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Prominent cryptocurrency commentator Amonyx has reignited a debate over XRP’s valuation by asserting that the token should trade above $30 today, based on its 2018 ratio to
. The argument hinges on a historical comparison: in 2018, briefly peaked at a Bitcoin-denominated price of 0.0002247 BTC, close to the 0.00026 BTC ratio cited by Amonyx. With Bitcoin currently valued at approximately $117,800, multiplying the 2018 ratio implies a $30+ price for XRP. However, the token is currently trading at $3.06, a significant gap from the theoretical target [1].The 2018 XRP/BTC ratio was driven by speculative enthusiasm rather than sustainable utility. At that time, XRP ranked third in market capitalization, fueled by optimism around Ripple’s payment technologies and global adoption. The current market, however, operates under vastly different conditions. Bitcoin’s rise as a store of value and institutional asset has solidified its dominance, while XRP remains a payment-focused token with regulatory hurdles. Analysts emphasize that the 2018 ratio was inherently unsustainable, and today’s valuation reflects a more grounded assessment of XRP’s real-world utility, adoption, and compliance progress [1].
XRP’s 2025 performance has shown mixed signals. Despite surpassing its 2018 high of $3.40 and reaching a recent peak of $3.66, the token has lagged behind Bitcoin’s meteoric rise. Regulatory clarity and enterprise partnerships, such as Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin initiative, have bolstered XRP’s ecosystem. However, institutional adoption remains slower compared to Bitcoin, and regulatory scrutiny in key markets continues to constrain growth. The token’s price has also faced volatility, including a 10% drop in mid-July, underscoring market uncertainty [1].
Forecasts for XRP’s future price vary widely. Leading firms project the token could reach $7 to $15 over the next 12 to 18 months, though most analysts see a realistic $30 target only with significant new catalysts [1]. Other predictions are more bullish: CoinPedia suggests XRP could surge to $5.81 if
adopt it for liquidity provisioning, while AI models like DeepSeek anticipate a $30 target by 2026. CoinCodex, however, projects a narrower range of $3.00 to $3.62 for 2025, averaging $3.27 annually [2][4][6].The divergence between historical projections and current valuations highlights a broader shift in the crypto market. Investors and analysts now prioritize independent metrics over Bitcoin-based comparisons. XRP’s valuation is increasingly tied to factors such as transaction volume, regulatory advancements, and ecosystem growth rather than speculative benchmarks. While Amonyx’s argument remains mathematically valid, it overlooks the evolution of both assets and the maturation of the cryptocurrency market. Analysts stress the importance of monitoring regulatory developments, institutional adoption, and technological upgrades as key drivers for XRP’s long-term potential [1].
Sources:
[1] [XRP Should Be Worth $30 Today Based on This Bitcoin Comparison] (https://timestabloid.com/xrp-should-be-worth-30-today-based-on-this-bitcoin-comparison/)
[2] [XRP Price Prediction: Where
Could Be by 2025] (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-price-prediction-where-ripple-141446425.html)[4] [We Asked Three AIs To Predict XRP’s Price By End Of 2026] (https://blockchainreporter.net/we-asked-three-ais-to-predict-xrps-price-by-end-of-2026-one-forecast-will-surprise-you/)
[6] [XRP (XRP) Price Prediction 2025, 2026-2030] (https://coincodex.com/crypto/ripple/price-prediction/)
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