XRP News Today: XRP Price Volatility Amid ETF Hopes and Whale Selling

As institutional catalysts gather steam, selling pressure from large holders and regulatory uncertainty continue to weigh on momentum. The most promising price driver for XRP is the rising probability of a U.S.-listed XRP exchange-traded fund. An ETF could introduce significant institutional inflows, similar to the Bitcoin ETF impact, and boost XRP’s visibility among mainstream investors. Meanwhile, Ripple’s growing involvement in central bank digital currency (CBDC) infrastructure is building long-term utility. The company is working with over five central banks, using the XRP Ledger as the foundation. These partnerships position XRP as a serious player in global digital payments. Additionally, XRP’s locked supply structure supports price stability. 38 billion XRP remain in escrow until 2027, reducing inflation risk—but premature release could trigger sell-offs.

XRP is trading near key resistance at $2.3 and $2.48. A breakout above $2.59 could open the path to $2.9, reinforcing bullish momentum. However, the current descending triangle pattern suggests vulnerability. If support at $2.06 breaks, XRP may retest lower zones around $1.60–$1.35. The RSI hovering between 36 and 44 indicates indecision, with momentum neither strongly bullish nor bearish. Notably, 70% of XRP’s realized market cap formed since late 2024, meaning many holders are sitting on gains and could be inclined to take profits if volatility spikes.

Despite bullish developments, whale selling remains a threat to short-term price action. On-chain data shows large holders have been offloading up to $68.5 million in XRP daily, potentially capping near-term rallies. Regulatory overhang continues to cast uncertainty. A $50 million SEC lawsuit settlement is still pending, and procedural delays have pushed final resolution further into 2025. While resolution could unlock institutional adoption, the current lack of clarity is deterring some investors. Ripple’s entry into the stablecoin space with RLUSD, launched in June 2025, introduces both opportunity and risk. While the new asset could enhance XRP ecosystem liquidity, it may divert usage away from XRP for payment-specific roles.

The future price direction of XRP is influenced by several key factors, with the most significant being the potential approval of a U.S.-listed XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF). The likelihood of this approval has been assigned a high probability, which could drive the price of XRP significantly. The adoption of cryptocurrency-related financial products, such as tokenized treasuries, is also expected to accelerate the price of XRP, with some predictions suggesting it could reach $10 by the end of 2025. Analysts and traders are closely monitoring the XRP price, which has shown renewed bullish momentum. Some projections indicate that the price could surge to above $5, with potential highs extending into double digits. An AI model predicts that XRP will likely remain above the $2.00 mark, with a strong upside scenario pushing it past $3.00 if current trends accelerate. However, short-term data and investor actions will play a crucial role in shaping XRP's price movement in the coming days.

The XRP price has been consolidating between $2.13 and $2.18, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the charts. This consolidation has kept XRP's price movement within a tight range, with the next major support level lying just above $2.09. The bulls have defended this level, but multiple tests suggest that a breakdown at this level could be imminent. A break below this support would trigger a liquidity sweep as the price dumps lower, while a strong defense of this level with a notable uptick in volume could indicate a potential rotation toward the next resistance. Investors are advised to exercise caution and wait for confirmation before taking positions. The confirmation would either be a break below the support or a strong upward rally away from it, signaling a clear direction. The possibility of a break is even higher now, given that this level has already been tested multiple times. Each test weakens the level, putting it at risk of a breakdown. However, with long consolidation so far above this level, there is a bullish scenario that is rising.

The approval of an XRP ETF would allow traditional investors and large funds to enter the market without having to purchase XRP directly on exchanges, thus reducing custody and security concerns. This could significantly increase the demand for XRP, driving its price higher. The SEC's decision on the approval of an XRP ETF is a critical factor that could send XRP soaring, as it would provide a more accessible and secure way for traditional investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency.