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What is the market's earnings forecast for BlackBerry next quarter?

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Did BlackBerry beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

- **Revenue Records**: QNX ($68.7M, +10% YoY) and Secure Communications ($67M) beat expectations, driving total revenue to $141.8M.
- **Profitability Breakthrough**: 20% EBITDA margin, third straight quarter of GAAP net income, and $17.9M operating cash flow (200% YoY growth).
- **Strategic Wins**: 275M vehicles powered by QNX, luxury EV design win in China, and FedRAMP High-enabled U.S. government expansions.
- **Future Growth**: Vehicle software platform targeting higher pricing, GEM expansion investments, and Canadian government defense opportunities.
- **Cash Strength**: $377.5M cash balance, $80M+ Q4 cash generation (including $38M Cylance proceeds), and $8.8M shares repurchased FYTD.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Record Revenue Growth**: Total revenue of $141.8 million exceeded high-end guidance, with QNX delivering a record $68.7 million (10% YoY growth) and Secure Communications hitting $67 million.
- **Profitability Milestones**: Adjusted EBITDA of $28.7 million (20% margin), GAAP net income of $13.7 million (up $24.2 million YoY), and third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability.
- **QNX Momentum**: 275 million vehicles powered by QNX, design wins with European/Asian OEMs for ADAS/cockpit on SDP8, and new wins for QNX Sound and Cabin in luxury EVs.
- **Secure Communications Strength**: 92% DBNRR, FedRAMP High certification enabling U.S. government expansions, and multi-year renewals with Dutch government and UK Ministry of Defense.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Gross Margins and Cash Flow**: 78% adjusted gross margin, operating cash flow of $17.9 million (200% YoY), and free cash flow of $17 million.
- **Investment and Buyback**: $8.8 million shares repurchased FYTD, and $5 million Q3 buyback at $4.13 average price.
- **Updated Guidance**: FY2026 revenue raised to $531-$541 million (midpoint +$6M), adjusted EBITDA to $94-$104 million (+$7.5M midpoint), and Q4 revenue of $138-$148 million.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **GEM Investment Strategy**: Focus on go-to-market expansion, partnerships, and certifications like BSI for UEM to drive cost savings and safety in China.
- **Vehicle Software Platform**: Co-developed with Vector targeting higher ASPs, with early access version set for Q1 release and discussions with top OEMs.
- **Government Shutdown Resilience**: Secure Communications navigated U.S. shutdown with strong renewals, and QNX royalty-driven model mitigated impact.
- **Robotics and Medical Innovation**: SDP8 adoption in industrial automation (e.g., Bently Nevada, European OEMs) and NASA's aerospace projects.
- **Canadian Expansion**: Multi-year UEM agreement with Canadian government, and active discussions to expand SecuSmart and AtHoc usage in defense.

BlackBerry Ltd (BB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue and Profit Growth**: Q2 revenue of $129.6M (+3% YoY), GAAP net income of $13.3M (vs. -$19.7M YoY), and 72% YoY EBITDA expansion to $25.9M. 
- **QNX Dominance**: 15% YoY revenue growth to $63.1M, 32% EBITDA margin, and mid-eight-figure ADAS win in China. 
- **Secure Comms Resilience**: $59.9M revenue, 16% EBITDA margin, and 5-year German government SecuSmart deal. 
- **Guidance Uptick**: Full-year revenue raised to $519-$541M (+$7M midpoint); Q3 EBITDA guidance of $20-$28M. 
- **Cash Flow Turnaround**: Positive operating cash flow of $3.4M in Q2 (vs. -$18.4M sequentially). 


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results**: Total revenue of $129.6 million (+3% YoY), GAAP net income of $13.3 million (vs. -$19.7 million YoY), and non-GAAP EPS of $0.04 (beat guidance). QNX division delivered 15% YoY revenue growth to $63.1 million, with a record 32% adjusted EBITDA margin. Secure Communications division revenue of $59.9 million (+$4 million ARR) and 16% EBITDA margin. Operating cash flow of $3.4 million (vs. -$18.4 million sequentially). 
- **QNX Highlights**: Mid-eight-figure ADAS design win in China with a tier-one supplier; QNX OS for Safety 8.0 certification by TÜV Rheinland; Snapdragon RidePilot platform with Qualcomm; and 50/50 pipeline split between auto and general industry. QNX Sound wins with Chinese automaker and audio partner. 
- **Secure Comms Wins**: German government 5-year SecuSmart hosted service deal; U.S. State Department 5-year ad hoc platform renewal; and BSI certification for UEM in Germany. 
- **Pipeline Momentum**: QNX design wins ahead of plan; vehicle software platform with Vector Informatik; and QNX OS for Safety 8.0 on NVIDIA DRIVE AGX Thor. 

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q2 Financials**: Total adjusted EBITDA of $25.9 million (+72% YoY); QNX EBITDA of $20.5 million (+56% YoY); Secure Comms EBITDA of $9.7 million. Operating expenses down 5% YoY to $74.8 million. 
- **Guidance Update**: Full-year revenue raised to $519-$541 million (+$7M midpoint); adjusted EBITDA to $82-$101 million (+$12M midpoint). Q3 revenue guidance: $132-$140 million; Q3 EBITDA: $20-$28 million. 
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow of $3.4 million (vs. -$18.4 million sequentially); free cash flow of $2.6 million. Share buybacks of $20 million (5M shares) in Q2. 

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **QNX Leverage**: 83% gross margin with R&D and sales/marketing investments; royalty growth as programs ramp. 
- **China Strategy**: Safety-critical ADAS demand driven by high-profile incidents; mid-eight-figure design win with tier-one supplier. 
- **Back-Half Growth**: Sequential QNX revenue growth driven by development seat licenses and royalty ramp; pipeline solid for H2. 
- **Auto Market Trends**: OEMs stabilizing after production pause; QNX OS for Safety 8.0 adoption accelerating. 


