizing capital returns without increasing leverage.
- **Sales force strategy**: Building out mid/small market teams while maintaining dominance in large markets, with 41 new marketing sites opened in 2025.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Surge**: 17% contract sales growth, 15% VPG increase, and 250,000+ HGV Max members highlight execution strength.
- **Profitability**: $302 million adjusted EBITDA (24% margin), 59% financing margins, and 70% resort/club margins underscore operational efficiency.
- **Shareholder Returns**: $150 million Q3 buybacks, targeting $600 million for 2025, with free cash flow conversion of 65%-70%.
- **2026 Outlook**: Tour flow growth to exceed 2025, financing profit margin resilience, and rental EBITDA recovery through inventory reduction and rebranding.
- **Risk Management**: Stable delinquency rates (10.1% annualized), FICO <650 borrowers showing stability, and targeted marketing for mid/high-net-worth buyers.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue Growth**: Contract sales rose 17% YoY to $907 million, driven by 15% VPG growth and double-digit gains across all regions. New buyer mix remained stable at 27%.
- **Strategic Initiatives**: HGV Max membership surpassed 250,000, with 70,000 additions in the past year. Ka Haku and Bluegreen rebranding efforts are on track to deliver $100 million in cost synergies.
- **Execution Highlights**: Record package sales growth (17% YoY) and improved tour efficiency (2% YoY tours to $232,000). Vegas VPG growth offset market challenges.
- **Shareholder Returns**: $150 million in share repurchases Q3, with $497 million year-to-date, targeting $600 million for 2025.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Financial Performance**: Adjusted EBITDA of $302 million (24% margin), up 17% YoY. Financing business profit of $75 million (59% margin) and resort/club profit of $135 million (70% margin).
- **Liquidity**: $215 million cash, $632 million revolver availability. Debt balance $7.2 billion, with $331 million remaining under repurchase plan.
- **Free Cash Flow**: Q3 $23 million, with expectations for $8-$9 per share annually, targeting 65%-70% conversion of EBITDA to free cash flow.
- **Rental Business**: Loss of $4 million driven by developer fees, with plans to reduce inventory spend and improve margins through recapture and rebranding.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **2026 Outlook**: Tour flow growth expected to exceed 2025, with VPG growth moderating. Financing profit margin expected to hold despite headwinds. Free cash flow conversion target of 65%-70%.
- **Financing Profit**: CFO notes margin resilience through securitization and Japanese market expansion, offsetting rate-related pressures.
- **Rental EBITDA Recovery**: Developer maintenance fees to decline as recaptured inventory reduces net owner growth. Hilton rebranding and operational efficiency improvements expected to drive margin expansion.
- **Consumer Trends**: Stable delinquency rates (10.1% annualized), with FICO <650 borrowers showing stability. Close rates for mid/high-net-worth buyers improved, aligning with targeted marketing efforts.
- **Inventory Management**: Hawaii inventory (Ka Haku, Maui, Big Island) expected to drive long-term growth. COP target of 2.5 years, currently over target but balanced for multi-year utilization.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: Q2 contract sales +10% to $834M, driven by 11% VPG expansion to $3,690. Adjusted EBITDA $278M (23% margin).
- **Max Membership Momentum**: 233,000 Max members (+65,000 trailing 12M), with 21,000 Bluegreen upgrades. Cross-booking rolled out in July.
- **Japan Securitization**: JPY 9.5B deal at 1.41% rate, opening new low-cost funding source.
- **Free Cash Flow**: $135M Q2, targeting $600M annual returns via share buybacks.
- **VPG Outlook**: Q3 VPG growth expected, but Q4 faces tougher comp. Full year VPG growth ~high single-digit.
- **Cost Optimization**: G&A down 50bps to 3.4% of revenue. Inventory spend to normalize at $300M/year post 2026.


