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Gold hike 17% year-to-date, should you all-in Gold?

Preparing for next week&#39;s FOMC meeting 👇 <video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Fed Flying Blind_a008de631764943870788.jpg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Fed Flying Blind_a008de631764943870788.jpg&quot;}"></video>U.S. stocks opened cautiously higher Friday as investors weighed early gains across large-cap technology shares against softening signals in commodities and crypto markets, while two major developments in the media and technology sectors helped set the tone for the session.The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 65.49 points, or 0.14%, to 47,916.4 shortly after the opening bell. The S&amp;P 500 added 0.22% to 6,872.03, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.36% to 23,589.3, according to the morning dashboard readings. Small-caps lagged again, with the Russell 2000 slipping 0.25% to 251.19, continuing a trend in which investors favor larger, cash-rich companies amid evolving policy expectations.Media and entertainment stocks were thrust to the forefront after Netflix announced <a href="https://about.netflix.com/en/news/netflix-to-acquire-warner-bros" target='__blank'>a sweeping agreement</a> to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studio assets, HBO and HBO Max for an enterprise value of about $82.7 billion, according to the companies’ joint statement. The transaction—one of the largest media tie-ups in years—would consolidate Warner Bros.’ century-long catalog with Netflix’s global streaming platform.“Our mission has always been to entertain the world,” said Ted Sarandos, Netflix co-CEO, highlighting the breadth of Warner Bros.’ legacy content ranging from Casablanca to Harry Potter. “Together, we can give audiences more of what they love and help define the next century of storytelling.” Netflix co-CEO Greg Peters said the deal would “improve our offering and accelerate our business for decades to come,” citing expanded creative opportunities and long-term shareholder value. David Zaslav, CEO of Warner Bros. Discovery, called the combination “two of the greatest storytelling companies in the world.” Separately, Meta <a href="https://about.fb.com/news/2025/12/bringing-more-real-time-news-and-content-to-meta-ai/" target='__blank'>unveiled new partnerships</a> aimed at expanding real-time news content within Meta AI, joining forces with outlets including CNN, Fox News, Le Monde Group and USA TODAY. “Meta AI will now offer a broader range of real-time content… from global, breaking news to entertainment,” the company said. “We’re committed to making Meta AI more responsive, accurate, and balanced.” The announcements arrive against a backdrop of mixed market signals. Bitcoin slid 2.20% to $90,634.78, extending a weeklong pullback that has stirred volatility across digital assets. The VIX edged up 1.71% to 16.05, suggesting a modest uptick in caution. Crude oil dipped 0.18% to $59.56, while gold rose 0.48% to $4,263.50, reflecting a defensive bid tied to shifting inflation expectations.

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Warner Bros

Stocks Rise at the Open as Mega-Cap Tech Moves Lead; Netflix–WBD Deal and Meta News Push Media Shares Into Focus

Why so many Americans are falling behind 👇 <video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/LPjPFpacZOc" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Episode 18_622423761764941944187.jpg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/LPjPFpacZOc&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Episode 18_622423761764941944187.jpg&quot;}"></video>Netflix Inc. agreed to acquire Warner Bros. from Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. in a cash-and-stock deal valuing the storied studio at an enterprise value of approximately $82.7 billion, according to a Dec. 5, 2025 <a href="https://about.netflix.com/en/news/netflix-to-acquire-warner-bros" target='__blank'>press release</a> issued by Netflix and WBD. The transaction—one of the largest entertainment mergers on record—would unite Netflix’s dominant global streaming platform with Warner Bros.’ century-old film and television library, including franchises such as Harry Potter, Game of Thrones, and the DC Universe.Under the terms disclosed, WBD shareholders will receive $23.25 in cash and $4.50 in Netflix stock per share, subject to a collar tied to Netflix’s 15-day volume-weighted average price before closing. The transaction implies an equity value of about $72 billion for WBD. Completion is expected 12 to 18 months after regulatory reviews and shareholder approval, and following WBD’s planned separation of its Global Networks division into a new company, Discovery Global, anticipated in the third quarter of 2026.