BlackBerry Ltd (BB) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

- **QNX Growth Accelerates**: 8% YoY revenue rise, 43% of SDP 8.0 pipeline in non-auto markets, major industrial automation win.
- **Secure Comms Outperforms**: $59.5M Q1 revenue beat, FedRAMP High certification drives U.S. federal wins.
- **Share Buyback Signal**: $100M program launched, 3-year GAAP profit return after $1.9M Q1 net income.
- **FY26 Guidance Upped**: Total revenue $508-538M, adj. EBITDA $72-87M, non-GAAP EPS $0.08-0.10.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **QNX Division Performance**: Q1 revenue of $57.5 million, up 8% YoY, driven by 9% growth in royalties and 23% in development seat licenses. Non-automotive (GEM) pipeline now 43% of SDP 8.0 total, with a major industrial automation design win.
- **Secure Communications Strength**: $59.5 million revenue beat, stable ARR ($209M) and DBNRR (92%). Secusmart government sales and AtHoc FedRAMP High certification highlight strategic momentum.
- **Strategic Initiatives**: Expanding QNX into robotics/industrial automation and vehicle platform middleware with Vector, targeting royalty ASP uplift.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Overall Results**: Total revenue $121.7M vs. guidance, adj. EBITDA $16.4M (+55% YoY). GAAP net income $1.9M - first positive quarter in 3 years. Operating cash usage $18M vs. $28M prior year.
- **Divisional Performance**: QNX adj. EBITDA $12.7M, Secure Comms $9.6M. Licensing $4.7M below expectations.
- **Share Buyback**: $100M program launched, $10M repurchased at $3.89 avg price. 2026 FY guidance: $508-538M revenue, $72-87M adj. EBITDA.

**【Q&A Key Themes】**
- **QNX Pipeline Visibility**: SDP 8.0 pipeline +55% QoQ, 43% GEM mix. Q2 guidance cautious on auto production but optimistic on long-term middleware adoption.
- **Defense Spending Trends**: Secure Comms benefiting from gov't focus on data sovereignty, with Secusmart and AtHoc winning U.S. federal contracts.
- **Automotive Market Dynamics**: QNX thrives in high-performance vehicles, with autonomous drive adoption driving China-based partnerships.

BlackBerry Limited (BB) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

- **QNX Growth Drivers**: 15% YoY revenue growth, $865M royalty backlog, and expansion into medical/industrial markets.
- **Secure Comms Resilience**: 93% net retention rate, $208M ARR, and stable US federal government contracts.
- **Cash Strength**: $410M cash, $35M FY26 operating cash flow guidance, and $200M+ net cash position.
- **Tariff Mitigation**: 50%+ non-US revenue and diversification into non-auto markets.
- **Vehicle OS Expansion**: OEM partnerships (e.g., TTTech, Microsoft) and middleware integration for content growth.

**【CEO Business Update】**
- **QNX Division**: Q4 revenue of $65.8 million exceeded guidance, with a 83% gross margin. Royalty backlog grew to $865 million, reflecting future royalty revenue. Expansion into medical and industrial markets via the QNX General Embedded Platform, with new design wins in rail and aerospace.
- **Secure Communications**: Q4 revenue of $67.3 million beat guidance, with ARR of $208 million. US federal government accounts represent 20-25% of the division, showing resilience. AtHoc's dollar-based net retention rate exceeded 100%.
- **Licensing**: Q4 revenue of $8.6 million beat expectations, driven by legacy contract resolutions.

**【CFO Financial Review】**
- **QNX**: Fiscal year 2025 revenue of $236 million, with a 29% EBITDA margin. Full-year gross margin of 84%.
- **Secure Communications**: Q4 EBITDA of $12.6 million (19% margin), with full-year EBITDA of $52.3 million. Full-year gross margin of 66%.
- **Total Company**: Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $21.1 million, fiscal year 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $39.3 million. Cash and investments reached $410 million, with a net cash position exceeding $200 million.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Tariffs Impact**: 50%+ of QNX revenue from outside North America mitigates risk. QNX diversifying into medical and industrial markets with SDP 8.0 and QNX Cabin solutions.
- **Gov Contract Stability**: Secure Communications' sticky contracts and mission-critical nature reduce risk. US federal government renewals remain stable.
- **Vehicle OS Initiative**: OEMs partnering with QNX to handle middleware, potentially increasing content per vehicle. Collaborations with TTTech and Microsoft Azure expand platform capabilities.


Actual											0.0953	0.0198	0.1132	0.0197	0.0298	-0.0508	-0.06	0	0.0099	-0.051	-0.0521	-0.0507	-0.0198	0.0585	-0.04	0.0098	0.0298	-0.0301	0	0.0205	0.0297	0.02	0.0405	0.0493
Forecast											0.0398	-0.0173	0.0196	-0.0152	0.0271	-0.061	-0.0763	-0.0735	-0.051	-0.0627	-0.0739	-0.077	-0.0772	-0.0609	-0.0652	-0.0359	-0.0383	-0.0484	-0.0281	-0.0012	0.0025	-0.0026	0.012	0.0364	0.0455
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+139.45%	+214.45%	+477.55%	+229.61%	+9.96%	+16.72%	+21.36%	+100.00%	+119.41%	+18.66%	+29.50%	+34.16%	+74.35%	+196.06%	+38.65%	+127.30%	+177.81%	+37.81%	+100.00%	+1808.33%	+1088.00%	+869.23%	+237.50%	+35.44%	0.00%

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BB

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