What is the market's earnings forecast for Maplebear next quarter?

What factors drove the changes in Maplebear's revenue and profit?

What does Maplebear do and what are its main business segments?

What is Maplebear's latest dividend and current dividend yield?

What is the revenue and EPS growth rate for Maplebear year over year?

Did Maplebear beat or miss consensus estimates last quarter?

What guidance did Maplebear's management provide for the next earnings period?

What were the key takeaways from Maplebear's earnings call?

- **Revenue Growth**: Q4 GTV +14% YoY, strongest in 3 years. Orders +16% YoY, advertising revenue +10% YoY.
- **Enterprise Expansion**: 70 new Storefront Pro partners in 2025, international launches with Costco in France/Spain.
- **AI Efficiency**: Engineering output +40% YoY, 10% of teams boost productivity by 80%.
- **Share Buybacks**: $1.4 billion in 2025, $671M remaining capacity.
- **Q1 2026 Guidance**: GTV +11-13% YoY, EBITDA +15-19% YoY.
- **Competitive Resilience**: 75% share of large baskets ($75+), outpacing Amazon/DoorDash growth.
- **In-Store Ads**: Caper Carts lift basket size by 1%, 310 Carrot Ads partners.


**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Q4 2025 Performance**: GTV reached $9.85 billion, up 14% YoY, marking the strongest growth in 3 years. Orders grew 16% YoY to $89.5 million, while average order value decreased 1% YoY due to restaurant order growth. 
- **Revenue Streams**: Transaction revenue grew 13% YoY (7.1% of GTV), driven by affordability investments and fulfillment efficiencies. Advertising & other revenue rose 10% YoY, supported by 9,000+ active brands and Carrot Ads expansion to 310 partners.
- **Enterprise Growth**: 70 new Storefront Pro partners in 2025 (total 380), including international launches with Costco in France and Spain. Enterprise partnerships deepen through AI solutions like Cart Assistant and in-store tech (Caper Carts, FoodStorm).
- **AI & Efficiency**: Engineering output increased 40% YoY, with 10% of teams boosting productivity by 80%. AI accelerates onboarding of retailers and improves fulfillment efficiency.
- **Share Buybacks**: $1.1 billion repurchased in Q4, $1.4 billion in 2025, with $671 million remaining capacity.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q4 Financials**: GAAP net income $81 million (down 46% YoY due to $60M FTC settlement). Adjusted EBITDA $303 million (+20% YoY). Operating cash flow $184 million (+20% YoY).
- **Q1 2026 Guidance**: GTV $10.25-$10.275 billion (11-13% YoY), Advertising & other revenue +11-14% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA $280-290 million (+15-19% YoY).
- **Cost Structure**: Payments to publishers (Carrot Ads partners, off-platform ad budgets) grew in 2025 but expected to moderate in 2026. Operating leverage driven by GTV growth and efficiency improvements.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **Enterprise Adoption**: 70 new Storefront Pro partners in 2025, with international expansion (e.g., Costco in France/Spain). Enterprise lowers cost to serve and enables shared technology innovation.
- **Competition Response**: Despite Amazon and DoorDash expansion, Instacart retains 75% share of large baskets ($75+). GTV growth accelerated to 14% YoY in Q4, strongest in 3 years].
- **Advertising Momentum**: 9,000+ brands advertising on Instacart, up from 7,000 YoY. Off-platform partnerships (Meta, Pinterest) drive incremental budgets. Caper Carts in-store ads lift basket size by 1%.
- **International Strategy**: Focus on North America and Europe with existing partners (e.g., Costco, Sprouts) and new retailers (e.g., Morrisons in UK). Caper Carts live in 100+ US cities, 15 states.
- **AI & Agnostic Shopping**: Cart Assistant beta testing, expected Q1 launch. AI-powered ad recommendations improve relevance and ROAS for brands.