<visualization data='{&quot;components&quot;:[{&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;jgyStandardChartSdk&quot;,&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;parameter&quot;:{&quot;xAttribute&quot;:&quot;date&quot;,&quot;yAttribute&quot;:&quot;close&quot;},&quot;name&quot;:&quot;line&quot;,&quot;showDataZoom&quot;:true},&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;NFLX Closing Price – Last 12 Months&quot;}},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;remote-url&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/backtest/agent/session/quant/1803394321/51f5557722260ac9809f5f2e2d9aa0c7/nflx_price_20251205083731_654ffa3a.json&quot;},&quot;uuid&quot;:&quot;e8c45304505fcbac&quot;}],&quot;page&quot;:{&quot;layout&quot;:{&quot;layout_data&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;showType\&quot;:\&quot;jgyStandardChartSdk\&quot;,\&quot;uuid\&quot;:\&quot;e8c45304505fcbac\&quot;}]&quot;},&quot;render_for&quot;:&quot;aigc&quot;,&quot;tracking_info&quot;:{}}}' dataurl='undefined'></visualization>If consummated, the merger would mark a dramatic consolidation in the media landscape. The companies said the move would blend Netflix’s global distribution scale and “best-in-class streaming service” with Warner Bros.’ deep catalog and production infrastructure.“Our mission has always been to entertain the world,” Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos said in the release. “By combining Warner Bros.’ incredible library of shows and movies—from timeless classics like Casablanca and Citizen Kane to modern favorites like Harry Potter and Friends—with our culture-defining titles like Stranger Things, KPop Demon Hunters and Squid Game, we&#39;ll be able to do that even better.”Netflix co-CEO Greg Peters said the acquisition “will improve our offering and accelerate our business for decades to come,” adding that Warner Bros. “continues to do so with phenomenal creative executives and production capabilities.” Peters also highlighted the deal’s financial rationale, stating that Netflix expects to “realize at least $2–3 billion of cost savings per year by the third year and expects the transaction to be accretive to GAAP earnings per share by year two.”Warner Bros. Discovery CEO David Zaslav framed the merger as an extension of the studio’s legacy. “For more than a century, Warner Bros. has thrilled audiences, captured the world’s attention, and shaped our culture,” he said. “By coming together with Netflix, we will ensure people everywhere will continue to enjoy the world’s most resonant stories for generations to come.”The companies emphasized the merger’s benefits for consumers, creatives, and shareholders. Netflix said maintaining Warner Bros.’ current operations—including theatrical releases—would expand content choices for subscribers and drive engagement. The combined entity expects increased production capacity in the U.S. and broader opportunities for talent to work with “beloved intellectual property.”The deal introduces a significant structural shift for WBD. Its Global Networks unit—which includes CNN, TNT Sports, Discovery’s European free-to-air channels, and digital platforms like Discovery+ and Bleacher Report—will be spun out as Discovery Global, a separate publicly traded firm not included in the Netflix transaction.Advisers on the deal include Moelis &amp; Company for Netflix and Allen &amp; Company, J.P. Morgan, and Evercore for WBD. Netflix’s legal counsel is Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher &amp; Flom LLP, while WBD is represented by Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen &amp; Katz and Debevoise &amp; Plimpton LLP.

