YFI -7.68% in 7 Days Amid Downtrend Amidst Volatility Amid Downtrend

On NOV 12 2025, YFI dropped by 0.1% within 24 hours to reach $4747, marking continued pressure on the token following a 7.68% weekly decline. Despite a modest 1.1% gain over the last month, the broader trend shows a 40.46% drop from the same time a year ago. The recent price trajectory reflects ongoing bearish sentiment amid a broader bear market.

YFI has been trading below key moving averages, indicating a potential continuation of the downward phase. The 50-day EMA and 200-day SMA are both bearishly aligned, reinforcing the trend. RSI stands at a neutral 54, suggesting that while the token has not yet entered overbought or oversold territory, it remains within a consolidation range following recent sharp corrections. The MACD line is negative and has crossed below its signal line, further aligning with the bearish bias.

Technical indicators suggest that traders should remain cautious. A retest of key support levels near the $4500–$4600 range could offer a short-term floor for YFI in the near term. A break below this threshold may open the path to $4300, with further downside risks dependent on broader market conditions. However, a sustained rebound above the $4850 level could signal a potential reversal in sentiment and initiate a short-term rally.

The token has shown limited responsiveness to short-term volatility. A historical backtesting analysis covering the period from January 1, 2022, to November 12, 2025, revealed 21 instances where YFI dropped by 10% or more in a single day. On average, the token experienced a modest recovery of approximately 5.7% by the 10th trading day following a sharp decline. However, none of the post-event returns reached statistical significance, indicating a lack of a reliable bullish bias in the immediate aftermath of such corrections.

The win-rate for buy-and-hold strategies initiated after a –10% daily drop ranged between 48% and 62%, suggesting that traders could not consistently gain an edge from entering positions post-crash. This data aligns with the observed pattern of YFI’s inability to hold above previous resistance levels, reinforcing the notion that the token remains in a bearish phase.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtesting strategy employed a standard event-driven model with a 30-trading-day window and close price-based parameters. The results show that while YFI has experienced frequent single-day drops exceeding 10%, its ability to generate statistically significant returns post-event remains limited. The analysis supports the technical outlook that YFI lacks a strong near-term bullish catalyst and remains vulnerable to further downside without a meaningful shift in broader market dynamics.