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XRP News Today: Vanguard Shifts Stance on Crypto ETFs, Citing Matured Markets and Demand

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Corporate Strategies Test Balance Between Growth and Sustainability

Community Takes the Wheel as STON.fi Launches TON's First DAO

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Market cap > $1B; P/E ratio < 15; Revenue growth > 10%

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Help me understand the rationale of market bounce on 3/31/2025

<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_f7ffd2751764880869720.jpeg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_f7ffd2751764880869720.jpeg&quot;}"></video><h2></h2>For the first time in its history, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index—the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge—will land during market hours, dropping tomorrow at 10:00 a.m. ET instead of the long-standing 8:30 a.m. slot. That shift alone raises the risk of real-time volatility, especially after a week where markets have drifted higher on the comfortable assumption that the Fed will deliver a 25-basis-point cut next week. With the November jobs report arriving after the FOMC meeting, this PCE print is effectively the last major piece of data the Fed will see before setting policy. Old September data or not—it&#39;s their only ammunition. <a href="https://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar" target='__blank'>Economists expect</a> a steady, nonthreatening release, one that reinforces the narrative of slow and uneven disinflation:• Core PCE (MoM): +0.2% (Aug: +0.2%)

• Core PCE (YoY): 2.9% (Aug: 2.9%)

• Headline PCE (MoM): +0.3% (Aug: +0.3%)

• Headline PCE (YoY): 2.8% (Aug: 2.7%)

• Personal Income: +0.4%

• Personal Spending: +0.4% (down from +0.6%)In isolation, these numbers look familiar—cooler than 2022’s heat spikes, warmer than the Fed’s 2% target, and broadly consistent with the slow march lower that has defined 2024–2025. But the backdrop this month is different. The inflation debate inside the Fed has meaningfully fractured, and tomorrow’s release will allow each faction to claim—or lose—ground.Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, one of the system’s most persistent hawks, has argued that “PCE inflation will end the year around 2.9%,” a level she believes reflects insufficient progress. Governor Chris Waller, who has emerged as one of the system’s clearest doves, counters that “excluding temporary effects, PCE inflation is running 2.5%,” adding bluntly, “I still advocate cutting rates in December.” Fed Chair Jerome Powell has split the difference, estimating both total and core PCE will settle near 2.8% while cautioning that disinflation in services is ongoing but incomplete.That set of competing narratives is what makes the 10 a.m. release so consequential. Powell will walk into next week’s meeting needing a unifying story—and the doves and hawks are not reading from the same script.The <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/newsletters/infocus/2025/11/markets-mixed-ahead-of-core-pce.html" target='__blank'>market reaction</a> could be sharp because in a mid-day environment, positioning cannot adjust in the pre-market hours as usual. Depth will thin heading into the release, algos will fire instantly, and rate-sensitive sectors such as homebuilders, REITs, and small caps could experience fast two-way swings. A surprise of even a tenth of a percentage point—up or down—could trigger meaningful repricing across yields, the dollar, and tech valuations.But traders should look beyond the headline. Three elements inside the report will matter far more than the top-line MoM or YoY PCE print:First, the Fed will be laser-focused on the three-month annualized pace of core PCE. Anything below 2.5% strengthens the case for a dovish long-term path. Anything above 3% hands the hawks rhetorical ammunition they have been looking for.Second, “supercore” services inflation—services excluding housing—remains Powell’s north star for assessing underlying demand pressure. A sustained slowdown here would meaningfully shift the Fed’s tone next week. The opposite would reinforce Logan’s caution that progress has stalled.Third, breadth matters. The share of categories running above a 2% inflation rate reveals whether price pressure is concentrated or widespread. Narrow inflation is tolerable. Broad inflation forces the Fed to remain restrictive.The accompanying data on personal income and spending will also provide context. Income rising in line with expectations while spending cools would support a clean disinflation narrative. Both running hot? That would raise concerns that demand is still too firm for the Fed’s comfort.This month’s print arrives at a delicate moment for the Fed’s 2026 strategy. A December cut is widely expected, but the real debate is what comes after. Does tomorrow reinforce Waller’s case for steady disinflation and eventual normalization? Or does it bolster Logan’s warning that inflation is plateauing in the high-2% range, implying a longer “higher-for-longer” stance into 2026?Markets have shown little fear this week, drifting upward as if a benign print is pre-ordained. But tomorrow’s mid-session release removes the usual buffer, and the PCE is no longer just another monthly data point. It is the last word the Fed will hear before crafting next week’s message—and the last chance for either the doves or the hawks to claim the upper hand as the 2026 outlook comes into focus.