Maplebear Inc. (CART) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Revenue Growth**: Q3 GTV $9.17B (+10% YoY), driven by 14% order growth and expanding customer engagement.
- **AI and Ad Innovation**: Launched AI tools like Cart Assistant and AI landing pages, with $1B+ annualized ad revenue.
- **Enterprise Expansion**: 350+ retailer storefronts, 240 Carrot Ads partners, and disciplined international pilot program.
- **Profitability**: Adjusted EBITDA $278M (+22% YoY), with $287M operating cash flow.
- **Share Buybacks**: $1.5B increase in buyback program, underscoring confidence in long-term growth.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Marketplace Strength**: Q3 GTV of $9.17B (+10% YoY), driven by 14% order growth and expanding customer engagement. Unit economics positive across all basket sizes due to routing and batching efficiencies.
- **Enterprise Platform Expansion**: 350+ retailer e-commerce storefronts, 240 Carrot Ads partners, and AI solutions launched to enhance retailer operations. 40 new storefronts added in H1, including Restaurant Depot.
- **AI and Advertising Growth**: $1B+ annualized ad revenue, 10%+ growth in emerging brands. New AI tools like Cart Assistant and AI landing pages improve ad performance. Off-platform partnerships with TikTok and Pinterest expand reach.
- **International Strategy**: Exploring Europe and Australia with existing products (Storefront Pro, Caper). Focus on disciplined expansion without new tech development.
- **Affordability Initiatives**: Price parity pilots with retailers (e.g., Schnucks, Heritage Grocers) show 10%+ sales growth. Weekly flyer integrations and loyalty programs reduce churn.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Q3 Financials**: GAAP net income $144M (+22% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $278M (+22% YoY). Operating cash flow $287M, up $102M YoY. Share buybacks of $67M in Q3.
- **Q4 Outlook**: GTV $9.45-9.6B (+9-11% YoY),广告收入增长6-9%。广告生态系统创新（如AI生成落地页）支撑长期双位数增长。
- **Margin Management**: Stock-based comp $82M in Q3 (down $24M QoQ). Q4 EBITDA guidance $285-295M, reflecting disciplined reinvestment.

**【Q&A Highlights】**
- **AI Monetization**: Retailers see AI as competitive advantage. Cart Assistant and generative ads will drive enterprise revenue. Early-stage monetization via tech licensing.
- **Competition Response**: Leading 3x larger than next competitor in online grocery. Focus on large baskets (75% market share) and enterprise partnerships offsets Amazon entry.
- **Regulatory Risk**: NYC delivery wage changes may impact <1% of GTV. Navigating through fee adjustments while maintaining profitability.
- **International Risks**: Balancing growth with profitability. No material impact on 2025 guidance from international pilots.
- **Share Repurchases**: $1.5B increase in buyback program signals confidence in long-term value creation.

Maplebear Inc. (CART) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **GTV Growth Accelerates**: 11% YoY driven by 17% order growth, with AI-powered batching and lower basket minimums unlocking incremental demand.
- **AI-Driven Efficiency**: 80%+ code deployment AI-assisted, reducing tech debt and enhancing team productivity across engineering, sales, and legal.
- **Enterprise Expansion**: 40 new retailers onboarded in 2025, Storefront Pro adoption enabling retailers to power their own e-commerce sites, and 240 Carrot Ads partners.
- **Financial Strength**: GAAP net income up 92% YoY, operating cash flow $203 million, with $1.7 billion in cash and $357 million remaining buyback capacity.
- **Strategic Moves**: Costco partnership, in-store tech (Caper, Carrot Tags) deployment, and $10 minimum basket driving affordability and customer retention.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **GTV Growth**: 11% year-over-year (YoY), driven by 17% order growth, with 5% decline in average order value (AOV) due to restaurant orders and $10 minimum basket for Instacart+ members.
- **AI Integration**: Over 80% of code deployment is AI-assisted, with 30% YoY increase in merges per engineer. AI automates code reviews, reduces tech debt, and enhances sales and legal efficiency.
- **Enterprise Expansion**: 40 net new retailers onboarded in 2025, up from 30 in 2024. Storefront Pro adoption enables retailers to power their own e-commerce sites, with 240 Carrot Ads partners.
- **In-Store Tech**: Caper Carts deployed in 15+ states, Carrot Tags powering 10% of orders, improving fill rates and customer retention.
- **Leadership Transition**: Chris Rogers to succeed Fidji Simo as CEO, building on Instacart's enterprise and ad platform momentum.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **GAAP Net Income**: $116 million (up 92% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA: $262 million (up 26% YoY), Operating Cash Flow: $203 million (down $41 million YoY due to working capital fluctuations).
- **Stock Buybacks**: $111 million in Q2, with $1.7 billion in cash and $357 million remaining buyback capacity.
- **Q3 Guidance**: GTV $9-9.15 billion (8-10% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA $260-270 million, reflecting cautious macro environment but strong ad platform diversification.

