What is the market's earnings forecast for Consumer Portfolio next quarter?

What guidance did Consumer Portfolio's management provide for the next earnings period?

What were the key takeaways from Consumer Portfolio's earnings call?

Did Consumer Portfolio beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What does Consumer Portfolio do and what are its main business segments?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Consumer Portfolio year over year?

What factors drove the changes in Consumer Portfolio's revenue and profit?

What were the key takeaways from Consumer Portfolio’s earnings call?

- **Strategic Growth**: 2025 revenue up 10% to $434 million, with $900 million prime program and AI-driven 8.4% origination boost.
- **Portfolio Cleanup**: Reduced bad assets to 26% of $4 billion portfolio, targeting full elimination by 2026.
- **Operational Efficiency**: 2% lower operating expenses, 14% lower employee costs as a portfolio percentage.
- **2026 Outlook**: Favorable credit access, industry consolidation, and stable interest rates for margin expansion.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- 2025 was a strong year with revenue growth and strategic partnerships: signed a $150 million warehouse line with Capital One and a $900 million prime forward flow commitment.
- Portfolio optimization: reduced non-performing assets from 40% to 26% of the $4 billion portfolio, targeting full elimination by end-2026.
- 2026 outlook: favorable credit availability, industry consolidation (e.g., GLS acquisition), and interest rate stability.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Q4 2025 revenue: $109.4 million (+4% YoY), full-year $434 million (+10% YoY), driven by 16% interest income growth.
- Financial health: net income $5 million (flat YoY), equity at $309.5 million (all-time high), and operating expenses down 2% as a portfolio percentage.
- Efficiency gains: core operating expenses $177 million (-2% YoY), net interest margin stable at $202.5 million.

**【COO Operational Highlights】**
- Originations: $1.638 billion in 2025 (third-highest in company history), boosted by an 11% approval rate increase via AI-driven credit model.
- Strategic initiatives: $900 million prime program with a credit union (to grow 5-6% of originations by 2026), and 14% reduction in employee costs as a portfolio percentage.
- Credit performance: stable delinquency (14.77%), improving recoveries (43.4% for 2025 vintages vs. 20.5% for 2022), and industry-leading credit metrics.


Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc.(CPSS)-20260311-2025 Q4 Earnings call transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: Q3 2025 revenue up 8% YoY to $108.4M, driven by fair value portfolio expansion.
- **Credit Improvement**: 2024-2025 vintages showing better performance, DQ rate 13.96%, recoveries improving.
- **Cost Efficiency**: Core expenses reduced to 4.5% of portfolio, headcount cut by 3%.
- **Liquidity Strength**: $151.9M cash, total debt up 11% to $3.4B, equity up 8%.
- **Future Outlook**: Positive with lower rates, returning securitization cash, and stable unemployment.

**CEO Opening Remarks**
- Modest growth in 2025 due to cautious credit tightening, with 2024-2025 vintages showing improved credit performance.
- 2022-2023 portfolio shrinking below 30% of total, freeing up capital for better-performing paper.
- Securitization completed despite market challenges, emphasizing liquidity and operational stability.
- Industry impact from Tricolor collapse, but company unaffected due to third-party custodian use.

**CFO Financial Commentary**
- Q3 2025 revenue: $108.4M (+8% YoY), fair value portfolio: $3.6B (11.4% yield).
- Expenses: $101.4M (+8% YoY), driven by securitization debt growth.
- Pretax income: $7M (flat YoY), net income: $4.9M (+2%), EPS: $0.20 (flat).
- Balance sheet: Cash $151.9M, total debt $3.4B (+11%), equity $307.6M (+8%).
- Net interest margin stable at $49.3M, core expenses 4.5% of portfolio (-4% YoY).

**COO Operational Highlights**
- Q3 originations: $391M, YTD: $1.275B (+4% YoY), 90% from franchise dealers.
- Capture rate improved to 6%, large dealer groups now 31% of originations.
- Funding time reduced to 1 day, OpEx 4.5% of portfolio (-3% headcount YoY).
- Credit metrics: DQ 13.96%, charge-offs 8.01%, recoveries improving for 2024-2025 vintages.
- Unemployment rate stable at 4.3%, no major defaults, positive outlook for 2026.

**CEO Closing Remarks**
- Positive outlook with lower interest rates, returning cash from maturing securitizations.
- Focus on improving credit performance and reducing operational costs.
- Expecting strong growth in 2026 as older vintages run off and new credit strategies bear fruit.

