YFI -37.57% Yearly Drop Amid 6% 1-Month Rally

On NOV 10 2025, YFI dropped by 0.34% within 24 hours to reach $5011. Over the last seven days, however, it rose by 11.85%, and over the past month, it gained 6%. This marks a sharp reversal from its annual performance, which saw a substantial decline of 37.57% year-to-date.

The recent volatility in YFI reflects broader market dynamics and investor sentiment, which have seen significant swings in the past year. While the 0.34% drop in the last 24 hours may seem minor in the context of the larger trends, it underscores the continued sensitivity of YFI to short-term market shifts.

Technical indicators have provided mixed signals over the past month. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages have shown a narrowing gap, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. Additionally, the RSI has remained in the mid-range, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. These patterns hint at a market in flux, where short-term traders may be using the bounce as an opportunity to take profits or re-enter positions.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the significant 37.57% drawdown over the last year, a backtesting strategy could investigate historical performance of YFI after similar large yearly declines. Specifically, an event study could be designed to identify instances when YFI fell by approximately or more than 37.57% over a 12-month look-back window, and then measure the forward returns from those dates across various time horizons such as 1, 3, 6, and 12 months. The results would include statistics on average and median returns, hit ratio, and other performance metrics to assess the typical post-decline behavior of YFI. This approach aims to provide investors with a data-driven understanding of how the market historically responded to similar large declines.