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XRP is currently testing a critical support level at $3.10 after a 5.37% intraday drop, triggered by a $1 billion market-wide liquidation event. This sharp correction has led to aggressive profit-taking, particularly among institutional investors, creating a volatile environment. The price action has established a trading range between $3.35 and $2.99, with the RSI stabilizing in neutral territory at 50.70 and the MACD showing a slight bearish bias but positive histogram momentum.
remains above key long-term EMAs, including the 50-day at $2.92, but is below the 20-day EMA at $3.13 [1].Volume surged to 248.44 million XRP, highlighting significant institutional participation during the sell-off. The Average True Range (ATR) of 2.31 signals heightened volatility, consistent with a liquidation-driven correction. Coinglass data confirms that the $1 billion in liquidations originated from institutional longs, reinforcing the impact on market structure [2].
The key support levels at $2.99 and $2.92 are now under intense scrutiny. A successful defense would provide a foundation for a potential bounce toward $3.13 and beyond, while a breakdown could deepen the correction toward the $2.69–$2.42 support range. Technical indicators suggest that XRP is at a turning point, with moving average positioning and momentum metrics favoring a bullish reversal if support holds [3].
Meanwhile, Ripple’s CTO David Schwartz affirmed that the XRP Ledger is fully prepared to support global financial infrastructure, a move seen as critical validation for institutional adoption. This comes alongside
CEO Brad Garlinghouse’s prediction that RLUSD, the XRP-pegged stablecoin, could rank among the top five stablecoins by year-end. Such developments reinforce XRP’s role in the broader institutional crypto ecosystem [4].ChatGPT’s XRP analysis integrates 19 real-time technical indicators, highlighting the importance of the current support test in shaping the next 90-day price trajectory. Despite the pullback, XRP maintains a 20.11% discount to its all-time high and holds a 4.57% market dominance, reflecting its institutional relevance. The $11.91 billion in daily trading volume and a 6.51% volume-to-market cap ratio suggest that major players are actively repositioning during the liquidation phase [5].
Social sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. LunarCrush data shows a 83% positive sentiment score despite the correction, with community discussions focusing on support defense and price targets ranging between $7 and $13. The AltRank has dipped to 438, and the Galaxy Score is at 39, signaling temporary sentiment cooling rather than a fundamental shift in confidence [6].
Looking ahead, three primary scenarios are in focus. A 45% probability supports a recovery to $4.00–$5.00, contingent on strong support defense and continued infrastructure adoption. A 35% probability suggests extended consolidation between $2.80 and $3.30, allowing technical indicators to reset. The lowest probability—20%—points to a deeper correction below $2.92, with potential accumulation opportunities before the next institutional-driven upleg [7].
The XRP futures open interest has risen above $3 billion, reflecting renewed speculative interest following the liquidation event. Sustained growth in open interest could signal a larger price move, particularly if institutional positioning stabilizes. The market’s next major
will likely depend on whether XRP can defend its key support levels and whether broader crypto conditions improve [8].Sources:
[1] [ChatGPT’s XRP Analysis Reveals Key Support Test at $3.10 as $1B Market Liquidation Triggers Profit-Taking](https://cryptonews.com/news/chatgpts-xrp-analysis-reveals-key-support-test-at-3-10-as-1b-market-liquidation-triggers-profit-taking/)

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