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The share price rose to its highest level so far this month on November 11, 2025, surging 4.22% in premarket trading despite a significant third-quarter earnings shortfall. The rally reflects investor focus on operational progress and strategic initiatives rather than near-term financial results.
YPF reported a Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of -0.53, missing estimates of 0.7702 by 168.81%, while revenue fell to $4.6 billion, below forecasts. However, the stock’s gains were driven by a 35% year-over-year increase in shale oil production, bolstering confidence in its Vaca Muerta shale reserves. The company also outlined plans to expand liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects and boost daily production to 215,000 barrels by 2026 and 290,000 barrels by 2027, signaling long-term growth potential.
Investors appear to have discounted short-term financial underperformance, prioritizing YPF’s operational execution and alignment with global energy trends. The market’s positive reaction underscores confidence in its ability to scale production, diversify into cleaner energy sources, and meet ambitious output targets. While net debt remains elevated at $9.6 billion, the focus on future cash flow generation from shale and LNG projects suggests optimism about debt sustainability. The stock’s performance highlights the energy sector’s tendency to value operational momentum and strategic direction over immediate earnings, positioning
for potential long-term value creation.
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