XRP's TD Sequential '9' Signal and the Looming ETF Approval: A Confluence of Catalysts for a Bullish Rebound?

The cryptocurrency market is no stranger to volatility, but when technical indicators and fundamental catalysts align, the potential for a significant price move becomes compelling. For XRP, the convergence of a critical TD Sequential '9' signal and the imminent possibility of an ETF approval in late 2025 has sparked renewed optimism among traders and institutional investors alike. This article dissects how these two factors-technical exhaustion of a downtrend and regulatory progress-could catalyze a bullish rebound in XRP's price action.

The TD Sequential '9' Signal: A Technical Trigger for Reversal

The TD Sequential '9' is a high-probability reversal pattern in technical analysis, particularly relevant in identifying exhaustion points in trends. In a bearish context, a Sell Setup occurs when nine consecutive closes are higher than the close four bars earlier, signaling potential trend weakness. Conversely, a Buy Setup (as seen in XRP's recent chart) emerges when nine consecutive closes are lower than the close four bars earlier, hinting at a possible bullish reversal Trading Center.

Currently, XRP's daily chart has triggered a Buy Setup, with the 9-count sequence forming after a 10% pullback from recent highs near $2.50. This setup is further strengthened by the fact that the 8th and 9th candles in the sequence have exceeded the 6th and 7th in terms of lows, meeting the criteria for a "Perfected Setup" Demark. Traders are advised to monitor the 9th candle's close near the TDST (TD Setup Trend) line, as this would increase the likelihood of a reversal. If confirmed, the pattern suggests a pullback within the first 3–4 candles post-confirmation, with a potential target toward the $2.30–$2.80 range Brave New Coin.

Fundamental Catalysts: ETF Approval and Institutional Momentum

While technical indicators provide actionable insights, their power is amplified when aligned with fundamental catalysts. The XRP ETF landscape is rapidly evolving, with Franklin Templeton and 21Shares advancing their filings under Section 8(a) of the Securities Act. These amendments have initiated 20-day SEC review periods, with potential approvals as early as November 27, 2025 Coinotag. If granted, these ETFs would mark a historic milestone, legitimizing XRP as a regulated investment vehicle and unlocking access for millions of retail and institutional investors.

The market has already priced in some optimism: XRP surged over 6% to $2.32 following the filing news, despite a broader 14% weekly decline in crypto markets Coinotag. Meanwhile, the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (XRPR) has hit $100 million in assets under management (AUM), signaling growing institutional confidence Blockonomi. This momentum is further bolstered by CME Group's expansion of XRP derivatives, including options on XRP futures, which reflects demand for diversified exposure to the asset Coinotag.

Historical Precedents: Regulatory Events and XRP's Price Trajectory

History offers a blueprint for how regulatory developments can drive XRP's price. The SEC v. Ripple lawsuit, for instance, caused XRP to plummet from $0.68 in December 2020 to $0.21 by year-end 2020. However, the asset rebounded sharply in 2021 amid broader market optimism and later surged to $1.11 in November 2024 and $2.91 in August 2025 following favorable court rulings LinkedIn. These swings underscore XRP's sensitivity to regulatory clarity-a factor now poised to shift in its favor.

The current TD Sequential '9' setup coincides with a critical inflection point: the SEC's review of XRP ETFs. If approved, the influx of institutional capital and reduced legal uncertainty could create a self-reinforcing cycle of demand and price appreciation. This convergence of technical and fundamental factors mirrors the conditions that drove XRP's 290% rally to $2.27 in early November 2025, fueled by Swell 2025 and ETF speculation Cryptopolitan.

Conclusion: A Confluence of Catalysts for a Bullish Rebound

The TD Sequential '9' signal and the looming ETF approval represent a rare alignment of technical and fundamental catalysts. Technically, the pattern suggests a high-probability reversal point, while fundamentally, regulatory progress is set to enhance XRP's liquidity, credibility, and institutional adoption. For investors, this confluence presents a compelling case for a near-term bullish rebound, particularly if the 9th candle closes near the TDST line and ETF approvals materialize.

As always, risk management remains paramount. Traders should place stop-loss orders below the 9th candle's low and monitor volume and momentum for confirmation. But for those who recognize the interplay between technical exhaustion and regulatory momentum, XRP's next move could be one of the most significant in its recent history.