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PCE Preview: A Rare Mid-Day Inflation Shock Could Jolt Markets and Shape the Fed’s December Message

<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_e96a5cde1764864991849.jpeg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_e96a5cde1764864991849.jpeg&quot;}"></video>Snowflake <a href="https://investors.snowflake.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx" target='__blank'>delivered</a> the kind of quarter that would normally be labeled “solid” – modest beats, strong bookings, clear AI momentum, raised guidance – but for a stock trading at 160x+ forward earnings, “solid” was never going to cut it. Shares are down roughly 11% in the wake of the report as investors recalibrate what they are willing to pay for 20-something growth and an AI story that is real, but still early. Technically, the stock is now heading into a key test around the $235 level; if that area fails, the next obvious magnet is the 200-day moving average down near $205, where the longer-term uptrend gets a more serious stress test.On the numbers, Snowflake cleared the <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/snowflake-shares-fall-slower-product-130600639.html" target='__blank'>consensus</a> bar but not by a margin that justifies its premium. Q3 product revenue grew 29% year-over-year to about $1.16 billion, beating expectations of roughly $1.13 billion but marking a slowdown from 32% growth in the prior quarter. Total revenue of $1.21 billion was modestly ahead of the $1.18 billion LSEG consensus. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.35 versus $0.31 expected, helped by a non-GAAP operating margin in the low double digits and product gross margins just under 76%. Remaining performance obligations climbed 37% to $7.88 billion, with more than $1 billion in net new bookings and a net revenue retention rate of 125% – proof that existing customers are still expanding their spend even as top-line growth tapers.The underlying <a href="https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20251203478/why-snowflakes-earnings-beat-isnt-enough-to-lift-its-stock" target='__blank'>business drivers</a> actually looked better than the stock reaction suggests. Management closed a record four nine-figure deals in the quarter, the kind of large, multi-year commitments that speak to Snowflake’s strategic positioning inside large enterprises. Bookings growth accelerated to roughly 50% year-over-year, up from about 30% in the first half, as customers consolidated more data, analytics, and engineering workloads onto the platform. Some of the near-term drag on revenue growth is self-inflicted: Snowflake is offering more favorable pricing on very large or long-dated contracts, which pulls forward bookings but smooths out revenue recognition. A minor hyperscaler outage shaved $1–2 million off revenue, hardly material. For a consumption-name, the story this quarter is that demand is there, but the revenue cadence is a bit lumpy.AI is now central to that demand narrative. Snowflake hit a $100 million AI revenue run-rate a full quarter ahead of schedule, with management noting that AI influenced roughly half of all bookings signed in Q3. Snowflake Intelligence – its agentic AI layer that lets users interact with data via natural language – is seeing the fastest adoption ramp in company history, with roughly 1,200 customers in just a month of launch. About 28% of use cases deployed this quarter involved AI. The company also announced a $200 million multi-year partnership with Anthropic, bringing Claude models directly to Snowflake’s 12,600 customers, along with an expanded go-to-market effort with Accenture to deploy AI agents globally. It is early days, but Snowflake is moving from “AI optionality” to “AI usage you can actually measure.”Guidance was the other flashpoint. For Q4, management guided product revenue to $1.195–1.2 billion, implying 27% growth – slightly slower than Q3’s 29% but about two points ahead of consensus heading into the print. Full-year FY26 product revenue guidance was raised to about $4.446 billion, representing 28% growth (up from 27% previously), and margin targets were reiterated: roughly 75% non-GAAP product gross margin, 9% operating margin, and about 25% adjusted FCF margin. Evercore, Citi, and others noted that Snowflake tends to guide conservatively, and that Q4 assumptions look consistent with stable core data-warehouse demand plus early uplift from AI workloads.The Street’s fundamental take is far more constructive than the tape. Jefferies maintained a Buy and $300 price target, calling Snowflake a top AI pick and highlighting the 37% RPO growth, four nine-figure renewals, and the early AI run-rate as the real story. BofA reiterated its Buy and $310 PT, arguing that Snowflake is becoming a key strategic vendor for enterprise AI and that any topline “inflection” is more of an FY27 event. KeyBanc raised its target to $285, pointing to 50% bookings growth and a Q4 setup that looks “seasonally stronger” than prior years. Citi, despite acknowledging the smallest product beat in a year and slowing growth, said it would be a buyer on the pullback, expecting product growth to re-accelerate back above 30% in Q4 and beyond assuming a typical beat pattern.So why the 11% drop? Expectations. The stock was up about 70% year-to-date into the print and trades at a multiple more than double that of peers like Datadog and MongoDB. Against that backdrop, a 2–3% revenue beat and guidance for high-20s growth – even with excellent bookings and AI momentum – looks merely “decent.” Investors also have to digest the idea that headline growth may hover in the high 20s while AI and new products scale, rather than instantly snapping back to the 40%+ era.From here, the story becomes a tug-of-war between fundamentals and positioning. Fundamentally, Q3 reinforced Snowflake’s status as a core data and AI platform with strong bookings, sticky customers, and growing AI monetization. Technically and sentiment-wise, the market is deciding how much it is willing to pay for that package if growth hovers below 30% for a while. The $235 support level will tell you how forgiving investors feel in the short term; a break toward the 200-day near $205 would suggest they want a cheaper entry before betting on Snowflake’s AI flywheel kicking into higher gear.

