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Zcash (ZEC) has plunged more than 50% from its November peak, sparking investor panic and reigniting debates over the cryptocurrency's governance structure and market dynamics. The token, which reached a market capitalization of $11.4 billion in early November, now trades at $503, with analysts pointing to both structural challenges and regulatory developments as key factors. Grayscale's recent filing to convert its
Trust into an exchange-traded fund (ETF) has failed to provide the anticipated stability, with technical indicators suggesting further downward pressure. Meanwhile, against token-weighted governance models, arguing they could undermine Zcash's privacy-centric mission.
Compounding concerns, Buterin has criticized token-weighted governance as a threat to Zcash's long-term privacy goals. In a November 30 post, he argued that such systems concentrate power among large holders, eroding the decentralized ethos that underpins privacy-focused protocols. "Privacy is exactly the sort of thing that will erode over time if left to the median token holder," he wrote, referencing vulnerabilities like covert vote buying and capital domination. Zcash's current governance model, which relies on the Zcash Improvement Proposal (ZIP) process and a five-member grants committee, avoids token voting by design. Buterin's warnings have
within the community about balancing decentralization with effective decision-making, particularly as ZEC's price surge has attracted new capital and scrutiny.The market's fragility is further exacerbated by macroeconomic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve's rate policy and overvalued AI sectors have dampened risk appetite, pressuring ZEC alongside other cryptocurrencies. While Grayscale's successful conversions of
and ETFs offer a template for Zcash's potential institutional adoption, the timing of the ZEC ETP filing coincides with a broader sell-off. Data from Zechub shows Zcash's shielded supply rising to over 4 million, but this metric has yet to translate into sustained price resilience. that without renewed accumulation or structural reforms, Zcash could mirror BNB's correction, with a potential 60% decline looming.Looking ahead, the interplay between governance reforms and market sentiment will be critical. Zcash's community is set to elect a new grants committee, with candidates emphasizing independence and rigorous oversight of funding proposals. Buterin's advocacy for off-chain governance mechanisms, such as Retroactive Public Goods Funding, could influence the debate. Meanwhile, Grayscale's ZEC ETF filing remains a pivotal catalyst, though its success depends on regulatory approval and investor confidence. If Zcash's price stabilizes, the project's focus on privacy and decentralized governance may yet attract long-term institutional support. For now, however, the market appears to be pricing in a worst-case scenario, with volatility and uncertainty dominating the near-term outlook
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