**【Q&A Key Highlights】**
- **Order Growth Composition**: Restaurant orders and lower basket minimums drive 17% order growth, with moderation expected in Q3 due to lapping restaurant contributions.
- **Ad Revenue Resilience**: 12% YoY growth, offsetting large brand pullbacks with emerging/mid-sized brands. Off-platform partnerships (e.g., The Trade Desk) show early promise.
- **Enterprise Pipeline**: Storefront Pro and Carrot Ads attract 240+ retailers, with in-store tech (Caper, Carrot Tags) enabling multichannel customer acquisition.
- **Affordability Strategy**: $10 minimum basket, price parity with retailers like Schnucks, and batching efficiency (25% priority orders batched) drive incremental GTV without cannibalizing large baskets.
- **Costco Partnership**: Exclusive discounts for Costco Executive members, part of broader deep retailer integrations (e.g., Publix app integration).


Maplebear Inc. (CART) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

- **Resilient Growth**: Q1 GTV up 10% YoY, driven by 14% order growth, with small basket orders adding incremental spend despite 4% AOV decline.
- **AI-Driven Efficiency**: 87% of code developed with AI, enabling tools like Smart Shop and universal ad campaigns to boost user engagement and ad performance.
- **Enterprise Expansion**: Wynshop acquisition expands enterprise solutions, with Carrot Ads now powering 220+ retailers and 7,000+ advertisers.
- **Strong Profitability**: Adjusted EBITDA up 23% YoY to $244M, with operating cash flow surging 193% YoY to $298M. Share buybacks signal confidence in long-term growth.

**【CEO Summary Section】**
- **Revenue Growth**: Q1 GTV grew 10% YoY, driven by 14% order growth, with small basket orders (e.g., $10 minimum for Instacart+) contributing to incremental spend. Average order value (AOV) declined 4% YoY due to restaurant orders and lower thresholds, but basket sizes remained resilient.
- **AI Integration**: 87% of code developed in Q1 used AI assistance, enhancing efficiency in tools like Smart Shop and universal ad campaigns. AI-driven personalization is key to user retention and growth.
- **Retail Partnerships**: Deepened integrations with retailers (e.g., loyalty programs, inventory accuracy) and announced Wynshop acquisition to expand enterprise solutions. Carrot Ads now powers over 220 retailers, with strong performance in ROAS and CTR.
- **Ad Business Strength**: Q1 advertising revenue grew 14% YoY, outpacing GTV, with contributions from both large and emerging brands. Universal campaigns and AI-driven ad optimization are key growth drivers.

**【CFO Financial Commentary】**
- **Financial Highlights**: GAAP net income of $106M (down 20% YoY due to stock-based comp lapping), adjusted EBITDA of $244M (23% YoY growth), and operating cash flow of $298M (up 193% YoY). Share buybacks totaled $94M, with $218M remaining.
- **Q2 Outlook**: GTV expected between $8.85B-$9B (8%-10% YoY), with adjusted EBITDA of $240M-$250M. Advertising revenue growth is expected to modestly outpace GTV growth.
- **Cost Efficiency**: Transaction revenue held steady at 7.1% of GTV, reflecting shopper efficiency improvements (e.g., batching orders).

