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ZEN, the digital asset in question, experienced a dramatic price correction on AUG 29 2025, plummeting by 285.49% in a 24-hour period to trade at $7.869. The sharp decline continued over the following weeks, with the price falling by 993.14% within seven days, 564.94% over one month, and a staggering 7420% compared to the level one year ago. The movement has raised questions among market observers about the catalysts behind the drop and the asset’s short-term viability.
Technical indicators suggest that ZEN entered a bearish phase amid a lack of immediate support levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell into oversold territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a continued divergence between the asset’s short-term and long-term momentum. These signals suggest a potential continuation of the downward trend in the absence of a clear intervention or a major catalyst to reverse the trajectory. Analysts project that the price could face further downward pressure if it fails to hold key levels.
Backtest Hypothesis
The recent sharp decline in ZEN raises an important question for traders and investors: could a systematic strategy have captured or mitigated losses in a similar asset under comparable conditions? A backtesting approach could shed light on this by applying a predefined set of rules to historical price data.
Such a strategy would require a clear definition of the asset universe, a trigger for initiating trades, and execution rules for managing positions. The trigger might be based on a specific percentage drop, such as a 10% decline from a reference point, which could be measured in terms of a single-day drop, a drawdown from the 52-week high, or another relevant benchmark. Once activated, the strategy must define when to open a position—whether at the next day’s open, the close, or another time—and how long the position should remain open. This could involve a fixed holding period or exit based on reaching a profit target or stop-loss level.
In addition, the strategy should incorporate optional risk controls, such as stop-loss or take-profit levels, maximum holding periods, or position sizing, to manage risk effectively. A meaningful backtest would also define a benchmark for comparison, such as the performance of a buy-and-hold strategy or a relevant index. Once the parameters are clearly defined, the strategy can be tested over a specified historical period, such as from 2022-01-01 through the current date, to evaluate its effectiveness.
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