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TV Broadcasting

Netflix Moves to Acquire Warner Bros. in $82.7 Billion Deal, Reshaping Global Entertainment Landscape

<ul><li>Meta Platforms, formerly Facebook, has transformed from a social networking site into a tech giant encompassing social media, virtual reality, and e-commerce, with its stock (META) showing significant growth since its 2012 IPO, reaching highs in 2024.</li><li>The company&#39;s Marketplace feature revolutionized local buying and selling, competing with platforms like Craigslist by leveraging Facebook&#39;s vast user base for seamless transactions.</li><li>Recent shifts indicate Meta is reducing focus on the metaverse to prioritize AI-driven wearables like smart glasses, potentially impacting stock volatility but aligning with investor preferences for profitable ventures.</li><li>Investing in META stock involves opportunities in tech innovation but carries risks like regulatory scrutiny and market competition; new investors should monitor earnings reports and diversify portfolios.</li><li>Facebook Marketplace offers low-barrier entry for users to buy/sell locally, but success requires vigilance against scams and CCunderstanding platform policies.</li></ul>Meta Platforms Inc., the parent company of Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and more, stands as a cornerstone of the digital age. Founded in 2004 by Mark Zuckerberg and his Harvard roommates, the company initially launched as &quot;Thefacebook&quot; for college students before expanding globally. <img data-json="{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/6541654165_f5cd532d1764900028661.jpg&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;align&quot;:&quot;center&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/6541654165_f5cd532d1764900028661.jpg" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />By 2012, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meta_Platforms" target='__blank'>according to Wikipedia</a>, it went public with an initial public offering (IPO) that valued it at over $100 billion, marking one of the largest tech IPOs in history. Its rebranding to Meta in 2021 reflected a pivot toward the &quot;metaverse,&quot; a virtual reality ecosystem envisioned as the future of social interaction, work, and commerce. The company&#39;s stock, traded under the ticker META on NASDAQ, has experienced dramatic fluctuations. Post-IPO, shares dipped below $20 amid mobile advertising concerns but rebounded strongly, surpassing $500 by 2024 amid AI advancements and ad revenue growth. As of late 2025, META&#39;s price hovers around $661, with year-to-date gains of about 13%, driven by resilient advertising business despite economic headwinds. Analysts often highlight its strong fundamentals, including a market cap nearing $1.7 trillion and consistent revenue from digital ads.<visualization data='{&quot;components&quot;:[{&quot;uuid&quot;:&quot;4cbb5d5a20d85df3&quot;,&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;image&quot;:&quot;https://lh-prod-mid-pub-newsf10.s3.amazonaws.com/logo/META.png&quot;,&quot;marketTag&quot;:&quot;NASDAQ&quot;,&quot;show_type_id&quot;:702,&quot;tradeClass&quot;:&quot;closed&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;KxxV2&quot;,&quot;fsType&quot;:&quot;closed&quot;,&quot;showBottom&quot;:true,&quot;showCodeContrast&quot;:false,&quot;score&quot;:20,&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;kline3&quot;,&quot;maLine&quot;:[5,10,30,60],&quot;moduleList&quot;:[],&quot;variety&quot;:&quot;stock&quot;,&quot;scoreRuleNames&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;tradeStatus&quot;:&quot;trading&quot;,&quot;codeName&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;klineDefaultType&quot;:&quot;fs&quot;,&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true,&quot;display2&quot;:false,&quot;txt_style&quot;:0,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;META Trend&quot;,&quot;h2&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;title1&quot;}},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;chunks_info&quot;:&quot;[]&quot;,&quot;code_count&quot;:1,&quot;columns&quot;:[{&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;},{&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;hq_code&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;stock code&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;name&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;stock name&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;&quot;},{&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;date&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;DATE&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Closing Price&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;xxxx@Closing Price&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Closing Price&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;NoIndent&quot;,&quot;report_type&quot;:&quot;TRADE_DAILY&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;timestamp&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;DOUBLE&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;USD&quot;}],&quot;condition&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:2,\&quot;opName\&quot;:\&quot;and\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0},{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:0,\&quot;indexName\&quot;:\&quot;xxxx@stock code\&quot;,\&quot;indexProperties\&quot;:[\&quot;EQUAL META.O\&quot;],\&quot;indexPropertiesMap\&quot;:{\&quot;EQUAL\&quot;:\&quot;META.O\&quot;},\&quot;domain\&quot;:\&quot;abs_xxxxxx\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0},{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:0,\&quot;indexName\&quot;:\&quot;xxxx@Closing