What is the market's earnings forecast for Duolingo next quarter?

What is Duolingo's gross profit margin?

Did Duolingo beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What does Duolingo do and what are its main business segments?

What guidance did Duolingo's management provide for the next earnings period?

What were the key takeaways from Duolingo's earnings call?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Duolingo year over year?

What were the key takeaways from Duolingo’s earnings call?

- **User Growth Pivot**: Targets 100M DAUs by 2028, accepting slower 2026 bookings (10-12% YoY) to prioritize engagement.
- **AI Expansion**: Moves video calls to Super tier, testing unlimited access to accelerate learning.
- **New Revenue Streams**: Explores in-app purchases and direct ads for higher monetization without adding friction.
- **Math Market Opportunity**: Taps 1B global math learners with K-12 supplementary courses, aiming for long-term growth.

**【CEO Summary】**
- **Strategic Shift to User Growth**: Prioritizes doubling daily active users (DAUs) to 100 million by 2028, despite slower bookings growth (10-12% YoY) and lower profitability in 2026.
- **AI Integration**: Expanding AI features like video calls to Super tier to enhance learning experience, aiming to teach as effectively as a one-on-one tutor.
- **New Subjects Expansion**: Launches math, chess, and music courses, with chess already reaching 7 million DAUs in under a year.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **2026 Guidance**: Bookings growth 10-12%, revenue 15-18%, adjusted EBITDA margin ~25%. Q1 bookings growth 10%, revenue 25%, EBITDA 25.5%.
- **Investments**: R&D and sales/marketing expenses to outpace revenue growth, with $400M share buyback authorization.
- **Video Call Experimentation**: Testing unlimited video calls in Super vs. metered access, with potential impact on Max subscriptions.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **User Growth Drivers**: Removing friction in free experience (e.g., Explain My Answer feature) and A/B testing AI features in Super.
- **Monetization Strategy**: Balancing user growth with monetization, exploring in-app purchases and direct ad sales for higher ARPU.
- **AI Risks**: Acknowledges potential competition but emphasizes Duolingo's scale and distribution advantage.
- **Math Course Potential**: Targets 1 billion global math learners, with initial focus on K-12 supplementary use.

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Growth**: 36% YoY DAU growth driven by chess course success and social media strategy recovery.
- **AI-Driven Innovation**: Shifting focus to teaching efficacy, with guided video calls and bilingual learning experiments.
- **Profitable Scaling**: 29% EBITDA margin with $1.2 billion annual bookings, despite Q4 bookings deceleration.
- **China Expansion**: Fastest-growing region with cautious but optimistic outlook for Max adoption.
- **Long-Term Vision**: Investing in AI to build a product that teaches better than ever, targeting billions of users.

**【Management Opening Remarks】**
- Deborah Belevan highlighted Q3 2025 performance, guiding to nearly $1.2 billion in annual bookings with 33% growth and a 29% adjusted EBITDA margin.
- Emphasized rapid scaling of impact while maintaining profitability, with 50 million daily active users (DAUs) and a focus on AI-driven education innovation.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **DAU Growth**: 36% year-over-year (YoY) in Q3, with September and October at 30% YoY growth despite social media post adjustments.
- **Chess Course Success**: Millions of daily active users, higher retention than language courses, and upcoming player vs. player (PvP) rollout on Android.
- **AI Investment**: Shifting focus to long-term user growth, prioritizing teaching efficacy over monetization (e.g., maintaining energy units to avoid frustrating users).
- **Strategic Shift**: Balancing user growth with monetization, expecting deceleration in Q4 bookings but maintaining strong financial performance.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Financial Performance**: 29% adjusted EBITDA margin, $1.2 billion annual bookings, and Max subscriptions doubling YoY to 9% of users.
- **Cost Efficiency**: AI-driven features like video calls remain profitable, with compute costs declining without optimization focus.
- **Competitive Landscape**: Unconcerned about AI competitors; Duolingo's engagement and curriculum depth provide a moat.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **China Growth**: Fastest-growing region, 5-6% of business, with Max testing underway and cautious marketing approach.
- **Max Renewals**: Slightly better than Super, with larger cohorts entering renewal cycle in Q4.
- **Family Plan**: 29% of subscribers, expected continued growth through New Year's promotions.
- **AI Roadmap**: Expanding top 9 language courses to Duolingo score 130, guided video calls for beginners, and bilingual teaching experiments.


Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Record Growth**: 40% DAU YoY growth driven by 'Energy' system, surpassing 60% lapped quarter. Full-year guidance raised due to core strength and new initiatives.
- **China Surge**: Fastest-growing market with Luckin Coffee partnership, though Max delayed by regulations.
- **Subscription Mix**: Super outpaces Max growth; bilingual Video Call experiments aim to boost Max adoption.
- **AI Efficiency**: AI cost savings offset by $100M+ investments in content and markets, with long-term web checkout benefits.
- **ARPU Expansion**: 5-6% growth from plan mix shifts, no broad price hikes planned.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- Q2 2025 marked record profitability with 40% year-over-year DAU growth, surpassing expectations despite lapping a 60% growth quarter. CEO emphasized raising full-year guidance due to strong core business performance and investments in new areas like Chess, Math, and Music.
- The 'Energy' system replaced the 'Hearts' mechanic, driving higher revenue and engagement by rewarding users for correct answers rather than penalizing mistakes. This feature is rolling out across iOS and Android, with significant impact on user retention and median time spent.
- China emerged as the fastest-growing market, boosted by a partnership with Luckin Coffee, though Max remains unavailable due to regulatory hurdles.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- GAAP net income reached $420 million, with Non-GAAP EPS of $1.08, exceeding expectations. Strong cost control and AI-driven efficiency improvements contributed to gross margin expansion.
- AI cost savings from lower API calls and token expenses offset incremental investments in new content and markets. CFO highlighted the long-term potential of bypassing Apple's 30% cut via web-based purchases, though near-term financial impact is limited.
- ARPU growth of 5-6% was driven by plan mix shifts (e.g., Super and Max adoption) and FX tailwinds, with no immediate plans for broad price increases.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **DAU Growth Moderation**: U.S. DAU growth slowed due to reduced edgy social media posts post-AI controversy, but sentiment has stabilized. Global growth remains robust, with Asia-Pacific leading at 40%+ YoY.
- **Max Subscription Performance**: Max penetration rose to 8% of subscribers, but growth lagged Super due to Video Call's complexity for beginners. Bilingual conversations and dynamic backgrounds are being tested to enhance engagement.
- **AI and Compute Costs**: Falling compute costs enable experiments with tiered Max features and pricing optimizations, though LTV remains the primary focus over gross margin.
- **Investment Strategy**: Back-half investments focus on hiring for Music content expansion and incremental marketing in underpenetrated markets like the U.S.
- **China Strategy**: Luckin Coffee partnership drove user acquisition, but regulatory delays for Max approval persist. Chess adoption outpaces Math and Music, signaling broader TAM expansion potential.

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **User Growth Acceleration**: 49% YoY DAU growth, mature markets leading at +60%+ YoY. 130M active users vs. 60M 2 years ago.
- **AI Supercharging Content**: 148 language courses in 1 year vs. 12 years for first 100. Math content set to quadruple in Q2.
- **Chess Launch**: 3D Lily video call with dynamic backgrounds, targeting 1.7B+ impressions/month via viral campaigns.
- **English Learning Expansion**: Intermediate/advanced content driving 50%+ growth, though still under-indexed at 50% market share.
- **Gross Margin Trajectory**: Full year 150bps YoY decline, with Q2 sequential decline of 50bps followed by margin recovery in H2.
- **Max Penetration**: 7% of subs, 7.5%+ among English learners vs. 6.5% for others. Testing $70/year in India with price cut pending API cost declines.


**【CEO Key Highlights】**
- **User Growth**: Q1 DAUs grew 49% YoY, with mature markets showing fastest growth. Total active users reached 130M, lapping a 60% YoY growth from the prior year.
- **AI Content Creation**: 148 new language courses added in 1 year via AI (vs. 12 years for first 100), enabling teaching major languages to 8 top geographies. Math content will quadruple within months.
- **New Subjects Momentum**: Chess launching soon, with 3M+ daily active users in math/music. Chess users will see ads removed via subscription, similar to language learning monetization.
- **Video Call Enhancements**: 3D Lily update reduces latency, adds dynamic backgrounds (e.g., taxi driver scenarios). A/B tests show higher engagement with conversational practice.
- **English Learners Strategy**: Intermediate/advanced content driving 50%+ growth in English learning, though still under-indexed (50% vs. global 80% market share).

**【CFO Financial Updates】**
- **Q1 Performance**: GAAP net income $420M, Non-GAAP EPS $1.08 (vs. $0.95 consensus). Gross margin decline of 200bps vs. 300bps guidance due to Max efficiency gains.
- **Gross Margin Outlook**: Full year 150bps YoY decline. Q2 gross margin to decline 50bps sequentially, with ramp-up in Q3/Q4 to end year flat vs. Q4 2024 levels.
- **Cost Optimization**: Generative AI API costs down 50% YoY. Testing 3D Lily on cloud infrastructure to reduce video call costs.
- **Max Penetration**: 7% of subs (up from 5% last quarter), with higher uptake among English learners (7.5%+ vs. 6.5% non-English learners).
- **AI Spend**: Reinvesting cost savings into AI features (e.g., 148 courses, 3D Lily) rather than margin expansion.

