XRP's Triple Tap Setup: A Technical Catalyst for 2026 Bull Run

The XRP price chart in late 2025 is quietly building a case for a 2026 bull run, anchored by a confluence of technical, on-chain, and institutional signals. While the term "triple tap" may not appear in traditional technical lexicons, the pattern it describes-a multi-phase bullish setup involving three distinct confirmations of strength-has historical precedent in XRP's price action. This article dissects how XRP's current structure, combined with institutional re-rating and declining exchange supply, creates a compelling case for near-term momentum and long-term accumulation.

Technical Validation: A Triple Tap in the Making

XRP's price has been trading within a long-term descending channel, bounded by the 100- and 200-day moving averages. However, recent price behavior suggests a potential reversal. The asset has tested the $2.10–$2.15 resistance zone three times since mid-2025, forming a de facto "triple bottom" pattern-a classic technical indicator of exhaustion and potential reversal. A breakout above $2.15 could target $2.20–$2.25, while failure to hold this level risks a pullback to $2.00.

This "triple tap" dynamic is further reinforced by on-chain metrics. Daily payments have stabilized between 600,000 and 900,000 XRP, a sharp decline from peaks above 2 billion XRP/day earlier in 2025. This reduction in volume volatility suggests a cooling of speculative fervor, creating a cleaner environment for institutional buyers to accumulate without price distortion. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers near 37, indicating oversold conditions, and the 50-day EMA approaches the 200-day EMA-a potential death cross scenario that, if avoided, could signal a bullish divergence.

Institutional Re-Rating: Whale Activity and Exchange Supply Trends

The most compelling evidence for XRP's re-rating lies in whale behavior and exchange dynamics. Whale wallets holding 1 million or more XRP hit an all-time high of 2,700 in June 2025, signaling strategic accumulation by large holders. This aligns with historical patterns where whale activity spikes at market bottoms, often preceding rallies. Additionally, whale-to-exchange transactions have declined significantly, pointing to reduced selling pressure and a shift toward long-term positioning.

Exchange supply trends further validate this narrative. According to a report by Whale Alert, XRP's exchange supply has contracted by over 12% year-to-date, reflecting reduced bearish sentiment and a flight of large holders to off-exchange storage. This contraction is critical: lower exchange supply typically correlates with tighter price control and reduced vulnerability to dumping, both of which are favorable for sustained bullish momentum.

Wall Street Re-Entry and Ecosystem Expansion

XRP's technical setup is being amplified by macro-level catalysts. The U.S. spot crypto ETFs, now valued at over $897 million, have indirectly boosted XRP's institutional profile by normalizing crypto assets in mainstream portfolios. While XRP is not yet included in these ETFs, Ripple's ongoing integration of the XRP Ledger with global payment networks-such as its recent partnerships with banks in Southeast Asia-has expanded real-world utility, making the asset more attractive to institutional investors.

Moreover, active XRP addresses surged to 295,000 in June 2025, the highest level of the year, underscoring growing adoption in decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross-border payments. This surge coincided with a 15% increase in daily transactions on the XRPL, suggesting that XRP is transitioning from speculative trading to functional usage-a key metric for long-term value retention.

Conclusion: A Confluence of Catalysts

XRP's "triple tap" setup-defined by a triple bottom pattern, whale accumulation, and declining exchange supply-positions the asset as a prime candidate for a 2026 bull run. Technically, a breakout above $2.15 would invalidate the descending channel and reignite institutional interest. On-chain, the combination of reduced selling pressure and growing real-world adoption creates a structural floor. Institutionally, the asset's re-rating is being driven by both macro trends (ETF normalization) and micro trends (XRPL integration).

For investors, the key takeaway is clear: XRP's current phase is not merely a technical rebound but a multi-layered repositioning that could catalyze a sustained rally. As the market enters 2026, the triple tap pattern-validated by both price action and on-chain fundamentals-may prove to be the catalyst that transforms XRP from a speculative token into a cornerstone of institutional crypto portfolios.