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AI Momentum Soars… Snowflake Stock Tanks Anyway. Here’s the Make-or-Break Level Every Trader Is Watching

<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_9f048bc11764861527924.jpeg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_9f048bc11764861527924.jpeg&quot;}"></video>Salesforce’s third-quarter results weren’t just a relief to a bruised shareholder base—they offered the first credible signs that the long-anticipated AI-driven reacceleration may finally be taking shape. After a year in which the stock fell nearly 30% and sentiment cratered under fears of AI disruption and slowing core growth, Q3 provided just enough fuel to reignite the debate over whether CRM is quietly becoming one of the most attractive value-plus-AI setups in large-cap software. The market reacted favorably at first, with shares popping after the print, but the rally stalled almost immediately around the $240 level—a reminder that investors are still happy to sell strength in tax-loss candidates unless Salesforce delivers consistent follow-through.At the headline level, the company exceeded analyst expectations on profitability while essentially matching on revenue. Adjusted EPS of $3.25 demolished the $2.86 consensus, driven by a non-GAAP operating margin of 35.5% versus the Street’s 34.1%. Revenue came in at $10.26 billion—technically a hair below the $10.27 billion consensus but close enough that the miss never registered as a meaningful concern, especially given stronger-than-expected Q4 guidance. Subscription revenue grew 10% year-over-year in constant currency, while cRPO accelerated to 11.4%—above Salesforce’s 10–11% outlook and a crucial data point for investors looking for signs that bookings growth is beginning to outpace revenue.The bigger question heading into the print was simple: Is this the turnaround story investors have been waiting for? The answer isn’t a resounding yes—but it is, at minimum, a credible “maybe.” The strongest evidence came from bookings and pipeline trends. Net new AOV outgrew AOV for the first time since FY22, Agentforce customer adds surged 50% quarter-over-quarter, and Salesforce reported more than 9,500 paid Agentforce deals to date—up from 6,000 just a quarter ago. Needham called the quarter “the first of many bright AF quarters,” arguing that accelerating customer adoption, combined with a mid-teens EV/FCF valuation, makes CRM look “highly attractive” if the trend persists.The AI narrative, which has defined CRM’s volatility all year, finally had substance behind it. While AI revenue itself remains immaterial—something BofA emphasized—nearly every AI-linked leading indicator strengthened. Agentforce ARR reached roughly $540 million, up 330% year-over-year, and total AI/Data ARR topped $1.4 billion, up 114% year-over-year. Agentforce processed more than 3.2 trillion tokens, and bookings from Agentforce and Data 360 came increasingly from existing customers expanding their usage—a powerful sign of early utility. Marc Benioff leaned into the momentum, calling Q3 “the best quarter we’ve had in three years” and framing the company’s strategy around building the “agentic enterprise,” a market he believes is only just beginning to materialize.Analysts agree—mostly. Stifel reiterated a Buy and a $300 PT, emphasizing that Salesforce’s post-Dreamforce momentum finally showed up in the numbers. Stifel noted that fears of AI disruption seem increasingly misplaced, arguing the real story is that “near-term Agentforce adoption, core stability, and customer expansion all point in the same direction.” Canaccord maintained its Buy rating with a $300 PT, calling Agentforce the company’s biggest product cycle since Service Cloud in 2009. It highlighted the 23% expansion in sales capacity and improving bookings trajectory, adding that the stock’s ~14x EV/FCF valuation looks sustainable—if not cheap—for a company whose FCF/share is growing close to 20%.But not everyone was willing to declare the all-clear. Citi, maintaining a Neutral rating, acknowledged the quarter as “incrementally positive” but argued investors still need evidence of sustained revenue acceleration. JPMorgan was more optimistic, noting that Salesforce has “transformed into a highly profitable and cash-generating business,” but the skepticism about whether AI can produce meaningful reacceleration remains a key friction point. Wedbush described the results as “a step in the right direction” while cautioning that the Agentforce strategy requires multiple quarters of consistency to fully win over institutions.Guidance helped CRM’s cause. The company raised full-year revenue guidance to $41.45–$41.55 billion, reflecting 9–10% growth, and Q4 revenue guidance of $11.13–$11.23 billion topped consensus by more than $200 million. The Informatica acquisition contributed modestly to this outlook, while margins remained solid—Salesforce maintained its full-year non-GAAP operating margin target of 34.1%. Free cash flow also grew 22% year-over-year, allowing the company to return $4.2 billion to shareholders in the quarter through buybacks and dividends.Still, growth remains slower than the Salesforce of old. Revenue growth decelerated from 10% in Q2 to 9% in Q3, and the company faces sector-specific softness in communications, media, manufacturing, and energy. This backdrop is one reason investors aren’t ready to chase the post-earnings bounce. With the stock down sharply in 2025, CRM sits squarely on tax-loss harvesting lists—meaning short-term rallies near $240 risk becoming liquidity events rather than breakouts unless the next quarter reinforces this momentum.So is this the beginning of a true turnaround? The evidence is mounting, but it’s not yet definitive. The AI story finally has numbers behind it. Bookings are improving. Margins remain impressive. Guidance is strong. And analysts overwhelmingly see the risk-reward skewing positive—especially if AI adoption transitions from experimentation to scale in FY27, as multiple firms now project.But Salesforce is still fighting the gravity of slowed core growth, investor fatigue, and a year of intense competition and skepticism around generative AI adoption. The stock’s stall at $240 shows that investors want proof, not promises.If CRM delivers another quarter like this—or better—then yes, the turnaround story may finally be real. If not, Q3 could end up remembered as a well-timed exit opportunity in a tax-loss year.

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Salesforce Just Delivered Its “AI Breakout Quarter”—But Is the Stock’s Big Jump a Tax-Loss Trap?