**【Key Q&A Themes】**
- **Max Pricing Strategy**: Testing $70/year in India, targeting price reduction as API costs decline. No plans to move Max features to lower tiers.
- **AI Talent Strategy**: Hiring AI engineers to automate 80% of tasks, with remaining 20% requiring human oversight. Goal: 100% employees trained in AI automation.
- **Competitive Positioning**: Viral marketing (e.g., Duo Owl stunts) drives 1.7B impressions/month. Chess launch will use similar viral campaigns.
- **LTV Dynamics**: Max +20% LTV vs. Super, with 50% of Max subs upgrading from Super. Gross profit per Max sub exceeds Super by 2x+.


Duolingo (DUOL)-1 May 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: Q4 bookings +42% YoY, 2025 guidance for +25% YoY growth
- **Max Expansion**: 5% of subs on Max, targeting rapid adoption with Video Call
- **AI Investment**: $17M+ annualized in 2024, scaling content creation 10x faster
- **Profitability**: 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin to expand 200bps to 27.5%, despite 170bps Max-related headwind
- **Key Metrics**: 40M DAUs (51% YoY), 3M Math/Music DAUs, 23% Family Plan penetration
- **LTV Drivers**: Max LTV >2x Super, Family Plan LTV > individual plans

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Record Q4 Performance**: Ended with 40M daily active users (51% YoY growth), highest quarterly bookings, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA. 
- **Duolingo Max Momentum**: 5% of subscribers now on Max, driven by Video Call feature adoption. Family Plan accounts for 23% of subscribers with higher retention/LTV.
- **2025 Priorities**: 
  1. Grow users/subscribers through hundreds of monthly experiments
  2. Scale AI-powered content (e.g., Video Call improvements, Math/Music courses)
  3. Balance growth with disciplined investments
- **AI Strategy**: Prioritizing rapid innovation over cost optimization in 2025; expects AI costs to decline over time.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q4 2024 Results**: 
  - Total bookings +42% YoY
  - Revenue +39% YoY
  - Full year adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 8pts to 25.7%
- **2025 Guidance**: 
  - Full year bookings +25% YoY (27% constant currency)
  - Q1 bookings +28% YoY (32% constant currency)
  - Adjusted EBITDA margin to expand ~200bps to 27.5%
- **Max Impact**: 170bps YoY gross margin headwind in 2025, with steeper 300bps impact in H1. Margins expected to improve in H2 as AI costs optimize.
- **Currency Sensitivity**: $10M impact per 2% USD movement vs. foreign exchange basket.

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
- **Max Penetration**: 5% of subs globally, strongest in Japan. English learners 2x as likely to upgrade to Max vs. Super.
- **AI Investment**: $17M+ annualized in 2024, focused on content scaling (e.g., Math/Music courses) and feature innovation. Costs expected to decline as models improve.
- **Math/Music Growth**: 3M daily active users, growing faster than language courses. AI enabling 10x faster content creation.
- **User Growth**: 51% DAU growth YoY, driven by both new and resurrected users. Resurrected users now ~50% of funnel.
- **LTV Trends**: Max LTV >2x Super, Family Plan LTV > individual plans. Video Call engagement driving retention.


Actual	-0.01	-0.98	-0.46	-0.31	-0.38	-0.46	-0.35	-0.06	0.08	0.06	0.26	0.57	0.51	0.49	0.28	0.72	0.91	5.95	0.8305
Forecast		-0.9713	-0.555	-0.57	-0.5156	-0.5513	-0.5413	-0.2389	-0.1913	-0.0716	0.0417	0.273	0.3197	0.3546	0.4819	0.5148	0.5867	0.7585	0.8381
Surprise	0.00%	-0.90%	+17.12%	+45.61%	+26.30%	+16.56%	+35.34%	+74.88%	+141.82%	+183.80%	+523.50%	+108.79%	+59.52%	+38.18%	-41.90%	+39.86%	+55.10%	+684.44%	-0.91%

DUOL

DUOL fundamentals

DUOL Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime

DUOL

DUOL fundamentals

DUOL Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

DUOL Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20255:30 PM on Feb 26, 2026

DUOL Earnings Call Summary for Q3/20255:30 PM on Nov 5, 2025

DUOL Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20255:30 PM on Aug 6, 2025

DUOL Earnings Call Summary for Q1/20255:30 PM on May 1, 2025

DUOL Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20245:30 PM on Feb 27, 2025

You can ask Aime