Instacart (CART)-1 May 25-2025 Q1 Earnings call transcript

- **Record Q4 Growth**: GTV $9.15B (+10% YoY), 70%+ share in large baskets. 
- **$148M Net Income**: Adjusted EBITDA up 27% YoY to $252M. 
- **2025 Outlook**: GTV $9-9.15B (8-10% YoY), EBITDA $220-230M. 
- **Caper Carts Momentum**: 10%+ basket lifts, scaling to thousands of stores. 
- **Ad Business Strength**: 7,000+ brands, 15%+ ROAS, 10%+ GTV from emerging brands. 
- **Profitability Focus**: 2025 SBC < $425M, EBITDA margin expansion.

**【CEO Opening Remarks】**
- Q4 2024 GTV grew 10% YoY to $9.15B, driven by 11% order growth and 70%+ share in large baskets ($75+). 
- Key initiatives: 
  - **Restaurants integration**: 100k+ restaurants nationwide, $10 min basket feature boosts order frequency. 
  - **Affordability solutions**: EBT/SNAP, digital flyers (80%+ GTV coverage), Super Saver/Pickup options. 
  - **Enterprise tech**: 30+ new retailer sites on latest storefront tech, Caper Carts pilots show 10%+ basket lifts. 
- 2024 cohort delivered strongest engagement in years, with 2025 focused on reinvesting efficiency gains into growth.

**【CFO Financial Highlights】**
- Q4 GAAP net income: $148M (vs. $135M prior year), Adjusted EBITDA: $252M (+27% YoY). 
- Key metrics: 
  - Transaction revenue: 10% YoY growth, 12.6% of GTV. 
  - Advertising revenue: 10% YoY growth, 2.5% of GTV. 
  - Operating cash flow: $153M (down 25% YoY due to working capital). 
- Q1 2025 Outlook: 
  - GTV: $9-9.15B (8-10% YoY), orders to outpace GTV due to $10 min basket. 
  - EBITDA: $220-230M (12% YoY growth). 
  - Share buybacks: $1.4B in 2024, $312M remaining.

**【Q&A Key Takeaways】**
1. **Investment Priorities**: 
   - Core grocery (selection, affordability, speed). 
   - Enterprise solutions (Caper Carts, storefront tech). 
   - Advertising innovation (AI-driven ad formats, Carrot Ads partnerships). 
2. **Ad Business Momentum**: 
   - 7,000+ active brands, 15%+ ROAS, 15%+ sales lift. 
   - 220+ Carrot Ads partners, 10%+ GTV from emerging brands. 
3. **Caper Carts Progress**: 
   - Pilots show 10%+ basket lifts, 7x+ ad revenue growth. 
   - Scaling to thousands of stores in 2025. 
4. **Profitability Discipline**: 
   - 2025 SBC target: < $425M. 
   - 2024 EBITDA margin expanded 200+bps to 11%.


Actual	-20.86	0.44	0.43	0.2	0.42	0.53	0.37	0.41	0.51	0.3
Forecast	-0.7754	-0.0747	-0.0234	0.1311	0.2179	0.3767	0.3802	0.3847	0.494	0.5076
Surprise	-2590.22%	+689.02%	+1937.61%	+52.56%	+92.75%	+40.70%	-2.68%	+6.58%	+3.24%	-40.90%

Actual	764.00M	803.00M	820.00M	823.00M	852.00M	883.00M	897.00M	914.00M	939.00M	992.00M
Forecast	736.91M	804.62M	794.08M	806.35M	844.03M	890.50M	897.51M	895.97M	933.68M	973.30M
Surprise	+3.68%	-0.20%	+3.26%	+2.07%	+0.94%	-0.84%	-0.06%	+2.01%	+0.57%	+1.92%

CART

CART fundamentals

CART Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

You can ask Aime

CART

CART fundamentals

CART Q4 2025 Earnings

Earnings Call

CART Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20255:00 PM on Feb 12, 2026

CART Earnings Call Summary for Q3/20258:00 AM on Nov 10, 2025

CART Earnings Call Summary for Q2/20255:00 PM on Aug 7, 2025

CART Earnings Call Summary for Q1/20255:00 PM on May 1, 2025

CART Earnings Call Summary for Q4/20245:00 PM on Feb 25, 2025

You can ask Aime