Price\&quot;,\&quot;indexProperties\&quot;:[\&quot;xxxxxx 20251204\&quot;,\&quot;xxxxxx 20251204\&quot;],\&quot;indexPropertiesMap\&quot;:{\&quot;xxxxxx\&quot;:\&quot;20251204\&quot;,\&quot;xxxxxx\&quot;:\&quot;20251204\&quot;},\&quot;domain\&quot;:\&quot;abs_xxxxxx\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0}]&quot;,&quot;dataSize&quot;:1,&quot;datas&quot;:[{&quot;code&quot;:&quot;META&quot;,&quot;Ticker&quot;:&quot;META.O&quot;,&quot;market_code&quot;:&quot;185&quot;,&quot;Closing Price&quot;:&quot;661.53&quot;,&quot;Date&quot;:&quot;20251204&quot;,&quot;Name&quot;:&quot;Meta&quot;}],&quot;meta&quot;:{&quot;extra&quot;:{}},&quot;row_count&quot;:1,&quot;status_code&quot;:0,&quot;status_msg&quot;:&quot;ok&quot;},&quot;category&quot;:&quot;generic&quot;,&quot;chart_type&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;jgyKline3&quot;,&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true,&quot;display2&quot;:false,&quot;txt_style&quot;:0,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;META Trend&quot;,&quot;h2&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;title1&quot;},&quot;support_refresh&quot;:false,&quot;data_config&quot;:{&quot;data_ext_params&quot;:{},&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;}}],&quot;global&quot;:{&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;},&quot;page&quot;:{&quot;language&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;layout&quot;:{&quot;layout_data&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;showType\&quot;:\&quot;jgyKline3\&quot;,\&quot;uuid\&quot;:\&quot;4cbb5d5a20d85df3\&quot;}]&quot;},&quot;render_for&quot;:&quot;aigc&quot;},&quot;query_condition&quot;:{},&quot;data_config&quot;:{&quot;data_ext_params&quot;:{},&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;}}' dataurl='undefined'></visualization>One of Meta&#39;s standout features is Facebook Marketplace, launched in 2016 as a free platform for users to buy and sell items locally. It integrates seamlessly with Facebook&#39;s social graph, allowing buyers to view sellers&#39; profiles for added trust, and supports categories like vehicles, housing, and electronics. Unlike traditional e-commerce sites, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/technology/facebook-launches-marketplace-for-local-buying-and-selling-idUSKCN1231A4/" target='__blank'>according to Reuters</a>, Marketplace emphasizes community-driven transactions, with features like location-based searches and messaging for negotiations. It has grown into a &quot;wild west&quot; of e-commerce, rivaling Craigslist by enabling quick, informal deals while incorporating delivery partnerships like DoorDash for convenience. In recent developments, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-04/meta-s-zuckerberg-plans-deep-cuts-for-metaverse-efforts" target='__blank'>Bloomberg reports that</a> Meta is scaling back its metaverse ambitions, which once consumed billions in investments. CEO Mark Zuckerberg, who rebranded the company around this vision in 2021, is now proposing cuts up to 30% in the metaverse group for 2026, potentially including layoffs. This shift redirects resources from virtual worlds like Horizon Worlds and Quest VR to AI glasses and wearables within the Reality Labs division, which has incurred over $70 billion in losses since 2021. Investors have welcomed the news, with shares rising 3-4% on reports, as it addresses concerns over resource drains and refocuses on profitable AI initiatives. Meta&#39;s evolution underscores its adaptability in a competitive tech landscape, balancing innovation with shareholder value. While the metaverse dream fades in priority, the core social and marketplace ecosystems remain robust, positioning the company for sustained growth.FAQHow can I start investing in Meta stock as a beginner?To buy META shares, open a brokerage account with platforms like Robinhood or Vanguard. Deposit funds, search for &quot;META,&quot; and place a market or limit order. Start small, perhaps with fractional shares, and track quarterly earnings on Reuters for informed decisions. ()What opportunities exist in Meta&#39;s stock during market rallies?Look for entry points after dips, like post-earnings corrections, using tools like TradingView charts to identify support levels. Positive news on AI or ad growth can spark rallies—set alerts on Bloomberg for updates. Diversify with ETFs holding META to capture broader tech gains.What risks should I watch for when trading on Facebook Marketplace?<a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/facebook-marketplace-the-wild-west-of-e-commerce-11565947821" target='__blank'>According to WSJ</a>, Scams are common; verify sellers via profiles and meet in public for in-person deals. () Avoid wiring money—use cash or protected payment methods. Platform policies ban certain items like firearms, so check guidelines to prevent account bans. How might Meta&#39;s shift from metaverse affect my investment?Reduced metaverse spending could lower losses and boost profitability, potentially lifting stock prices as seen in recent surges. However, if AI wearables underperform, volatility may increase—monitor WSJ for analyst insights. Balance with long-term holds if you believe in Meta&#39;s ad dominance.What&#39;s a simple way to use Facebook Marketplace for profit?List items with clear photos and competitive prices, using keywords for visibility. Flip free or low-cost finds from local groups, but factor in time and shipping risks. Aim for niches like electronics to build repeat buyers.

