YFI +1.09% on OCT 30 2025 Amid Mixed Short-Term Trends

On OCT 30 2025, YFI gained 1.09% in 24 hours to reach $4,745, despite a 0.29% weekly decline, an 11.95% drop over one month, and a 40.74% pullback over a year. The short-term rebound occurred against a backdrop of broader market uncertainty, with the token continuing to trade below both its monthly and yearly peaks.

While the 24-hour gain represents a small but positive shift in momentum, the broader technical indicators remain bearish. The asset has not closed above its 50-day moving average and remains significantly below its 200-day line, suggesting long-term selling pressure persists. Additionally, the RSI has yet to cross above the 50 threshold, pointing to a lack of bullish conviction in recent price action. Analysts project that without a strong follow-through in volume and price, the 24-hour rebound may fail to catalyze a sustained upward trend.

Given the current technical profile, several key support and resistance levels are in play. Immediate resistance is positioned at $4,850, with a breach likely to open the door to a retest of the $5,000 psychological level. On the downside, the $4,600 level serves as the next line of defense. A breakdown below this would likely extend the bearish trajectory and could see the asset revisiting the $4,300 area, a key historical support zone.

Backtest Hypothesis

To assess potential trading behavior under similar market conditions, a hypothetical backtest can be constructed. The strategy would focus on detecting a 5% surge in daily closing price from the previous day’s close, triggering a long position at the next day’s open. The position would be held for a fixed period of five days before exiting, regardless of market movement. The test would be applied to the YFI token over a three-year period from 2022-01-01 to 2025-10-30 to evaluate its performance across both bullish and bearish cycles.

The hypothesis is that a 5% surge rule could have effectively captured short-term momentum gains amid the volatility seen in the token's price action. However, given the prolonged downward pressure seen in the past year, the strategy would require additional risk controls—such as a 5% stop-loss threshold or a maximum holding period of five days—to limit losses during extended drawdowns.