The Yuan-Backed Stablecoin Revolution: China’s Strategic Move to Challenge Dollar Dominance in Global Energy Trade

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Sunday, Aug 31, 2025 3:07 am ET2min read
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- China is advancing yuan-backed stablecoins to challenge U.S. dollar dominance in global energy trade and cross-border payments.

- State-owned firms like PetroChina test these stablecoins for oil/gas settlements, aiming to cut transaction costs by 40% and bypass dollar-based systems.

- Hong Kong's 2025 regulatory framework and BRI corridors enable controlled experimentation, aligning with Beijing's strategy to expand RMB's global payment share (currently 2.88%).

- Private firms like Conflux develop scalable blockchain infrastructure, while geopolitical risks include yuan's limited convertibility and U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin growth projections.

- The initiative represents a $2 trillion investment opportunity by 2028, reshaping multipolar financial systems through state-private collaboration in energy trade infrastructure.

China’s yuan-backed stablecoin initiative is no longer a speculative concept—it is a calculated, state-driven effort to reshape global financial infrastructure and energy trade dynamics. By leveraging blockchain technology and regulatory innovation, Beijing aims to reduce the U.S. dollar’s hegemony in cross-border transactions, particularly in energy markets, while accelerating the internationalization of the renminbi (RMB). This shift is not merely economic; it is a geopolitical maneuver to redefine the rules of global trade and payment systems.

Geopolitical Financial Infrastructure: A New Paradigm

The U.S. dollar’s dominance in global trade—accounting for 47.19% of all cross-border payments as of 2025—has long been a cornerstone of American economic influence [5]. China’s yuan-backed stablecoins seek to disrupt this status quo by creating a parallel digital payment infrastructure. State-owned energy giants like PetroChina are already testing these stablecoins for cross-border oil and gas settlements, aiming to bypass traditional dollar-based systems and reduce transaction costs by up to 40% [3]. This aligns with China’s broader Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which serves as a testing ground for digital yuan ecosystems in partner nations [4].

Hong Kong’s Stablecoins Ordinance, enacted in August 2025, is a critical enabler. By requiring 100% reserve backing and real-time monitoring, the framework provides a controlled environment for experimentation while mitigating risks of over-issuance or fraud [1]. Shanghai, meanwhile, is integrating yuan-backed stablecoins with its digital yuan (e-CNY) infrastructure, creating a hybrid system that bridges traditional and digital finance [2]. These efforts are part of a larger strategy to expand the yuan’s global payment share, currently at 2.88%, and challenge the dollar’s dominance in energy trade [5].

Technological Infrastructure: Scaling the Yuan’s Reach

The technological backbone of this revolution is being built by private-sector innovators. Conflux, a blockchain firm, has launched AxCNH, an offshore yuan-backed stablecoin, using its Conflux 3.0 platform, which processes 15,000 transactions per second [3]. This scalability is critical for high-volume energy trade settlements, particularly in BRI corridors. PetroChina’s pilot projects in Shenzhen have already demonstrated the potential of stablecoins to streamline transactions, with over 100,000 daily settlements reported [6].

Regulatory Comparisons and Challenges

While China’s approach is methodical, it faces structural hurdles. The yuan’s limited convertibility and strict capital controls restrict the free flow of stablecoins, creating friction in global adoption [5]. In contrast, the U.S. is reinforcing dollar dominance through the GENIUS Act, which formalizes a regulatory framework for dollar-backed stablecoins and projects their usage to grow by $1.75 trillion over three years [2].

However, China’s controlled rollout through Hong Kong and BRI corridors provides a strategic buffer. By testing stablecoins in a regulated sandbox, Beijing can refine its approach without immediate backlash from international markets or regulators [1]. This cautious strategy mirrors the development of the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), which already handles 15% of non-dollar trade settlements [5].

Investment Opportunities and Market Projections

For investors, the yuan-backed stablecoin market represents a $2 trillion opportunity by 2028, driven by BRI expansion and corporate adoption [4]. Key players include Conflux and AnchorX, which are building the infrastructure for offshore yuan settlements. Fintech firms with exposure to BRI corridors, such as those developing blockchain-based trade platforms, are also positioned to benefit [6].

Conclusion: A Multipolar Financial Future

China’s yuan-backed stablecoin revolution is not just about currency—it is about redefining the architecture of global trade. By combining state-driven strategy with private-sector innovation, Beijing is creating a multipolar financial system where the yuan competes directly with the dollar in energy markets and beyond. For investors, the stakes are clear: those who align with this shift will be at the forefront of a new era in cross-border payments and geopolitical finance.

Source:
[1] China considering yuan-backed stablecoins to boost global currency usage [https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/china-considering-yuan-backed-stablecoins-boost-global-currency-usage-sources-2025-08-21/]
[2] Why China Is Spooked by Dollar Stablecoins and How It ... [https://www.cfr.org/article/why-china-spooked-dollar-stablecoins-and-how-it-will-respond]
[3] Yuan-Backed Stablecoins and the Future of Cross-Border ... [https://www.ainvest.com/news/yuan-backed-stablecoins-future-cross-border-energy-trade-2508/]
[4] China's Strategic Push for Yuan-Backed Stablecoins in Global Trade [https://www.ainvest.com/news/china-strategic-push-yuan-backed-stablecoins-global-trade-assessing-investment-potential-blockchain-infrastructure-fintech-firms-2508/]
[5] China considering yuan-backed stablecoins, [https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10558896]
[6] China's CNPC Explores Stablecoin Use in Oil Trade [https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560604940451]

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