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Meta to Cut 30% of Its Metaverse Budget: What This Means for Investors

Next week&#39;s Federal Reserve Summary of Economic Projections may be flawed! 👇<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Fed Flying Blind_c369614b1764876342843.jpg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Fed Flying Blind_c369614b1764876342843.jpg&quot;}"></video>U.S. stocks finished Thursday mixed after a historic midday inflation release delivered few surprises and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 31.56 points, or 0.07%, to 47,851.3, while the S&amp;P 500 added 0.11% to 6,857.11. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.22% to 23,505.1, and the Russell 2000 outperformed with a 0.89% gain to 251.85.The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, hit markets at 10:00 a.m. ET, marking the first time the release <a href="https://www.ainvest.com/news/pce-preview-rare-mid-day-inflation-shock-jolt-markets-shape-fed-december-message-2512/" target='__blank'>occurred during active trading.</a> Economists had expected an uneventful print that continued the slow disinflation trend seen throughout 2024–2025, and the report broadly aligned with those expectations, helping temper market volatility after an initial flurry of algorithmic trading. According to the preview of the release, core PCE was projected at 2.9% year-over-year, with personal spending cooling to 0.4%. The report also arrived against a backdrop of open disagreement among Federal Reserve officials. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan previously warned that “PCE inflation will end the year around 2.9%,” which she viewed as insufficient progress, while Governor Chris Waller countered that “excluding temporary effects, PCE inflation is running 2.5%…I still advocate cutting rates in December.” Those remarks shaped traders’ expectations heading into Thursday, and the largely inline data strengthened the doves’ argument for an imminent rate cut. Bond markets continued to <a href="https://www.horizoninvestments.com/december-rate-cut-seems-all-but-assured/" target='__blank'>price in a near-certain policy shift.</a> As noted by Zachary Hill, Head of Portfolio Management at Horizon Investments, expectations for a December rate cut had “plummeted…to less than 30% by mid-November” following the six-week government shutdown and mixed messaging from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. But Hill emphasized that “the odds of a rate cut are back above 90%—which means that during the December 10 Fed meeting, the federal funds rate should be ranging between 3.50% and 3.75%.” The reaffirmation of cooling price pressures in Thursday’s PCE data helped solidify that view. Commodities and crypto offered mixed signals. Crude oil rose 1.34% to $59.74, and gold futures edged up 0.16% to $4,239.30. Bitcoin fell 0.94% to $92,195.55, while equity volatility eased, with the CBOE VIX closing at 15.99, down 0.56%.Labor-market indicators added nuance to the macro landscape. Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas reported that “layoff announcements… <a href="https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-71321-job-cuts-on-restructurings-closings-economy/" target='__blank'>climbed 24%</a> in November” compared with a year earlier, bringing total announced cuts to more than 1.17 million so far this year—levels last seen during the 2020 pandemic. Despite heightened public focus on automation, AI-related reductions remained modest, accounting for “6,280 November cuts” and “54,694 so far this year.” Tariff-related cuts tied to the Trump administration reached 7,908 year-to-date. Corporate news added to the day’s mixed tone. Snowflake shares continued to digest the fallout from this week’s post-earnings drop, despite <a href="https://www.ainvest.com/news/ai-momentum-soars-snowflake-stock-tanks-break-level-trader-watching-2512/" target='__blank'>AI-driven momentum.</a> The company posted 29% product revenue growth and achieved a $100 million AI run-rate, but investors questioned whether such results supported a premium valuation after an 11% slide. Analysts at Jefferies, BofA, Citi, and KeyBanc pointed to accelerating bookings and rising AI adoption but acknowledged that sentiment may remain fragile until growth reaccelerates. With Thursday’s PCE release now behind them, traders shifted their attention firmly to next week’s Fed meeting. The inline inflation reading reduced the probability of last-minute surprises, but policy makers remain divided, and the meeting’s guidance for 2026 could prove more consequential than the widely expected rate cut itself.

