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Analyst Tony Severino, a Chartered Market Technician, has drawn attention to emerging technical patterns in XRP’s price structure that suggest a potential surge to $13 within 42 days. His analysis centers on a seven-year symmetrical triangle breakout and a subsequent bull pennant formation, both of which are considered strong indicators of bullish momentum in technical trading. The triangle pattern, observed on XRP’s weekly chart, began consolidating in 2018 after the token peaked at $3.80. A decisive breakout above the upper trendline in November 2024, as
surpassed the $1 to $2 range, has positioned the asset for further upward movement, according to Severino. This pattern is often associated with prolonged market indecision followed by a sharp directional shift, which in this case favors buyers.Following the initial breakout, XRP entered a consolidation phase in January 2025, forming a bull pennant—a smaller symmetrical triangle that typically signals a pause before resuming an established trend. Severino notes a critical breakout above $3.60 in this phase, reinforcing the likelihood of continued gains. The bull pennant’s projection, derived from the height of the prior upward move, supports the $13 target. Historical data from XRP’s 2017–2018 rally, during which the token surged from cents to $3.80, provides a parallel to the current technical setup. However, Severino highlights that today’s environment includes growing institutional interest and potential developments in Ripple’s ongoing legal challenges with the SEC, which could amplify the asset’s upside potential.
Beyond technical indicators, several fundamental factors could influence XRP’s trajectory. The resolution of the SEC lawsuit remains a key variable, as a favorable outcome might reduce regulatory uncertainty and attract institutional capital. Additionally, Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) service expansion could enhance XRP’s utility, driving demand for the token. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance, will also play a role in shaping investor sentiment for altcoins like XRP. While these factors are not directly tied to the technical analysis, they contribute to a supportive environment for price action.
Investors are urged to remain cautious, however, as the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile. Rapid price swings can occur due to macroeconomic shifts or large-scale trades. The legal landscape for digital assets remains uncertain, with ongoing developments potentially affecting XRP’s market accessibility. Furthermore, the 42-day timeframe for the $13 target is an aggressive estimate; actual market movements may vary. Competitive pressures from emerging blockchain technologies also pose a risk to XRP’s market position. Prudent risk management, including position sizing and stop-loss strategies, is recommended for those considering exposure to the asset.
Severino’s analysis underscores the convergence of technical strength and favorable fundamentals for XRP. The seven-year triangle breakout and bull pennant formation represent rare setups that historically precede significant price rallies. While the $13 target is ambitious, the alignment of technical signals with improving market conditions suggests a period of heightened opportunity. Investors are advised to monitor both technical and regulatory developments closely as the market evolves. XRP’s performance in the coming weeks could serve as a case study in how prolonged consolidation phases translate into momentum-driven surges when triggered by institutional adoption and favorable legal outcomes.

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