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XRP's price has fluctuated around the $3 mark in late August, with recent dips pushing it as low as $2.85 amid whale selling and regulatory uncertainty. Whale activity has significantly impacted the market, with 470 million
tokens—worth approximately $1.35 billion—being offloaded between August 18 and 20. This triggered the liquidation of over $31 million in long positions as the price hovered between $2.90 and $3.00 [2]. The broader market has also been affected by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) delaying decisions on several XRP ETF applications until October 2025, including Grayscale’s [5].Analysts remain cautiously optimistic. Nate Geraci, a crypto commentator and wealth manager, has suggested that a spot XRP ETF could still be approved by October 2025, assuming the regulatory timeline remains unchanged [7]. At the same time, the CLARITY Act is progressing in Congress, and if passed, it could provide a regulatory clarity that supports XRP’s long-term price movement [1].
The market is particularly focused on BlackRock’s potential involvement. While no official filing has been confirmed, speculation around the firm’s possible XRP ETF submission has already influenced investor sentiment. One analyst noted that news of BlackRock’s potential participation was close to prompting him to invest heavily in XRP, underscoring growing institutional interest in the asset [3]. If
were to file for an XRP ETF, it could trigger immediate price action. Front-running demand from traders could push the price to $4–$5, with full ETF approval potentially driving it toward $7–$10, and in a bullish scenario, even up to $15–$20 [1].Technical analysis also suggests that the $3 level is a crucial support for XRP. A break below this level could signal further weakness, potentially dragging the price down to $2.24, a psychological floor [5]. Conversely, a rebound from $2.90 could reignite bullish momentum [2]. Analyst EGRAG has pointed to $3.65 as a potential breakout level, which could mark a key turning point in XRP’s price trajectory if lower-level support holds [9].
Despite these positive signals, XRP remains vulnerable to both market sentiment and regulatory developments. The next few months—particularly the October 2025 SEC decision date—will be critical in determining whether XRP can break out of its current range and gain broader institutional adoption [5][7]. For now, the market remains in a holding pattern, waiting for either a significant regulatory shift or a high-profile filing from a major ETF issuer to unlock the next phase of XRP’s price movement.
Source:
[1] CaptainAltcoin, [https://captainaltcoin.com/heres-the-xrp-price-if-blackrock-files-for-a-ripple-etf/](https://captainaltcoin.com/heres-the-xrp-price-if-blackrock-files-for-a-ripple-etf/)
[2] CryptoRank, [https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/c8957-blackrock-ripple-xrp-etf-coming-soon-heres-what-you-need-to-know](https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/c8957-blackrock-ripple-xrp-etf-coming-soon-heres-what-you-need-to-know)
[3] CaptainAltcoin, [https://captainaltcoin.com/analyst-says-this-xrp-news-almost-made-him-go-all-in-on-ripples-token/](https://captainaltcoin.com/analyst-says-this-xrp-news-almost-made-him-go-all-in-on-ripples-token/)
[5] Blockonomi, [https://blockonomi.com/xrp-xrp-price-token-must-reclaim-3-to-avoid-deeper-fall-to-2-24-level/](https://blockonomi.com/xrp-xrp-price-token-must-reclaim-3-to-avoid-deeper-fall-to-2-24-level/)
[7] CoinCentral, [https://coincentral.com/spot-xrp-etfs-could-see-approval-in-two-months-nate-geraci/](https://coincentral.com/spot-xrp-etfs-could-see-approval-in-two-months-nate-geraci/)
[9] Stocktwits, [https://stocktwits.com/symbol/XRP.X](https://stocktwits.com/symbol/XRP.X)

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