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Stocks Steady After Midday PCE Report Confirms Cooling Inflation Ahead of Expected Fed Cut

Date of Call: None provided<h2>Financials Results</h2><ul><li>Revenue: Revenue net of ISE grew 15% YOY (12% excluding a $388M prior-year severe-weather impact); Total Bank PTPP up 25% YOY on an adjusted basis.</li><li>EPS: CAD 2.18 per share, EPS up ~7% YOY.</li><li>Operating Margin: Positive operating leverage; expenses up 10% YOY (~1/3 driven by variable comp, FX and U.S. strategic card portfolio).</li></ul><h2>Guidance:</h2><ul><li>Expect 3%-4% expense growth and positive operating leverage in fiscal 2026.</li><li>Target 6%-8% adjusted EPS growth and ~13% ROE for fiscal 2026, with potential upside.</li><li>Expect PCLs of 40–50 bps in fiscal 2026 (improvement from 45–55 bps guidance for fiscal 2025).</li><li>Complete current CAD 8B buyback by end-Q1 2026; plan to seek approval for a new CAD 6–7B buyback.</li><li>Investment portfolio repositioning to generate ~CAD 550M pre-tax NII in 2026 and target ~CAD 20B RWA release.</li><li>Canadian NIM relatively stable; U.S. NIM to moderately expand in Q1; U.S. Retail expense growth expected mid-single-digit.</li></ul><h2>Business Commentary:</h2><visualization dataurl="https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/visual/visual_components/viz_a92i4ppc.json"></visualization><img src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/aigc/hxcmp/images/compress-qwen_generated_1764922681468.jpg.png" style="max-width:100%;"/>* Strong Quarterly and Annual Performance: - TD Bank Group reported earnings of <code>CAD 3.9 billion</code> for Q4, with EPS of <code>CAD 2.18</code> and a Return on Equity (ROE) up <code>110 basis points</code> year over year. - The strong performance was driven by robust fee and trading income in market-driven businesses, volume growth in Canadian personal and commercial banking, and stable credit performance.<ul><li>AI and Digital Transformation:</li><li>TD implemented approximately <code>75 AI use cases</code> that generated <code>CAD 170 million</code> in value during fiscal 2025, with expectations to generate <code>CAD 200 million</code> in incremental value in fiscal 2026.</li><li>The company leveraged AI to transform loan underwriting, enhance customer relationships, and improve risk management processes.</li><li>U.S. Balance Sheet and AML Remediation:</li><li>Total assets were reduced to <code>CAD 382 billion</code>, achieving a <code>10%</code> asset reduction target, creating capacity for core loan growth without risking asset limitations.</li><li>Significant progress was made in the U.S. AML remediation program, with comprehensive system upgrades and AI-driven enhancements.</li></ul><visualization dataurl="https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/visual/visual_components/viz_rywhja3m.json"></visualization><ul><li>Wealth Management and Direct Investing Growth:</li><li>The Wealth Management business reported record earnings and assets, with <code>CAD 3.9 billion</code> in record flows from direct investing to advice.</li><li>Growth was driven by strong new accounts and trades per day in direct investing, which serves as an acquisition engine for the bank.</li></ul><img src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/aigc/hxcmp/images/compress-qwen_generated_1764922554804.jpg.png" style="max-width:100%;"/><h2>Sentiment Analysis:</h2>Overall Tone: Positive<ul><li>Management stated they "ended the year with another strong quarter," reported "earnings of CAD 3.9 billion, EPS of CAD 2.18, and ROE up 110 basis points YOY," noted "positive operating leverage," record revenue and record earnings in businesses, and highlighted 5% FY25 earnings growth—all framing a positive outlook.