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Q2 Performance Highlights**: Contract sales grew 10% to $834 million, driven by 11% VPG expansion to $3,690. Adjusted EBITDA was $278 million (23% margin). Momentum built through Q2, with June being the strongest month, and July arrivals outpacing prior year.
- **HGV Max Success**: 233,000 Max members (including 21,000 Bluegreen upgrades), with consistent monthly growth. Cross-booking capabilities and experience platform enhancements are boosting engagement.
- **Inventory Recapture**: Net owner growth (NOG) of 0.6%, supported by low-cost inventory recapture. This strategy improves cash flow and member value, despite short-term NOG pressure.
- **Japan Securitization**: Closed JPY 9.5 billion deal, first U.S. operator in Japan, with 1.41% borrowing rate. Expands low-cost funding options.
- **Free Cash Flow**: Generated $135 million Q2, targeting $600 million annual returns. Share buybacks remain a priority.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Financial Metrics**: GAAP revenue $1.2 billion (9% growth), adjusted EBITDA $278 million. Real estate profit $162 million (26% margin), up 300bps YoY. Financing segment profit $72 million (55% margin).
- **Cost Synergies**: Achieved $92 million of $100 million Bluegreen run-rate savings. G&A improved 50bps to 3.4% of revenue.
- **Portfolio Health**: Delinquency rates stable, 31-60 day delinquencies below 2024 levels. Provision rate 14% Q2, expected mid-teens for full year.
- **Liquidity**: $269 million cash, $794 million revolver availability. Total debt $7.1 billion, net leverage 3.9x.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Fee-for-Service Mix**: Q2 at 17% vs. Q1 15%, expected ~16% full year. Higher mix drags margin but reflects customer demand.
- **Bluegreen Upgrades**: 21,000 Bluegreen members joined Max since launch, with 20% upgrade curve improvement. Owner VPGs remain strong.
- **Vegas Softness**: Promotional activity impacting rates, but owner VPGs strong. Adjusting room allocation to insulate from weakness.
- **VPG Growth**: Q3 expected to lap Max launch, driving VPG growth, but Q4 faces tougher comp. Full year VPG growth ~high single-digit.
- **Cost of Product**: Long-term target 13-16%, down from 25%+ pre-acquisitions. Inventory spend to normalize at $300 million/year post 2026.


Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: Q1 contract sales up 10% to $721M, driven by 15% VPG increase to $4,100.
- **Owner Channel Strength**: Owner VPG rose 21% YoY, while new buyer VPG grew 5%.
- **Free Cash Flow Conversion**: 75% of EBITDA converted to free cash flow in Q1, with $150M shares repurchased.
- **Macro Resilience**: 50% occupancy from prepaid owners, 177-day booking window, and 55% recurring EBITDA provide buffers against volatility.
- **Bluegreen Integration**: $89M cost synergies achieved, on track for $100M target, with 10-12 annual property rebrands.


**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q1 2025 revenue grew 10% YoY to $721M, driven by 15% VPG increase to $4,100, supported by HGV Max and Ka Haku launches.
- Owner channel VPG grew 21% YoY, while new buyer VPG rose 5% due to improved tour efficiency and scoring models.
- Maintained EBITDA guidance of $1.125B-$1.165B despite macroeconomic volatility, with 55%-65% EBITDA converted to free cash flow.
- Bluegreen integration on track to achieve $100M cost synergies, with 10-12 property rebrands planned annually.

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- Adjusted EBITDA of $248M (22% margin), excluding $68M deferrals from Ka Haku presales.
- Financing business generated $70M profit (56% margin), with 70% of receivables securitized.
- Free cash flow of $185M, with $150M share repurchases in Q1 and $210M year-to-date.
- Total debt reduced to $4.5B, with 3.9x net leverage ratio.

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
- **Consumer Resilience**: 50% of occupancy from prepaid owners, 177-day booking window vs. 40-day leisure travel, mitigating macro uncertainty.
- **VPG Sustainability**: Owner VPG growth (40% YoY) outpaced new buyer (5%), driven by HGV Max and Bluegreen integration.
- **Financing Strategy**: 70%-80% receivables securitization target, ABS market access maintained despite volatility.
- **Macro Hedge**: 55% of EBITDA recurring, 65%-70% free cash flow conversion, and $218M remaining share buyback capacity.

**【Risks & Responses】**
- **Tariff Exposure**: Minimal direct impact, but consumer uncertainty monitored.
- **Tour Efficiency**: 4% YoY tour decline offset by 500bps close rate improvement.
- **Portfolio Health**: 10.2% default rate (down 0.6pts QoQ), 27% allowance coverage, and 56% originated portfolio delinquency outperformance.


Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV)-1 May 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Record 2024 Performance**: $3B contract sales, $1.1B EBITDA, $837M free cash flow, and $432M shareholder returns. 
- **Bluegreen Synergies**: $100M cost savings on track, HGV Max adoption driving 5,000 new members in 2 months. 
- **2025 Growth**: $11.25-11.65B EBITDA guided, fueled by financing optimization ($700M+ cash by 2026) and APAC expansion. 
- **Key Risks**: $25M EBITDA drag from financing program, Bluegreen rental losses, and macroeconomic uncertainty. 
- **Strategic Moves**: 18-month financing ramp, Japan JV expansion, and regional market targeting. 


