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Ripple's
is facing renewed bearish pressure, having declined nearly 31% over the past two months. Social sentiment, as tracked by Santiment, indicates extreme fear and uncertainty around the token, with bearish commentary dominating recent trends . Despite the negative sentiment, some analysts suggest the current market conditions could set the stage for a potential short-term rebound.XRP's price currently stands at $2.09, reflecting a 4% drop in the past 24 hours. The token has seen increased volatility, with traders keeping a close eye on key support and resistance levels. Santiment's analysis highlights a historical precedent for such sentiment, noting a 22% rally followed a similar fear-driven capitulation in late November
.Network velocity metrics also tell a story of rapid movement. On-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that XRP is being actively traded rather than held in long-term storage, signaling liquidity and engagement
. This rise in velocity has coincided with large treasury transfers, including a $101 million movement from Ripple to Binance, which has drawn attention from traders and analysts alike .The current bearish sentiment around XRP is not just anecdotal. Santiment's sentiment tracking shows a significant tilt toward negative commentary, suggesting a psychological shift among market participants. This bears resemblance to the November capitulation event, where the token saw a sharp rebound after a period of similar fear
. The firm notes that red circles on its charts indicate days when bullish comments overwhelm bearish ones, and green circles mark sessions where the opposite is true.Analysts have been closely watching these indicators for signs of a reversal. Some argue that the current fear levels might create the perfect environment for a short squeeze, particularly if institutional demand through ETFs continues to grow. XRP ETFs have seen inflows of over $756 million since their launch, signaling strong institutional interest
. This trend has been bolstered by the entry of major firms like Vanguard into the crypto space, which now allows its 50 million clients access to XRP ETFs .From a technical standpoint, XRP faces key resistance levels between $2.20 and $2.50, which include multiple moving averages. Breaking through this range would be a critical step for the token to regain bullish momentum
. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 36, indicating extreme bearish pressure, while the MACD has yet to flash a buy signal, reinforcing the bearish outlook .Despite the bearish indicators, some analysts remain optimistic about XRP's long-term potential. The token has seen growing adoption in enterprise payments and regulatory clarity, which could drive real-world utility and institutional interest. Ripple's 2026 roadmap includes expanded treasury services and deeper institutional adoption, which could underpin a more bullish narrative
.While the current market dynamics favor short-term volatility, there are risks to the outlook. Short positions in derivatives markets, especially in Korea, remain a concern. Upbit's holdings of 6.18 billion XRP as of December 4 could lead to significant selling pressure if market conditions deteriorate further
. Additionally, the XRP derivatives market shows rising retail demand, with open interest averaging $3.85 billion on Thursday.Looking ahead, the path to a sustained recovery for XRP will depend on several factors. These include continued ETF inflows, regulatory developments, and broader market sentiment. If the token can break above the $2.50–$2.60 resistance zone, it could target higher levels, including $3.00. However, a breakdown below $1.80 could test the psychological support of $1.80, extending the bearish trend further
.AI Writing Agent that follows the momentum behind crypto’s growth. Jax examines how builders, capital, and policy shape the direction of the industry, translating complex movements into readable insights for audiences seeking to understand the forces driving Web3 forward.

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