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc.(CPSS)-20251111-2025 Q3 Earnings call transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: Q2 revenue up 14% to $109.8M, driven by 11.4% yield on $3.6B fair value portfolio.
- **Cost Efficiency**: Operating expenses as % of portfolio down to 4.9% (vs 5.7% last year), OpEx $102.8M (+15% YoY) due to higher debt levels.
- **Portfolio Quality**: '24/'25 vintages showing NCO improvement to 6.5% vs '22/'23 at 7.8%, DQ down 100bps YoY.
- **AI Impact**: AI agents handled 31% of payments, reducing human workload while maintaining 48% right-party connect rate.
- **Leverage Improvement**: Debt growth (+15% YoY) lagging receivables (+20% YoY), equity hits $303M.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q2 originations of $433M were flat Q/Q but 23.8% higher than 2024, marking the second-best Q2 in company history.
- Completed a $418M securitization with a 5.43% coupon, the lowest since 2022, positioning for NIM expansion if rates cut.
- Operating expenses at 10-year lows, with OpEx as % of portfolio at 4.9% vs 5.7% last year.
- Portfolio improving as '22/'23 paper (now 35% of portfolio) runs off, replaced by stronger '24/'25 vintages.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- Revenue: $109.8M (+14% YoY), driven by 11.4% yield on $3.6B fair value portfolio.
- Expenses: $102.8M (+15% YoY), with interest expense up 26% due to higher debt levels.
- Net income: $4.8M (+2% YoY), EPS $0.20 vs $0.19 last year.
- Balance sheet: Finance receivables $3.56B (+20% YoY), debt $3.4B (+15% YoY), equity $303.1M (new high).
- Margins: NIM $51.1M (+4% YoY), OpEx as % of portfolio 4.9% vs 5.7%.

**【COO Operational Update】**
- Operational highlights:
  - Same-day funding rate 29% (record), deal turn time 1.18 days (best ever)
  - Capture rate 6.71% vs 5.96% last year
  - DQ 13.14% (flat YoY), NCOs 7.45% vs 7.26% last year
  - AI agents handled 31% of payments, 48% right-party connect rate
- Portfolio metrics:
  - $3.7B AUM (+16.8% YoY)
  - 5/6 months of sequential DQ improvement in 2025
  - '24 vintage NCOs 6.5% vs '23 at 7.8%
- Cost control: OpEx as % of portfolio 4.8%, trending lower with scale

**【CEO Closing Remarks】**
- Industry cautious due to macro uncertainty, but CPSS maintaining disciplined underwriting.
- Hope for rate cuts to benefit NIM, while monitoring unemployment (currently stable at 3.8%).
- Focus on:
  - Portfolio optimization (aging paper running off)
  - Efficiency improvements (AI adoption)
  - Collection performance (auction recoveries up 200bps Q/Q)
  - Balance sheet strength (leverage ratio 93% vs 105% last year)

Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)-12 Aug 25-2025 Q2 Earnings call transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: 17% YoY to $106.9 million, driven by a $3.6 billion portfolio yielding 11.4%.
- **Credit Improvement**: DQ down to 12.35%, charge-offs at 7.5%, with high-credit paper now 50% of portfolio.
- **Operational Efficiency**: 5.2% core expenses vs. 6% YoY, AI reducing collector workload.
- **Market Resilience**: Stable securitization pricing despite macro uncertainty, unemployment at 4.2%.


**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q1 2025 originations reached $451 million, a 31.5% YoY increase, driven by a 24% growth in the managed portfolio to $3.45 billion.
- Emphasis on credit-conscious growth: delinquencies (DQ) and charge-offs improved sequentially, with DQ at 12.35% and annualized net charge-offs at 7.5%.
- 2023-2024 vintage portfolios now below 30% of total, with high-creditworthy paper exceeding 50%.

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- Revenues: $106.9 million (17% YoY), driven by a $3.6 billion fair value portfolio yielding 11.4%.
- Net income: $4.7 million ($0.19 EPS), flat YoY, despite a 17% increase in expenses due to higher debt balances.
- Record shareholders' equity of $298.4 million, up 7% YoY.
- Core operating expenses at 5.2% of managed portfolio, down from 6% YoY.

**【COO Operational Updates】**
- AI voice agent implementation reduced collector workload, enabling 950 employees to manage a 24% larger portfolio.
- Average payment reduced to $535, below industry average, with LTV at 117-118%.
- Unemployment rate at 4.2% seen as a positive macroeconomic indicator.