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Acquisition Integration Progress**: Completed Bluegreen acquisition, adding 200,000 members and 200 properties, with $100M cost synergies on track. Launched HGV Max to Bluegreen members, resulting in 5,000 new Max members in 2 months. 
- **Financial Highlights**: Generated record $837M free cash flow, returning $432M to shareholders. 2024 contract sales $3B, adjusted EBITDA $1.1B. 
- **2025 Outlook**: Guidance of $11.25-11.65B EBITDA, driven by HGV Max adoption, Bluegreen rebranding, and partner program expansion. Includes $25M incremental consumer finance interest expense from financing optimization. 
- **Key Metrics**: Q4 VPG $4,026 (+13% YoY), tours 207,000, APAC demand strong with Okinawa and Kohaku property sales. 

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q4 Results**: Adjusted EBITDA $289M (23% margin), contract sales $837M (+9% YoY). Real estate profit $167M (26% margin), financing segment profit $93M (61% margin). 
- **Financing Optimization**: Target 65-70% nonrecourse borrowing in 2025, unlocking $700M+ cash by 2026. Share buybacks increased to $600M/year. 
- **Liquidity**: $328M unrestricted cash, $715M revolver availability. Total debt $6.9B, net leverage 3.77x. 
- **Risks**: $25M EBITDA impact from financing program, Bluegreen rental losses, and macroeconomic headwinds. 

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
- **Sales Growth**: Tours expected low-mid single digits, VPG mid-single digits. Q1 EBITDA impact from $25M interest expense. 
- **Financing Program**: 18-month ramp to 70-80% nonrecourse rate, minimal cash flow impact. 
- **APAC Momentum**: Kohaku property upgrade activity freeing up inventory, Japan JV expansion plans. 
- **Inventory Spend**: $350-450M/year, higher in 2025 due to Diamond project completion. 
- **Geographic Expansion**: Focus on regional markets like Nashville, Texas, and Japan with capital-efficient deals. 
- **Customer Behavior**: Leisure travel strong, no softness in Feb-Mar, stable delinquency rates. 


Actual											0.09	-0.52	0.01	-1.68	-0.08	0.1	1.5636	0.76	0.42	0.63	1.5952	1.01	0.79	0.85	0.98	1.01	0.95	0.62	0.67	0.49	0.09	0.54	0.6	0.88
Forecast											0.3735	-0.4753	-0.1952	-0.0452	-0.0594	0.1857	0.2184	0.7606	0.6695	0.8806	0.9024	0.7714	0.5618	0.795	0.9651	0.9453	0.7529	0.9328	0.7549	0.7763	0.53	0.8076	0.9743	1.1158
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-75.90%	-9.40%	+105.12%	-3616.81%	-34.68%	-46.15%	+615.93%	-0.08%	-37.27%	-28.46%	+76.77%	+30.93%	+40.62%	+6.92%	+1.54%	+6.84%	+26.18%	-33.53%	-11.25%	-36.88%	-83.02%	-33.14%	-38.42%	-21.13%

Actual	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	351.00M	123.00M	208.00M	212.00M	235.00M	334.00M	928.00M	838.00M	779.00M	948.00M	1.12B	992.00M	934.00M	1.01B	1.02B	1.02B	1.16B	1.24B	1.31B	1.28B	1.15B	1.27B	1.30B	1.33B
Forecast	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	381.74M	125.03M	217.08M	242.28M	219.12M	298.55M	387.74M	796.22M	761.25M	951.37M	929.14M	975.45M	889.73M	998.58M	1.04B	1.02B	1.12B	1.33B	1.29B	1.28B	1.25B	1.38B	1.37B	1.38B
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-8.05%	-1.62%	-4.18%	-12.50%	+7.24%	+11.87%	+139.34%	+5.25%	+2.33%	-0.35%	+20.11%	+1.70%	+4.98%	+0.84%	-2.44%	-0.38%	+2.81%	-7.29%	+1.27%	+0.19%	-8.24%	-8.10%	-4.99%	-3.18%

HGV

HGV fundamentals

HGV Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime

HGV

HGV fundamentals

HGV Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

HGV Earnings Call Summary for Q4/202511:00 AM on Feb 26, 2026

HGV Earnings Call Summary for Q3/202511:00 AM on Oct 30, 2025

HGV Earnings Call Summary for Q2/202511:00 AM on Jul 31, 2025

HGV Earnings Call Summary for Q1/202511:00 AM on May 1, 2025

HGV Earnings Call Summary for Q4/202411:00 AM on Feb 27, 2025

You can ask Aime