XRP News Today: XRP's Tug-of-War Intensifies: Buyers vs. Sellers in Crucial $2.40 Zone

XRP, the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen its price hover in a narrow range recently, masking a growing undercurrent of institutional and retail buying pressure. Despite a lackluster $2.40–$2.42 trading zone, on-chain data and technical indicators suggest a potential breakout could be imminent, fueled by accumulation activity and macroeconomic tailwinds.

XRP's price action in early October 2025 revealed a tug-of-war between sellers and buyers. The token fell 1.97% to $2.49 amid macroeconomic pressures and derivatives market deleveraging, which saw open interest drop by 50% to $4.22 billion, according to a CoinDesk report (a CoinDesk report). However, spot trading volumes surged 40%, signaling re-entry by institutional players, CoinDesk noted. A critical support level at $2.40–$2.42 held firm, with volume spiking to 179.4 million at 13:00, nearly double the 24-hour average, the report added. This accumulation, coupled with consistent defense of the $2.40 zone, suggests market participants are positioning for a rebound.

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has turned positive, rising to 0.10, a sign that buying pressure is outpacing selling activity, according to a BeinCrypto article (a BeinCrypto article). Meanwhile, the liquidation heatmap highlights liquidity clusters around $2.20 and $2.30, areas where leveraged positions could trigger stop-loss orders if prices break higher, per The Market Periodical (The Market Periodical). Analysts note that a sustained move above $2.53 could rekindle a push toward the $2.65 breakout level, while a drop below $2.40 risks testing $2.33 and $2.25.

XRP's near-term outlook is further bolstered by regulatory developments. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to rule on multiple spot XRP ETF applications in October 2025, Ventureburn reports (Ventureburn reports). If approved, these filings could inject billions in institutional capital, echoing Bitcoin's ETF-driven rally in 2024. Ripple's recent partnership with Immunefi—a $200,000 XRP Ledger security test—also stabilized sentiment after a midday selloff, CoinDesk reported.

Longer-term, XRP's utility as a cross-border payment solution is gaining traction. Ventureburn analysts project XRP could reach $3.81 by year-end 2025, with a 36.36% potential return, and climb to $14.57 by 2030, based on their price models. These forecasts are underpinned by XRP's fixed supply model, deflationary transaction fees, and growing adoption by financial institutions.

While bullish indicators abound, risks remain. Open interest remains elevated at $2 billion, and a sharp drop below $2.08 could trigger a cascade of liquidations, a Market Periodical analysis warned. Additionally, macroeconomic factors—such as U.S. Federal Reserve policy and global trade tensions—could reignite volatility, as noted by CoinDesk.

XRP's flat price belies a market in transition. With key support levels holding, rising CMF, and liquidity clusters forming above $2.00, the token appears poised for a breakout. Institutional adoption, ETF potential, and regulatory clarity could amplify this momentum. However, traders must remain cautious as macroeconomic uncertainties and leveraged positions pose near-term risks. For now, the $2.40–$2.53 range will be critical in determining whether XRP's next move is upward or downward.

---