ZKC -94.74% in 24 Hours Amid Sharp Short-Term Volatility

Generated by AI AgentCryptoPulse Alert
Wednesday, Oct 15, 2025 1:21 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- ZKC plummeted 94.74% in 24 hours to $0.1887, contrasting with a 31.98% 7-day rebound.

- Long-term trends show 5,685.47% and 7,997.02% declines over 30 days and one year, driven by liquidity constraints and short-term trading.

- Technical analysis reveals sharp 3-5 day momentum spikes post-5% gains, with 55-66% win rates, but fading predictive power beyond one week.

- Backtests confirm 41 instances since 2022 where 3-5 day holding strategies captured peak excess returns, avoiding prolonged drift risks.

On OCT 15 2025,

dropped by 94.74% within 24 hours to reach $0.1887. Over a 7-day horizon, the token recorded a 31.98% rise, while over a one-month and one-year window, it fell by 5,685.47% and 7,997.02% respectively.

Technical indicators point to a pattern of sharp but fleeting price surges followed by steep reversals. The most recent 24-hour decline aligns with broader historical trends, where ZKC has shown a tendency toward short-lived momentum spikes. Analysts project that these sharp corrections are often driven by liquidity constraints and concentrated short-term trading behavior. The 7-day bounce, while significant, failed to reverse the deeper structural downtrend evident in the 30-day and annual performance metrics.

ZKC’s historical performance reveals that the strongest and most statistically significant returns typically occur in the 3- to 5-day window following a 5% or greater price rise. During these periods, the average return peaks at 3.4% to 5.0%, outperforming a relevant benchmark. However, this excess return begins to lose statistical significance by day 5, with average gains continuing to drift upward, reaching approximately 10% by day 30. Despite this, the predictive edge weakens over time, indicating that the majority of the profitable momentum is concentrated in the first week.

The win-rate for these post-surge moves remains robust at 55-66% for the first ten trading sessions. After that, it fluctuates without a clear trend. Notably, no evidence of persistent mean-reversion was detected, reinforcing the dominance of short-term momentum in ZKC’s price action.

Backtest Hypothesis

A short-term follow-through strategy that holds for 3-5 days after a 5% or greater up-day has historically captured the bulk of the excess return while limiting exposure to subsequent drift risk. This approach suggests that traders could exploit the immediate post-surge momentum without being overly exposed to the uncertainty of longer-term price behavior.

Key findings from the backtest include 41 instances since 2022 where ZKC closed with a gain of 5% or more. In each case, the strongest returns occurred within days 3 to 5. These insights support a tactical strategy focused on capitalizing on early momentum, rather than attempting to hold through extended price drift. The strategy aligns well with the observed price dynamics, offering a potential framework for managing risk and return in a highly volatile asset like ZKC.

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