</li></ul><h2>Q&A:</h2><ul><li>Question from John Aiken (Jefferies): Most deterioration on domestic consumer portfolio came from residential mortgages but not HELOCs — what dynamics explain that divergence and would incremental impairments on residential mortgages impact the HELOC portfolio; when would that start? Response: Management: Asset quality across RESL, HELOC and mortgages remains strong with very low delinquencies/charge-offs; slight uptick driven by higher-rate vintages (2022–24) in marginal segments, but current HELOC performance is stable and this is not viewed as a material concern.</li></ul> <ul><li>Question from Ibrahim Punawala (Bank of America): With CET1 at 14.7% and current buybacks, can you flex the capital ratio toward mid-13s via RWA growth or will pace of buybacks materially increase; and if AML remediation is sustained through 2026, could the asset cap be reviewed as early as 2027? Response: Management: Plan to finish current buyback by end-Q1 and seek approval for a CAD 6–7B program; will lower CET1 subject to market conditions and ongoing capital generation (13% ROE target may be realized later, possibly 2027); on AML, substantial remediation progress made but sustainability validation and monitor/regulator review will dictate timing of any relief — timing remains uncertain.</li></ul> <ul><li>Question from Gabriel Dechaine (National Bank): Could wider mortgage spreads drive positive surprises to NIM in Canada, and on expenses — after 10% growth in Q4 can you deliver the 3%-4% expense growth target for 2026? Response: Management: Mortgage mix and proprietary-channel originations are driving margin expansion and are a tailwind; expenses have moderated and management remains confident in achieving ~3%-4% expense growth in fiscal 2026 backed by identified cost‑takeout initiatives and positive operating leverage.</li></ul> <ul><li>Question from Doug Young (Desjardins): How confident are you in the CAD 2.9B U.S. NIAT target for fiscal 2026 given macro/reshaping, and why were insurance earnings weaker in Q4 despite lower catastrophe activity? Response: Management: Confident in the $2.9B NIAT target based on Q4 momentum (NII and fee growth, moderated expenses, low PCLs) though macro uncertainty remains; insurance Q4 was impacted by a deliberate geographic rebalancing away from high-cat regions which reduced Q4 earnings but improves long‑term resiliency.</li></ul> <ul><li>Question from Paul Holden (CIBC): Why are deposits not growing as fast as loans in Canada and how will TD accelerate low‑cost deposit growth; and in the U.S. should we expect deposit trends to recover after recent declines? Response: Management: Canada has a strong non‑term deposit franchise (69% non‑term deposits versus industry mid‑50s) and is comfortable with mix; U.S. deposit declines reflect planned Schwab sweep runoff and targeted runoff of low‑liquidity government portfolios plus disciplined repricing — expect to return to mid‑single‑digit deposit growth over the medium term.</li></ul> <ul><li>Question from Sohrab Movahedi (BMO Capital Markets): Which business segments are likely to exceed the 6%-8% EPS growth target and under what conditions would you accelerate buybacks? Response: Management: Momentum is broad-based — market-driven businesses (Wholesale, Wealth) plus core Canadian and U.S. retail underpin guidance and potential upside; buyback pace is conditional on market environment and capital generation — the bank will accelerate repurchases if market conditions create attractive opportunities.</li></ul> <card-infos></card-infos>

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