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XRP, the cryptocurrency associated with Ripple, has experienced a notable surge in value, rising by 8% in the last 24 hours. This increase is largely attributed to the conclusion of the protracted legal battle between Ripple and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The settlement, which saw Ripple agree to pay $50 million of the initially proposed $125 million penalty, has provided a significant boost to the cryptocurrency's price, which is currently trading at $2.29.
Despite this positive development, there are concerns that the rising profits for short-term holders (STHs) could pose a threat to XRP's sustained recovery. The MVRV Long Short difference, currently at a 31-month low, indicates that
are seeing increased profits. Historically, when this indicator is low, STHs, who are known for their quick selling habits, might decide to book profits. This trend is generally bearish for the market, as it could limit XRP's ability to maintain its upward trajectory and breach key resistance levels.If many STHs decide to cash out, XRP could face downward pressure and struggle to break through the significant resistance level at $2.38, a barrier it has been unable to surpass for over seven months. This could result in XRP being consolidated in a range between $2.38 and $2.12, preventing a breakout. Additionally, the increasing profits for STHs might create an environment where speculative selling increases, especially if XRP's price faces any short-term fluctuations.
XRP's overall momentum shows mixed signals. On one hand, the Ichimoku Cloud, a key technical indicator, is currently exhibiting signs of bearishness, suggesting that the market sentiment is leaning toward a downtrend. However, the candlesticks appear to be approaching a potential breakout above the Ichimoku Cloud. Should the candlesticks successfully break above the Ichimoku Cloud, it would mark a shift in market sentiment and provide a foundation for XRP to challenge higher resistance levels.
If XRP can breach the $2.38 resistance level and flip it into support, it could trigger a more sustained rally. A move past this level could open the door for a rise to $2.56, invalidating the current bearish-neutral outlook. Such a breakout would signal confidence in the market and potentially pave the way for further gains in the long term. However, the current market conditions and the behavior of short-term holders will play a crucial role in determining XRP's future price movements.

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