**【CEO Closing Remarks】**
- Securitization market stability: Q1 and Q2 2025 deals priced within 10bps despite market volatility.
- Focus on growing high-creditworthy paper to benefit from future rate declines.
- Industry consolidation continues, with no new entrants and weak players exiting.


Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. (CPSS) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: 14% YoY to $105.3M Q4, 12% YoY to $393.5M annual.
- **Origination Surge**: $1.68B annual origination (+24%), 52% YoY Q4 jump.
- **Credit Improvement**: 2024 vintages outperforming competitors by 200-400bps.
- **Tech Impact**: AI fraud savings of $4.6M in 2024, $6-7M expected in 2025.
- **2025 Outlook**: Aggressive growth with 60%+ portfolio in 2024+ vintages.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- 2024 was a year of cautious growth, focusing on improving credit quality after challenging 2022-2023 performance.
- Originations grew 24% YoY to $1.68B, driven by 42 new sales reps and expanded dealer partnerships.
- 2025 outlook: Aggressive growth expected, with 60%+ of portfolio in 2024+ vintages (vs. 20% in 2022).
- Capital markets remain strong, supporting securitization growth.

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- Q4 2024 Revenue: $105.3M (+5% QoQ, +14% YoY), driven by 52% YoY origination growth.
- Full Year Revenue: $393.5M (+12% YoY).
- Expenses: $366.1M (+26% YoY), due to higher securitization debt and CECL adjustments.
- Net Income: $19.2M (-57% YoY), impacted by legacy portfolio costs.
- Return on Managed Assets: 0.9% (down from 2.1% YoY).

**【COO Operational Insights】**
- Key Growth Drivers:
  - 42 new sales reps added in 2024
  - Large dealer group origination share increased to 28%
  - Same-day funding rate doubled to 13%
- Credit Tightening:
  - LTV capped at 119%
  - AI-driven fraud savings of $4.6M in 2024
- Credit Performance:
  - 2024 vintages showing 200-400bps better C&L than competitors
  - DQ >30 days improved in 7/12 months
- Tech Innovations:
  - AI voice bot pilot achieved human-level results
  - 2025 AI expansion to save $6-7M in fraud losses

Actual											0.08	0.4705	0.16	0.17	0.21	0.39	0.52	0.68	0.75	0.91	0.95	0.59	0.54				0.19	0.19	0.2	0.21	0.19	0.2	0.2	0.21
Forecast											0.19	0.29	0.2967	0.2333	0.2267	0.2133	0.17	0.2	0.2	0.19	0.22	0.22	0.24	0.24	0.26	0.26			0.21	0.27	0.3	0.26	0.31	0.4
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-57.89%	+62.24%	-46.07%	-27.13%	-7.37%	+82.84%	+205.88%	+240.00%	+275.00%	+378.95%	+331.82%	+168.18%	+125.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-4.76%	-22.22%	-36.67%	-23.08%	-35.48%	-47.50%

Actual	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	70.77M	67.29M	70.67M	62.43M	63.11M	66.77M	68.56M	69.36M	74.37M	82.02M	90.31M	83.02M	83.10M	--	--	--	91.74M	95.88M	100.58M	105.30M	106.87M	109.76M	108.42M	109.41M
Forecast	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	77.72M	74.78M	70.92M	67.74M	56.66M	56.09M	60.21M	60.39M	66.00M	68.28M	70.25M	72.30M	74.37M	76.31M	78.25M	--	--	--	98.34M	102.37M	109.99M	109.63M	113.66M	118.62M
Surprise	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-8.95%	-10.01%	-0.35%	-7.83%	+11.39%	+19.05%	+13.88%	+14.86%	+12.68%	+20.12%	+28.54%	+14.83%	+11.73%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+2.28%	+2.87%	-2.83%	+0.13%	-4.61%	-7.76%

CPSS

CPSS fundamentals

CPSS Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime

CPSS

CPSS fundamentals

CPSS Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

CPSS Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20251:00 PM on Mar 11, 2026

CPSS Earnings Call Summary for Q3/20251:00 PM on Nov 11, 2025

CPSS Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20251:00 PM on Aug 12, 2025

CPSS Earnings Call Summary for Q1/20251:00 PM on May 13, 2025

CPSS Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20241:00 PM on Feb 26, 2025

You can ask Aime