<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Fed Flying Blind_33fc2ad11764874790801.jpg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Fed Flying Blind_33fc2ad11764874790801.jpg&quot;}"></video>Layoff announcements from U.S. employers climbed 24% in November compared with the same month last year, even as they fell sharply from October&#39;s spike, according to new data from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas. Employers announced 71,321 job cuts in November, down 53% from October&#39;s 153,074 but the highest November total since 2022.The surge in reductions this year has been striking: through November, companies have announced 1,170,821 layoffs, up 54% from the first eleven months of 2024 and the highest year-to-date level since the pandemic year of 2020. It is only the sixth time since 1993 that job cuts through November have topped 1.1 million.<img data="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;b7c7489e-6781-423d-8147-8e5bd66c031d&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/ef41c5fc-f347-40a7-b723-4e8052fcd98b_CRHero1Nov25-rfl0s93xow0jkix0bxptm3tm97x6al2mauecupuhbk_aee979011764853660015.png&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/ef41c5fc-f347-40a7-b723-4e8052fcd98b_CRHero1Nov25-rfl0s93xow0jkix0bxptm3tm97x6al2mauecupuhbk_aee979011764853660015.png" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />Despite the spike in announced layoffs, it has not translated into a surge in weekly unemployment claims, leaving the labor market in what economists describe as a &quot;no fire, no hire&quot; equilibrium. The stagnation has been attributed to a combination of reduced labor supply—linked in part to slower immigration under the Biden and Trump administrations—and a hiring pullback as businesses face tariff uncertainty, cooling demand, and rising costs.Telecommunications companies led the November announcements with 15,139 planned cuts, driven largely by Verizon—marking the highest monthly total for the sector since April 2020. The sector has announced 38,035 cuts so far this year, up 268% from the same period in 2024.Technology companies followed with 12,377 job cuts in November, bringing the year-to-date total to 153,536, a 17% annual increase. Food companies, particularly those processing beef products, announced 6,708 layoffs in November and 34,165 year to date, up 26%.Retailers have cut 91,954 jobs this year—more than double last year&#39;s level—as companies adjust to softening demand, new tariffs, and shifting consumer preferences. Non-profits have been hit especially hard by federal funding reductions, announcing 28,696 cuts so far, a 409% jump from last year.Restructuring remained the top reason for layoffs in November, accounting for 20,217 cuts. Store or unit closures were the second-largest driver.Artificial intelligence—despite intense media focus—remains a relatively small factor. AI was cited for 6,280 November cuts, and 54,694 so far this year. Since Challenger began tracking this reason in 2023, AI-related cuts total 71,683, far below reductions driven by macroeconomic forces or government spending changes.Market and economic conditions were cited for 15,755 November layoffs and 245,086 cuts so far this year. Tariffs—central to President Trump&#39;s trade agenda—have contributed to 7,908 job cuts in 2025, including 2,061 in November.Meanwhile, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) remains the single largest driver of job reductions, responsible for 293,753 layoffs so far this year, plus an additional 20,976 tied to downstream funding cuts.Planned hiring remains historically weak. Employers have announced 497,151 new hires through November, down 35% from last year and the lowest year-to-date total since 2010. Seasonal hiring has also slowed sharply: just 372,520 positions were announced, the lowest since Challenger began tracking in 2012, with no new seasonal announcements in November.&quot;The increased spending over the Black Friday and the Thanksgiving weekend may give rise to hires in December right before the holiday. It&#39;s unclear, however, if those positions will last into the New Year,&quot; said Challenger.

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November Layoffs Rose 24% Year Over Year as Job Cuts Hit Their Highest Level Since 2020 — and AI Isn't the Main Culprit

President Trump Participates in a Signing Ceremony with the Presidents of Rwanda and Congo<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/s2nPSurnD8o" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Trump Live_2c3938a71764871973990.jpg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/s2nPSurnD8o&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Trump Live_2c3938a71764871973990.jpg&quot;}"></video>

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