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XRP has experienced an 8% increase over the past week, driven by the launch of the world’s first XRP ETF in Brazil. Despite this positive development, the cryptocurrency remains within a tight trading range, with key resistance and support levels defining its short-term outlook. The resistance level is at $2.30, while the support level is at $2.11. This sideways movement suggests a cautious sentiment among traders, as the price has not yet shown strong momentum to break out of this range.
Recent indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Ichimoku Cloud, provide a mixed outlook for XRP. The RSI, which measures the speed and change of price movements, has rebounded from 47.34 to 58.36, indicating a recovery from recent lower levels. However, it remains below the overbought conditions seen earlier in the week, suggesting that while bullish momentum has resurfaced, it is not yet strong enough to drive a significant price increase. The RSI is currently in neutral-to-slightly-bullish territory, with room for further gains without immediately triggering overbought conditions.
The Ichimoku Cloud for XRP presents a bullish structure, with the price just slightly above the cloud. The blue (Tenkan-sen) and red (Kijun-sen) lines are close to the current candle, reflecting a market with a slight bullish bias but without strong momentum. The future cloud remains green, indicating that bullish conditions are still projected ahead. However, the proximity of the lines to the price suggests some hesitation or consolidation in the short term. The Ichimoku system views trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance areas, and when the price is above the cloud with a green cloud ahead, it usually signals a favorable trend. However, the tight positioning of the lines points to a fragile uptrend where a sharp move in either direction could easily shift the structure.
If XRP falls and loses the $2.11 support, it could lead to a decline toward the next support level at $2.04. Should bearish momentum intensify further, a deeper retracement could see XRP test lower levels at $1.96, making it crucial for buyers to defend the current support zone. Conversely, if XRP tests and breaks above the $2.30 resistance with strong bullish momentum, the next upside target would be around $2.50. Continued strength could push the price toward $2.59, potentially extending to $2.64 if buyers maintain control. The launch of the world’s first XRP ETF in Brazil could eventually influence market sentiment, but its immediate impact on the price remains to be seen.

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